Betting odds now say there is an 80% chance UK won’t leave in March

Anyone can give me a reason why these odds are so high? Doesn’t this risk a civil war?

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>majority of people don't want x
>don't do x
>risk civil war
wat?

>listening to radio
>the (((journalist))) is talking about how most English do not have a problem with horses of immigrants coming anymore and their irrational fear has subsided drastically

Sure, sure...

>vast majority dont want it
>country votes
>majority do want it

???

>referendum influenced by outright falsehoods
>demographics clearly in favor of remain (i.e. younger people who'll have to live with the results)
>brexit process becomes FUBAR, UK position clearly worse than before
>reeeeee at any attempts of direct indirect attempt to check whether the people still want brexit (another referendum, parliament vote)
if the government had faith in their own position they'd put it to a confirmation vote

>falsehoods in an election
Oh shit we need to invalidate every single vote in history then.
Don’t you have some Belgium cock to be sucking Hans?

>losers demand another referendum until they win
Oh sweetie...

not all elections have the same magnitude. results of regular elections can easily be overturned come the next election day or even sooner in case of vote of no confidence by the legislative body. the results of brexit are likely permanent and will affect the UK for decades to come, not something you can change in 4 years or sooner.

>losers demand another referendum until they win
there is absolutely nothing wrong with this though. parliament makes and changes laws all the time, how is the referendum decision any different. it would just legitimize the decision (one way or the other) and make sure it's representing the will of the people. what's more - if there's ever going to be a time to hold a confirmation vote it should be now - before the legal and diplomatic process has finished.

So essentially as long as the plebs vote for the status quo it’s ok, but as soon as they vote for something that actually matters it’s a no no. Brexit was about making sure the UK isn’t subsumed into an EU superstate. The people voted and trying to say literal children are more likely to hold a position does not help your case.

NO MEANS NO, LEAVE MEANS LEAVE. IF A MAN DOESNT HAVE TO BE TOLD NO TWICE, THEN REMAINERS DONT HAVE TO BE TOLD TWICE.

IF YOU WANT TO REMAIN YOU ARE LITERALLY A RAPIST OF DEMOCRACY.

#PEOPLESVOTE = DEMOCRACY RAPISTS

god those stupid fags

they could have played the EU and help to reform it... now they will return as yet another pawn in some degenerates' pastime

Brexit referendum was the second one Britain held re: Europe, don't forget.

>So essentially as long as the plebs vote for the status quo it’s ok
with a margin as slim as it was it would have been wise to make sure whether the effects of something as monumental as brexit are what the people actually want. countries with written constitution typically can't change it without a qualified majority, same for budgetary laws and similar significant laws. no reason brexit should be considered any different

>literal children
every age bracket below 55-65 was in favour of remain. don't reduce the argument to absurdities.

What stops leavers from demanding a third vote then? They'll cry fear campaign and corruption.
>Young people have to live with the result
How the fuck can you be so sick as to invalidate people based on their age - as if their vote casts for less because they've lived longer, literally sociopath thinking.

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Brexit polls have swung to remain because a lot of brexit voters have died of old age. Why the fuck do you want to listen to the opinions of dead boomers?

democracy is overrated

Because they voted while they were alive and had every much a right to influence their country as the next had.
Even if I were to die in an accident the day after voting for the next PM, you bet your fucking ass I would want it to count.

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>countries with written constitution typically can't change it without a qualified majority, same for budgetary laws and similar significant laws. no reason brexit should be considered any different
Since when is the UK's membership in the EU even remotely close to a constitutional amendment? Since when is a country's sovereignty the matter of a faceless international group?

They're one of the last generations who saw the UK as anything more than the whore of the United States. Discarding their opinions, especially considering most of them were born or grew up in an era where the UK seriously had to go it alone in case of war is not just retarded, it's dangerous.

bookies also said brexit wouldn't happen the first time

>What stops leavers from demanding a third vote then? They'll cry fear campaign and corruption.
as long as something remains a contentious issue it should be put to the people's vote whenever reasonably possible. remain or leave

>How the fuck can you be so sick as to invalidate people based on their age - as if their vote casts for less because they've lived longer, literally sociopath thinking.

by the no-means-no logic we should still have laws unchanged as the day they were made, regardless of the changes in the society.

Doesn’t this risk a civil war?
No, it guarantees it.

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No. By that logic Brexit should pass, for then a vote to be held whether or not to request membership in the EU again. How is this a hard concept to grasp? The vote goes through, and then you can vote -after- to resign the previous decision - that's how a democratic country moves.

