It's time for yet another special election lads! This time we have the Republican DAN BISHOP taking on the Democrat DAN McCREADY!
This do-over was ORDERED after previous Republican, Mark Harris was thrown out because substantial evidence that his campaign had paid for an illegal absentee ballot operation surfaced. In 2016, Trump carried this district by 11 POINTS. Time will tell if the Democrat's supposed blue wave will trounce the GOP, or if Trump will roar back ahead of 2020 to own the liberals once again!
>thread only made 10 minutes before results the fuck happened to this shithole? Bishop's most notable trait is as a co-sponsor of the "Bathroom Bill" that caused a shitstorm in NC if you recall McCready IIRC is a military vet who is running as a moderate dem
If this race is close or the dem outright wins repubs should start shitting themselves, this is a district that should not be competitive. if Bishop wins by +5 and 3 is safe they can relax somewhat
Oh yeah there's also an election for the 3rd district but it's supposed to be safe for the R candidate (even more conservative than the 9th), if the sky falls and the dem somehow won there expect panic buttons being hit nationwide for Rs
Ayden Wilson
checked for based bathroom bill bishop. That was hilarious. I remember I had some driving to do around that time and NPR was just going nonstop mental over it.
Bishop has Trump pulling for him and is in turn a proTrump MAGAgoer. He supports the wall and opposes abortion. also what says
McCready is a military vet who served in Iraq and has attacked Bishop on going against lowering drug prices.
Xavier Johnson
>posting rigged results
Justin Ward
I don't see why posting said rigged results is bad if it contributes to the thread, user.
Elijah Collins
This is my district. There is literally 0% chance Democrat wins. Bishop Represents one of the most populated districts in a blue county, and even fucking crappy Mark Harris won even though the Democrats had everything going for them.
All Bishop has to do is literally do 2% better than Harris in his own fucking district and he wins.
Zachary Cox
>run a moderate vet that's nothing like dems running in 2020 >"republicans should be scared, people who vote for McCready will sure vote for Sanders!"
Anthony Edwards
>this is a district that should not be competitive
Forgot to mention this is a dishonest talking point meant to depress republicans, the district has more registered democrats for a while now, it's just Trump is popular in that area
Aaron Reyes
Bishop fucking easily won his Senate District last year despite McCready winning the district. All Bishop has to do is literally do 2 points better than Harris, which he will because it is his fucking state Senate District.
Bump for interest. Any info on the supposed scandal? Do you think it even happened? How come Dems never get caught?
Xavier Taylor
I live in the most Republican County in this district. Republicans can literally just run up the vote here and lose every other County and still win. It almost happened last year.
Hudson Richardson
Bernie is a presidential election, so it's all hands on deck to beat the orange man, and he has the star power to gather attention. For a local election in and around that part of the country, running a moderate military guy is a good strategy for the democrats. I don't know about that district in particular, but local elections have low turn out in general and people generally are easier to swing toward somebody who seems competent and reasonable.
Henry Turner
even a "moderate" dem should not be competitive here, its R+12 if you're losing that kind of seat what are the odds you hold onto WI, PA, and MI which were all within 1% margins? >Forgot to mention this is a dishonest talking point meant to depress republicans, the district has more registered democrats for a while now, it's just Trump is popular in that area based foreign retard, the democrat registration advantage isn't because of actual liberal democrats but because of residual democratic registration from pre-realignment, many of those "dems" vote republican in practice you'll see something similar in WV, dems still dominate party registration but get BTFO on a national level just as some evidence en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_North_Carolina notice the party who had almost uninterrupted control from 1877-1970 of virtually all offices? my assumption is Bishop wins, him losing will be a shock and a bad sign for Rs with advantages like you already noted
>dems having more registration doesn't matter lol, we are R+10 or whatever here
Which is what Republicans thought about Orange County, then they lost it Republicans are holding a lot of Dem areas/swing areas due to incumbent advantage, when a GOP House member retires, it can get very competitive
Aaron Wood
Based
Justin Lewis
But what happened there was the demographics change, or at least that's what I vaguely remember. Correct me if I'm wrong though.
Carson Bennett
Sorry for the trip. Forgot to delete it from previous thread. This is good info.
Gabriel Murphy
FIRST RESULTS
NC House 3 Thomas (D) 52% Murphy (R) 47%
NC House 9 Too early to call
Julian Evans
>smelled gas at a polling station how do they know? it's often said he who smelt it dealt it, have they checked for an inside man?
