Sell ANYTHING related to traditional finance. NOW

THE YIELD CURVE IS INVERTED. RECESSION IS CONFIRMED. BOOMERS ARE FUCKED.

When the Inverted Yield Curve Last Forecast a Recession

The Treasury yield curve inverted before the recessions of 2000, 1991, and 1981.

The yield curve also predicted the 2008 financial crisis two years earlier. The first inversion occurred on December 22, 2005. The Fed, worried about an asset bubble in the housing market, had been raising the fed funds rate since June 2004. By December, it was 4.25 percent.

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Is this a serious headline? What kind of shit journalism you have over there?

ELI5 please

When a yield curve inverts, it's because investors have little confidence in the near-term economy. They demand more yield for a short-term investment than for a long-term one. They perceive the near-term as riskier than the distant future. They would prefer to buy long-term bonds and tie up their money for years even though they receive lower yields. They would only do this if they think the economy is getting worse in the near-term.

also mean they'll be more incline to sell when red candles appear

It's a long term indicator. Major correction within 12 months (NOT recession).

Do Bitcoins go up during recessions?

BTC was invented in the last recession
and to answer ur question no one knows because we have no historical data to back up any claim
here's a fact though, during recessions risky investment get btfo and BTC is very risky
who knows though
i always thought bad economy news is good for BTC but this hasnt been the case yet, i thought Venezuala and Iran would be great fr BTC but this hasnt been the case
problem is 90% of coins are owned by less than 10% and we're at the mercy of these whales really

No previous data on this, but..
>do people buy incredibly risky internet coins when their economy goes shit?
Might be a good time to buy some though
If you keep the gunpowder dry

>fed cannot slow Dow. The economy through market operation


Kek. Trump is causing inflation to happen too fast.

>Orange man bad

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Here's why you should be worried.

wait until the inevitable government bailout trigger an other spyke in inflation

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mongrel faggot kike nigger

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BTC is 40k in Iran.
Venezuala market only alive thanks to crypto like DASH.
>any more ?

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whats a trend retard

BTC is 40k in Iran.
how is that even possible?
i would sell to any irani gentlemen for $5k

I never said recession wouldn't happen I'm merely pointing out that it's not gonna be instant like OP the fag is implying.

>BTC is 40k in Iran
Sauce

fair OPs a fag

>cryptos like Dash
The fact that Dash has a marketing department targeting in Venezuela doesn't mean Bitcoin isn't king there
t. Venezuelan

...

And thats a good thing.

>short-term time preference

so the economy is turning into a nigger?

Like Trump would ever let the economy fall you absolute pee brained idiot

Wait till the dollar hyperinflates. Things like gold and Bitcoin which are hard sound money will soar.

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muh orange man good

No, Gold does.

Bitcoin has NO REAL VALUE.

NO.

Venezuela isnt really a good example because they're In a near famine. People naturally are going to prioritize food and medicine over alternative currencies and investments.

And thats a good thing

>BTC is 40k in Iran.
In dollars or rials? I suspect the latter.

>tfw won't sell my stocks
>partly because TA is a meme and you can't accurately predict the future market
>and partly because I don't even know what I'd buy

It doesnt take TA to see that the Trump's domestic market enthusiasm and skyrocketing housing prices over the last several years have put the US in an unstable bubble.

It is I, none other than the Prince of Iran himself. It is indeed true my friend that a bitcoin in my country is 40,000 rupees

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>The crash is Trump's fault!
Oh, then let's print 4 trillion debt dollars™ and hand them to the banks in exchange for low interest rates until the end of his term. We'll call it "Quantitative Easing".

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lmao boomer cope
both work in the same way
they're not tied to fucking fiat-cuck-paper

but it is only the 3-5y gap that went negative. see pic. so shouldn't we still wait with selling everyting?

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I didnt say its trump's fault you moron. Enthusiasm went up for domestic investment because his policies focus on revitalizing domestic production and infrastructure, which is a good thing. The market caused the bubble for all the right reasons. The fed is removing the brakes on the recession train by raising interest rates.

OH SHIT, IS THAT THE MOTHERFUCKING SMILER?

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>bitcoin
>hard sound money
Lel.

cocaine snooters for archboomer neocons

Only comment worth reading in that dumbness

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W-we're all gonna make it til at l-least like idk

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This just means you should move into safer assets OP. If you're reaction is to put everything into crypto, one of the most volatile and risky asset classes on the market, you're gonna get ass fucked.

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If the crypto ETF, Bakkt, etc get passed by mid next year I'll know for a fact it will be used as a safety zone. No coiners will be chasing the bus by the time they realize it.