>Doesn't this risk a civil war?
In a normal country, yes. In the UK, no. A thousand guys will protest, tops, then half will be arrested that evening for hateful social media posts.

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>Implying leaving is possible
Even if they do "brexit" the deal still has Brussels making their laws, imposing their taxes, and controlling their economy
Anglos can't leave
Keep going Hanz rape them until they are just a scorched corpse I don't want anything to remain of England or it's "people"
They need to e completely paid back for all that they have done to our race and the planet

>Since when is the UK's membership in the EU even remotely close to a constitutional amendment?
>changing an entire trade, economy, energy, border control, migration, law enforcement, etc. environment isn't remotely close to a constitutional amendment
>conveniently ignores entire slews of laws that are passed via qualified majority, or the fact that almost all legislative bodies in the world are bicameral to double-check on decisions, and many times requiring executive promulgation
retarded burger.

There will be no 'deal' with any cunt, we're leaving, that's it.

Funny, isn't it?

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As I said when the Brexit vote first happened.
The "elite" will force revotes until the outcome is what they desire.
Brexit will never happen.

>What is no-deal brexit.

>50% people want it
>50% people don't want it
>have civil war

Many such cases!

>t. remainer.

Nah. There's no way enough revolting loicenses could be realistically issued until march for civil war to be feasible.

The majority voted for Brexit. What arbitrary limit should count then? 55% 60%? The majority of plebs saw that the EU was a crock of shit, if the U.K. wasn’t led by literal traitors we could make something of Brexit. Why a fucking Bosnia cares about any of this though is a mystery.

Ah yes, the great spork wars of 2019 those were the times.

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>By that logic Brexit should pass, for then a vote to be held whether or not to request membership in the EU again.
while this is true, the margin of the vote was so slim that it stands to reason that the outcome of the vote would be entirely different now. the financial, business, political and diplomatic efforts needed to untangle the UK and EU from one another are simply too great to commit to them when you're more or less certain that majority of the people wouldn't support such an effort anymore. there is one way to know for sure but the government would rather kick the can along to whoever comes next than to take responsibility.

Real talk: 2016 is going to be undone.

Brexit will be overturned.

Donald Fuckface will be impeached.

Hillary win run again and WIN.

Two years from now every skinhead fuckboy here is going to be a psychotic, gibbering mess as everything they worshipped and thought would last forever crumbles like a pillar of ash before their bleeding eyes.

Jow Forums will probably be shut down after it's identified as a hub for several angry new white male shooters trying to take out their impotent rage on the world for rejecting their sick ideology.

It's amazing how you cucks still don't get how hated you are.

No far right "happening" has ever been supported by 50+1% of the people.

Trump and Brexit were both elected with razor thin margins supported by mass foreign propaganda.

Now that we've got a handle on the Russian shit and we see how bad far right horseshit is in practice, normal people are rejecting it like stepping on a dried out cat turd.

After Trump is gone and Brexit overturned, we are DONE fucking around. The hate speech laws are coming. White nationalists will be disqualified in future elections.

Your future is female, socialist, and very, very Muslim.

Deal with it.

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Brits are absolute cucks, May was selected precisely to fuck up Brexit so bad that people had second thoughts about it

The U.K. entered into all this shit without a vote. The first vote in the 1970s was in regards to a. Very different European situation as to what the EU turned into.

Nope

Israel wants Trump in power to build the 3rd temple hes not going nowhere

then why is the leave campaign so adamant against any sort of direct or indirect vote to see whether the people still want to leave/remain?

is it because they're afraid that everything listed here would make a significant difference?

>What stops leavers from demanding a third vote then? They'll cry fear campaign and corruption.

They've already been crying that every single time a report comes out that brexit may be bad for "x".
Only if brexit gets canceled by 2nd referendum and leavers want a 3rd, they'll actually have to produce evidence on why those reports are wrong and prove their's the UK will be worse off remaining.
Not to mention that's a silly claim when hard leavers make that.
Imagine back in the referendum, everything's the same but the results are flipped. Do you really think Nigel and UKIP would tout "will of the people", pack up shop and go home with such a small percentage difference? Would they bollocks. Heck I think (though don't quote me on making claim to a quote) I remember reading somewhere back then that Nigel outright stated that he wouldn't stop trying to get the UK to leave if lost the vote. And that was at a time it was "expected" to be remain by a margin of at least 10%.

