What are you opinions on polls?
Personally, I take them not even with a grain of salt. They are nothing. Remember 2016?
(((Polling)))
Luke Harris
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Austin Moore
irrelevant.
James Cruz
Some Trump supporters may not want to admit it because they feel they'll be persecuted. I think this because my parents refuse to tell the pollsters that cold call that they vote for Trump for that reason. They know conservatives and anybody not fully in line with globohomo kike agenda is a target.
William White
Ive never been called by a pollster or even know anybody who has been. Same thing happened in FL govenor election every poll said gillum 5%+ then he ended up losing by -1%.
Joshua Wright
How often does a Gallup poll release its sample size?
How transparent are polls? Do they release the method by which the info was attained?
The answer to these is a big fat resounding no. You have every right not to trust the polls.
Tyler King
Polls represent a democracy "the majority we asked voted for whoever" we are a constitutional republic. You'd have to poll every state then work out an electoral college with the results.
Joseph Powell
OK then why does every media outlet focus on them so heavily? Like its the end all be all
Matthew Thompson
Yea they do.
Gallup
6/3 - 6/16
1015 A
They polled 1015 of random people living in America. LV is likely voters and RV is registered voters.
Polling has a margin of error of +-5 points and Hillary was within 1. Just because people miss read data does not mean it is invalid.
Brody Adams
They do closer to the election.
Isaiah Taylor
Politics uses polls and focus groups to figure out where to target and messages to send.
For example Florida shows Trump dead even with Biden so Trump has events there. Ohio is showing Biden way up so Biden is their.
Connor Myers
The most fascinating part about polling is how stable Trump supporters are. They really do not give a fuck.
Bush had a 64 point swing with a high of 90 and a low of 24.
Obama had 24 point swing with 65 to 41
Trump, fucking 8 point swing. With all the shit going on the difference between his high and low is 8% of the population. 45 to 37.
Blake Kelly
What? You just contradicted your logic?
Granted I see you point, it can help show where a candidate has a winning shot but still they are inaccurate by a lot, almost always leaning democratic.
Sebastian Sanchez
Australia just had the same thing with polls
Labor was expected to win in a landslide but ended up losing 5 or so seats
People don't say when they vote conservative these days
I couldn't give a fuck and always tell everyone I vote for the most right wing party because normies need to realise there's no shame in not following the status quo
Oliver Phillips
The polls were right you idiot. trump did lost 3 million votes to hillary. thank god you idiots over there have the electoral college. The biggest winner of 2016 election was definitely Isreal.
Austin Phillips
Democrats vote less often. When a democrat runs for office they need to convince people to show up. For Republicans they only need to convince people they are not going to use government to fuck them,
Biden is looking to secure Ohio. Trump is looking to hold Florida. While 5 points is a large swing it really isn't that big when the non swing states are won by +10 points every election. This is part of the reason the electoral college is bullshit is only about 5 states count to win the president and all the others are ignored unless there is a congressmen who wants a boost.
Ryan Bennett
Look at this one, almost every single poll except for 2 showing niggerboy gillum in the lead.
In the end, he lost. All those blue polls were WRONG.
Same thing happened to trump.
Again, don't believe the polls.
Jose Nguyen
Hey Einstein, original poll is showing the electoral college predictions. Not popular vote. kys
Kevin Morris
Just for a list the only states that matter are:
Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida, Michigan, and North Carolina.
Most of these are in the same area so campaigns focus there.
Alexander Carter
Polls are designed to manufacture consensus.
They work when the population is generally happy and content.
People will just follow the herd they're told to join with.
They don't work in times like these.
They're exposed as lies by a discontented population.
Andrew Collins
+-5 points. They call them swing elections for a reason.
Robert Perry
Again, original poll is based on a state-by-state basis. They predict based on the polling averages what stay will go to who.
They were wrong - by a lot.
Jonathan Parker
Not really. Trump won several states by less then 1% and they only showed Hillary up by 1%.
Daniel Turner
"The Election Came Down to 77,744 Votes in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan"
Adrian Barnes
Ohio had polls showing Trump win:
realclearpolitics.com
Pennsylvania showed Hillary by 2 points and Trump took it by .7
realclearpolitics.com
Yes 2016 Democrats did not show up to vote for Hillary but it does not mean all facts are wrong. Look at the 2008 and 2012 data and Obama, that shit was dead on.
Christopher Fisher
Truthfully it came down to Comey claiming he had more info about Hillary a week before the election when he did not. Seriously fuck that guy.
Parker Campbell
Polling is a useful tool for general opinions, but not an exact one. If I recall correctly RCP's avg for the prez race was off by about 3 or 4 points compared to the result, which is about avg for pres elections and within the MOE of most polling. The really difficult part is getting your sample to match turnout. So, id like to see polling results always released with different turnout models applied concerning elections & ballot initiatives.