THE YIELD CURVE IS INVERTED. RECESSION IS CONFIRMED. BOOMERS ARE FUCKED.
When the Inverted Yield Curve Last Forecast a Recession
The Treasury yield curve inverted before the recessions of 2000, 1991, and 1981.
The yield curve also predicted the 2008 financial crisis two years earlier. The first inversion occurred on December 22, 2005. The Fed, worried about an asset bubble in the housing market, had been raising the fed funds rate since June 2004. By December, it was 4.25 percent.
Is this a serious headline? What kind of shit journalism you have over there?
Elijah Harris
ELI5 please
Benjamin Torres
When a yield curve inverts, it's because investors have little confidence in the near-term economy. They demand more yield for a short-term investment than for a long-term one. They perceive the near-term as riskier than the distant future. They would prefer to buy long-term bonds and tie up their money for years even though they receive lower yields. They would only do this if they think the economy is getting worse in the near-term.
Isaac Rogers
also mean they'll be more incline to sell when red candles appear
Aiden Morgan
It's a long term indicator. Major correction within 12 months (NOT recession).
Thomas Reed
Do Bitcoins go up during recessions?
Isaiah Diaz
BTC was invented in the last recession and to answer ur question no one knows because we have no historical data to back up any claim here's a fact though, during recessions risky investment get btfo and BTC is very risky who knows though i always thought bad economy news is good for BTC but this hasnt been the case yet, i thought Venezuala and Iran would be great fr BTC but this hasnt been the case problem is 90% of coins are owned by less than 10% and we're at the mercy of these whales really
Easton Torres
No previous data on this, but.. >do people buy incredibly risky internet coins when their economy goes shit? Might be a good time to buy some though If you keep the gunpowder dry
Jace Hernandez
>fed cannot slow Dow. The economy through market operation
Kek. Trump is causing inflation to happen too fast.
Venezuela isnt really a good example because they're In a near famine. People naturally are going to prioritize food and medicine over alternative currencies and investments.
Landon Morales
And thats a good thing
Jason Hall
>BTC is 40k in Iran. In dollars or rials? I suspect the latter.
Lucas Butler
>tfw won't sell my stocks >partly because TA is a meme and you can't accurately predict the future market >and partly because I don't even know what I'd buy
Aaron Morris
It doesnt take TA to see that the Trump's domestic market enthusiasm and skyrocketing housing prices over the last several years have put the US in an unstable bubble.
Aiden Evans
It is I, none other than the Prince of Iran himself. It is indeed true my friend that a bitcoin in my country is 40,000 rupees
>The crash is Trump's fault! Oh, then let's print 4 trillion debt dollars™ and hand them to the banks in exchange for low interest rates until the end of his term. We'll call it "Quantitative Easing".
I didnt say its trump's fault you moron. Enthusiasm went up for domestic investment because his policies focus on revitalizing domestic production and infrastructure, which is a good thing. The market caused the bubble for all the right reasons. The fed is removing the brakes on the recession train by raising interest rates.
This just means you should move into safer assets OP. If you're reaction is to put everything into crypto, one of the most volatile and risky asset classes on the market, you're gonna get ass fucked.
If the crypto ETF, Bakkt, etc get passed by mid next year I'll know for a fact it will be used as a safety zone. No coiners will be chasing the bus by the time they realize it.
Brody Watson
The Chinese are crashing the US economy. With no survivors.
Dominic Sullivan
If you are going to prioritize food in Venezuela your going to need money or currency to buy that food. Man you people are stupid. Do you think food just becomes free when a currency collapses?
People with gold and silver are sitting pretty in Venezuela
Bentley Turner
>calling somebody an NPC by acting like an NPC I love how this meme is causing NPCs to out themselves.
Asher Brooks
>real value argument so you still only accept pounds of wheat as payment?
Brandon Jackson
This. Only NPCs criticize based Trump.
Jayden Watson
>The Chinese are crashing the US economy Hmmm what prompted them to do that
how the fuck does this work? are you trolling? why wouldn’t investors just rebuy short term bonds instead of buying long ones when the yield on the former is higher?
How come everyone thinks this means its going to keep going down and its not a temporary dip? From what i saw, when it dipped below it was DURING the recession in 2008, it was a sign of being at the bottom. What this really means is right fucking now is the "recession", because we're about to start the most massive GBR of all time once we go up from this.
Eli Carter
dont think of it as "investors are taking money from short term and buying long term"... think of it as "no one wants to buy treasuries... especially short term" Short term is for parking your money. Long term is for macro risk management. No one wants short term because they will have to have cash on hand to keep from being liquidated because everyone is exposed to leverage (even if you don't use it)
Nathaniel Phillips
i dont get why people are so fucking worried about a recession. nothing will change. you will still eat. you will still work. you will still live. you just might not have much money but you will survive. it will be alright.
Asher Parker
It means that piggy bank (you know the one I told you to keep all your extra money in) is ready to be cracked open to snap up assets for pennies on the dollar, we are all about to become very wealthy
Henry Barnes
>boomers are fucked >implying crypto isn't Crypto follows the market. Everyone prepared to be BOGGED
Jose Collins
Yeah I'm very curious what will happen here, since bitcoin is so new we don't have any heuristics to look at yet. I'm hypothesizing it'll be used as the zoomer's gold and will pump, alongside gold. I imagine institutions will still be treating gold as king here, but I think bitcoin has shown enough staying power that people will use it as an alternative to having money in stocks. Bitcoin (like gold, really) may not have any "real" value, but remember, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.
Crypto is a speculative asset. People will dump it to cover their loses during a recession. Expect massive dumps then a linear increase in value over the next decade.
It's a different kind of speculation though. Bitcoiners are speculating that global currencies collapse and bitcoin takes over. That is EXTREMELY speculative, but traditional market chaos is very bullish.
Did you change „delenda carthago“ to „semper tyrannis“ on purpose or do you just not know any roman history?
Henry Allen
good time to be in entertainment as well
no one wants to buy bonds. period. thats why this is happening
this check the last time the curve flipped. it was quite a while before it crashed totally. between 1 and 2 years
tho i DO think that this time, there will be less of a lead. im saying next fall
Angel Cox
Yeah but we're used to it.
Colton Russell
from what ive seen, crypto seems to lead on the major down moves not enough data to determine if that will be the same case on the way up tho
Gabriel Parker
>Jow Forums buy high sell low We're all used to it. Either way, prepare to buy the dip.
Benjamin Price
>predict the economic collapse last year november >tell all the normies >no one believes me >grab free wall street journal out of autism in study room and circle all the banks that will collapse >chad walks by and laughs at my autism this is the worst feel
Colton Turner
Buffet is an old fag that should khs like you, you POS shill
WHY THE FUCK DID YOU ANSWER HIM, YOU FUCKING FAGGOT !!!????
WHEN A FUCKING REDDITOR LIKE COMES HERE AND WRITES SOMETHING LIKE THAT, YOU ARE SUPPOSED TO FUCKING IGNORE HIM, DO YOU FUCKING UNDERSTAND? YOU FUCKING FUCKER, PEOPLE LIKE YOU ARE HELPING TO TURN THIS PLACE INTO REDDIT 2.0.
PLEASE, PROCEED TO PROMPTLY KILL YOURSELF BY DRINKING HYDROFLUORIC ACID WHILE BREATHING ZYKLON B.
William Hall
blockstream delenda est
Easton Hill
I didn't make the pic
Jackson Martinez
Larger chance of losing your job, not paying bills, kids education. Definitely worth worrying about. My Dad essentially lost two of his jobs during 2008 onwards because his work dried up, made life extremely difficult