Brexit might save Britain from The Eurocrats but who is going to save Britain from their Feudal masters?
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If I were a betting man, considering thousands of years of Gentiles eventually rising up against the kike, I would bet on their time running out real real soon. There's nowhere to hide this time.

Doesn't matter, it'd be 100% undemocratic and become a future holdpoint for future governments to nulify any other vote that doesn't win in a landslide if it doesn't sit well with them - you CANNOT let the elite and torries get away with something like this, it will serve to bite your country in the ass forever.
Not to mention becoming even more of a laughing stock.
Nicely formulated tho'.

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Quick reminder that betting odds do not measure the likelihood something will actually happen but rather the average persons perception about the likelihood that something will happen. The odds are set to make the most amount of money from people betting on the outcome and just like with say Brexit and Trump wins I made a lot of money betting on the right outcome against the odds.

May said tonight in the commons Q&A that we'll be leaving by the 29th either way and they're preparing for a possible no deal exit. The problem comes from the MPs plausibly being able to vote and have the government overthrows or its powers diminished in this matter, which is possible.

Nigel also said he would return if the UK didn't leave, and I've yet to hear anything from him.

You can be sure as fuck if remain won that they wouldnt even entertain the idea of a third vote. Also as to your ‘points’, false hoods did you even pay attention to the remain campaign threat of war ring a bell? The fact our leadership are incompetent doesn’t mean the idea itself is a bad thing. Polls were wrong before before the referendum you think they are magically accurate now? Should we rerun the last general election too?

>then why is the leave campaign so adamant against any sort of direct or indirect vote to see whether the people still want to leave/remain?
Because we done that in 2016, and we decided to leave.

You can be sure as fuck there wouldn’t be a massive campaign to have another referendum with mps supporting one. Also get some self respect ffs do you want the UK subsumed into a Eu superstate?

at the beginning of december May was priced as low as 1.3 to be gone by the end of 2018.....

>>referendum influenced by outright falsehoods
A foreign entity with decision making powers on who the UK permits into their country is a falsehood? Because that’s one of the main functions of the Lisbon Treaty along with having legally binding rules made by people who are not the sovereigns of the British people and have no right to rule onto other countries outside of being a rule enforcer for the continental trade and industry agreements, anything past that is unwanted except by bleeding heart progressives.

> Country armed with nothing but butter knives
> Civil war

We should spread the fact when protesrs start, that it isn't about whether or not you voted or what you voted. But that democracy is dead and doesn't care about any opinions other than their own.
There is no right and left in this scenario. Only the people and the government

>The majority voted for Brexit. What arbitrary limit should count then? 55% 60%?

Actually it's usually standard for a situation like this in western countries to require a super majority of 60%. It's done to make sure there's a clear consensus within the country, rather than following a majority that could shift depending on the day.
Dave for some odd reason didn't apply it for this even though he was shitting bricks the last time he strangely tried a referendum without requiring one (Scotland) and nearly lost that too.
Regardless of what anyone's stance is on EU, everyone should agree that Cameron was/is an utter tit who treated the whole thing as nothing more than a power play, not giving one shit about the people it effected.

My favourite one is the general election one where Ed Miliband would bring the country into chaos, while a vote for him would bring a strong and stable goverment.
>Looks at the goverment today.
Real stable tories you've got there Dave....real stable.

If you said to an Englishmen in 1900 that a foreign parilment would be making laws for the UK you would be laughed at.

Bloomfield han

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>have a vote
>ignore the vote, do thing anyway
how every EU-ish

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Younger people's votes don't get to weigh more than older people's. And you don't get to keep revoting on shit until you get what you want. Quit being a little fucking cunt because you lost.

>actually believing there are major differences between different colours of Blairite

What if you had hit 58% then would that have been disregarded seems like a pretty shitty way. You do realise our whole system is set up to simply ensure the status quo? We were bit by bit taken into the EU superstate without our consent.

How has the loss of Tumblr been treating you?

These remainer cunts are traitors of the highest degree, cunts act like they want what’s best for the UK without even knowing what the ultimate goal of the EU is.

Your faget brother over there in this thread says otherwise. Maybe you two should get together and discuss this over a couple of broken beer bottles.

im going to admit it but its actually this. nothing will happen. there will be some uproar but nothing will actually happen and people will continue with their lives until we fade out of existence, but just after persecution from our new fellow """ENGLISH""men

Let's just vote every 30 days then so we can better account for the constantly swinging mood. Maybe for February will just be the fourth Reich, in July we could all put on pretty hats and to clear it the independent state of Tonga of the North.