The Chinese are crashing the US economy. With no survivors.

If you are going to prioritize food in Venezuela your going to need money or currency to buy that food. Man you people are stupid. Do you think food just becomes free when a currency collapses?

People with gold and silver are sitting pretty in Venezuela

>calling somebody an NPC by acting like an NPC
I love how this meme is causing NPCs to out themselves.

>real value argument
so you still only accept pounds of wheat as payment?

This. Only NPCs criticize based Trump.

>The Chinese are crashing the US economy
Hmmm what prompted them to do that

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how the fuck does this work?
are you trolling?
why wouldn’t investors just rebuy short term bonds instead of buying long ones when the yield on the former is higher?

>Orange man good

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How come everyone thinks this means its going to keep going down and its not a temporary dip? From what i saw, when it dipped below it was DURING the recession in 2008, it was a sign of being at the bottom. What this really means is right fucking now is the "recession", because we're about to start the most massive GBR of all time once we go up from this.

dont think of it as "investors are taking money from short term and buying long term"... think of it as
"no one wants to buy treasuries... especially short term"
Short term is for parking your money. Long term is for macro risk management. No one wants short term because they will have to have cash on hand to keep from being liquidated because everyone is exposed to leverage (even if you don't use it)

i dont get why people are so fucking worried about a recession. nothing will change. you will still eat. you will still work. you will still live. you just might not have much money but you will survive. it will be alright.

It means that piggy bank (you know the one I told you to keep all your extra money in) is ready to be cracked open to snap up assets for pennies on the dollar, we are all about to become very wealthy

>boomers are fucked
>implying crypto isn't
Crypto follows the market. Everyone prepared to be BOGGED

Yeah I'm very curious what will happen here, since bitcoin is so new we don't have any heuristics to look at yet. I'm hypothesizing it'll be used as the zoomer's gold and will pump, alongside gold. I imagine institutions will still be treating gold as king here, but I think bitcoin has shown enough staying power that people will use it as an alternative to having money in stocks. Bitcoin (like gold, really) may not have any "real" value, but remember, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

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Crypto is a speculative asset. People will dump it to cover their loses during a recession. Expect massive dumps then a linear increase in value over the next decade.

Grahampilled post.

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It's a different kind of speculation though. Bitcoiners are speculating that global currencies collapse and bitcoin takes over. That is EXTREMELY speculative, but traditional market chaos is very bullish.

Long 2 /ZF, Short 1 /ZT, Short 1 /ZN

The bible of investing

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Graham is the Jesus of investing and Buffett is is profit.

Buffett is his profit. Yes, I spelled that correctly.

loops said now's the time to buy and i'm buying, nigger

>Stinky token bad

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>link good

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How would you know its important if they didnt tell you goy.

Cointer party risk. The US is broke.

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Mathematically inpossible

Saved.

WHOOOOOOOOOOOOSH

Recessions are max comfy times for NEETs

Did you change „delenda carthago“ to „semper tyrannis“ on purpose or do you just not know any roman history?

good time to be in entertainment as well

no one wants to buy bonds. period. thats why this is happening

this
check the last time the curve flipped. it was quite a while before it crashed totally. between 1 and 2 years

tho i DO think that this time, there will be less of a lead. im saying next fall

Yeah but we're used to it.

from what ive seen, crypto seems to lead on the major down moves
not enough data to determine if that will be the same case on the way up tho

>Jow Forums buy high sell low
We're all used to it.
Either way, prepare to buy the dip.

>predict the economic collapse last year november
>tell all the normies
>no one believes me
>grab free wall street journal out of autism in study room and circle all the banks that will collapse
>chad walks by and laughs at my autism
this is the worst feel

Buffet is an old fag that should khs like you, you POS shill

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WHY THE FUCK DID YOU ANSWER HIM, YOU FUCKING FAGGOT !!!????

WHEN A FUCKING REDDITOR LIKE COMES HERE AND WRITES SOMETHING LIKE THAT, YOU ARE SUPPOSED TO FUCKING IGNORE HIM, DO YOU FUCKING UNDERSTAND? YOU FUCKING FUCKER, PEOPLE LIKE YOU ARE HELPING TO TURN THIS PLACE INTO REDDIT 2.0.

PLEASE, PROCEED TO PROMPTLY KILL YOURSELF BY DRINKING HYDROFLUORIC ACID WHILE BREATHING ZYKLON B.

blockstream delenda est

I didn't make the pic

Larger chance of losing your job, not paying bills, kids education. Definitely worth worrying about.
My Dad essentially lost two of his jobs during 2008 onwards because his work dried up, made life extremely difficult