Show me on the doll where your uncle touched you

>Young people don't want it

Such a meme, many of the far left types want it too. Expect a union of dissidents yellow vest style.

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>NO MEANS NO,

literally being raped by remainers

>younger people who'll have to live with the results
they are being protected against their own ignorance you fucking monkey.

If part of your argument is the majority of teenagers think something then I really do despair. At that age everyone is an idiot.

I assure you a lot will happen.

What's to do with self respect?
Voted leave okay fair enough. But Article 50 was called unexpectantly months afterwards (so it's not like it HAD to be the day of the results) with zero planning. Sure we can say no deal is better than a bad deal.....but is uk MORE than prepared for it been prepping for it within those entire 2 years? Nope.
What is the plan? Would you get a mortgage before you even had job or a house in mind to buy? Of course not, but that's what the goverment is doing right now. Waving their arms wildly making soundbites that only serve to deflect crictism in order to keep their jobs no matter what.

If UK's leaving eventually, then fine. But don't be that overweight 54 year old who divorces his wife and abandons his kids, so that he's "free" to marry Jennifer Lawrence. Sure he may have a "chance", but without an flawless plan it's stupid to attempt and even more stupid to blame the wife for when you don't succeed.

>people vote on a mandate
>Government says nah, we gunna do what we want anyway
>next voting season everyone shows up to the voting areas with serrated butter knives instead
>people revolt because voting wont be considered
>(((they))) dont know what could have happened
>Everyone walks the Dinosaur
>Such is life in USSEU

Didn’t the pigfucker resign?

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Aka people that have never left (((London)))

>Hillary win run again and WIN.

This one is true true

>knows next to nothing on the subject
>dares making a post like this
retarded burger

again with the >muh teenagers? a 35, 45 year old is a teenager now eh?

>betting odds do not measure the likelihood something will actually happen but rather the average persons perception about the likelihood that something will happen

The odds of an event happen are typically the same as what a crowd of people believe it is.

>Civil war

Hahahahahahaha. Gonna storm the walls with your spoons?

>But that democracy is dead and those in power don't care about any opinions other than their own.

Britain will exit, this thread is just about kraut fantasies. Once Britain leads the way, others will follow. Most likely Italy will be the next in line. As this occurs, more eastern countries will join. Turkey will join. Syria will join, Lebanon, Egypt and so on. The EU will shift eastwards. It will become a caliphate of sorts and Germany will be a nonautonomous province, abiding by Sharia law.

My point is the vote happened legally- bureaucratic failings does not change that. Additionally, people acting like this is a new generation its been 4 years. Fucking morons think this is an idea that could actually get off the runway- fucking lazy.

I’ve used this metaphor before, but let’s say you live in a village and you vote for the town council to repair the bridge over the river, the idea itself is good but they get Romanian builders and gonway over budget. The idea itself isn’t bad it’s the fact the council are full of idiots. The government not having a plan was sheer stupidity. Brexit is imperative for British sovereignty.

I am all for the EU disintegrating. But watching UK Parliament TV, it seems Theresa May’s deal is failing.

>muh polls
Hillary won and Brexit failed didn’t it.

>>knows next to nothing on the subject
>>dares making a post like this
>retarded burger

Not an argument FFFAAAGGOOOOOTTT. I grantee you didn't even watch the house debate this afternoon. Be nice or we will let the Serbs finish the job we should have let them.

Imagine being so butthurt your dreams of a ‘glorious return to nationalism’ failed so hard the actual deal makes the people who supported your cause change their mind. Fucking Leave is a joke. And when the UK finally decides to say ‘fuck this the deal is shit’ they will cry like the little bitches they are

Which is what everyone wants.

It was confirmed in Parliament last week that there is no way for it to be stopped now, it's too late, we're leaving the EU on the 29th of March 2019, it's actually an IRL happening.

>literally have remainers running the show
Lol leave is so stupid

thats actually very clean- well done.

EU disintegrating or the May deal being crushed or both?

Nah bro

Well both but I was mainly referring to May's deal being BTFO.

Kill yourself, anglo hating faggot.

Please Brits leave. Your country is even more pozzed than Germany

The majority of people wish to leave the EU without any sort of deal, that's what we all fucking voted in favour of.

I am going to become a radical protester for the first time because of this.

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What does leaving EU even mean? First we need to clear the basics.

NOOOO

Please Brits, you gotta btfo all shitalians living in England who post all their dumb selfies with big ben on their Instagram, and go there to study some inane subject in some University or become dishwasher if their family's poor