>Which is what Republicans thought about Orange County, then they lost it that's because Orange County has both gotten a fuckton a immigrants and migrants from other areas while having a republican party that has a sizable social liberal contingent >Republicans are holding a lot of Dem areas/swing areas due to incumbent advantage factually wrong, they lost almost all of those last year and if anything the reverse is true with shit like Orange County or my area (NY-22) early votes are always lean dem so no shock there
Jose Thompson
Nah. It's early votes. It's always dems leading. Or almost always.
Evan Powell
>a republican party that has a sizable social liberal contingent woops, to clarify I meant traditional republican voting base
Jackson Brown
I Don't think Orange County has been red ever. I mean, I don't even think it flipped in 72 or 84.
Orange Country CA? the exact opposite was true till the last 4 years m8, it was infamous as a conservative stronghold. until 2016 it had only voted for a non republican 3 times, Teddy Roosevelt in 1912 and FDR the first two times
I thought you were talking about NC. It is where UNC is located I think.
Blake Perez
Yeah. I hope not. I think that the Dems don't have a strong enough foothold there. But you know, anything is possible with them. 2018 was a prime example how bad it got and I think that they didn't try everything that they can do. So you are right and I wouldn't be surprised if they "found ballots, exactly 30k" and try to win.
Thomas Ramirez
hopefully Democrats win
Brayden Reed
it's NC, a lot of baptist niggers there. who knows.
Mason Stewart
Funny. When Trump campaign for the person then general of people vote the opposite just to fuck drumpf.
Trump Should leave campaigners alone so it will not backfire on him.
Levi Howard
ah forgot about that yeah they haven't voted for a repub since 1928
Christian Barnes
NC House 3 Thomas (D) 53.9% Murphy (R) 45.6%
NC House 9 Too early to call
Ethan Gutierrez
Not in my experience if its nerve pain. Smoking a joint does help sleep and gets your mind off of it. Will also give appetite if prescribed meds weaken stomach.
There's literally 0% Republicans lose House distrct 3. The guy just died so they have to do a new election but it's like +30 red. They literally counted like 17 votes so far (absentees)
Robert Carter
>GIVE ME YOUR AWOOOOOOOOOOS
Donated 35 dollars to the Democrat in this race a few days ago
I live in Tennessee and been to 2 doctors who say I just have an arthritic back at 29..... Don't have access to weed
Aaron Lopez
I've heard it varies considerably on the vendor, and that whatever they're selling at the grocery store or whatever is generally not going to be very potent. Don't use it myself, so I can't recommend a vendor, but I've heard plenty of people say it's a godsend, especially if they don't want to smoke pot all the time.
Blake Ward
>Murphy pulls ahead but its early
None care about that race.
District nine is what matters
Eli Gomez
House 3 is very strongly republican. Trump won by 20 points in 2016
William Sanchez
politico's counter for 3 has it 60/40 for the R but with 100 votes >4,500 votes what site are you using? all the others only have about 100 right now
To signify who is gaining support Republicans or Democrats. If republicans win then it give them a moral boost for 2020.
Logan Taylor
republicans have to win to prevent a week of doom and gloom headlines about losing what should be safe seats, and also to prevent more retirements who might get skittish otherwise beyond that really doesn't
thanks m8 also heres hoping for a fast count tonight
Christian Nguyen
True. But looking at the polling about the niggers it looks like the Democrats in general may be losing them as well. I'm actually curious more than usual how many blacks will vote Republican and how many will vote in general ( just a comparison between now and 2016 for example). I'm not sure if more Blacks will vote R's than expected (although I hope for it to "prove" my predictions for 2020) but I'm pretty sure their turn out should be much much lower than normal. We will see if I'm right soon enough I giess.
If we see 10%+ then Dems will panic. I fucking guarantee it. I'm expecting a very low voter turn out and kind of checking my theory on the black vote in 2020. If the R's get anywhere close to 15% that would spell death to the Democrats. The Blacks vote D 90-95% of the time. Shit's changing though, at least in the polls so I'm watching closely.
Chase Howard
NC House 3 Thomas (D) 59.3% Murphy (R) 40.0% 25% reporting
NC House 9 McCready (D) 50.5% Bishop (R) 49.0%
Liam Diaz
Its a lot tighter now. By like 700 votes for the Dem. Its gonna be dead tight
Mason Moore
>burg okay >berg not okay
Tyler Sanders
>Its gonna be dead tight
Except early voting showed Dem advantage
Jaxon Brooks
Huh? Where? 7% of precincts counted user. Of course they are winning.
Alexander Nguyen
you have to account for what i believe will be a white female flight. females are pack/social animals and believe everything they see on tv. hard gains in nonwhite or white male votes will be needed in 2020.
Austin Brown
may mean nothing but the dem in the 3rd district race is really overperforming in Dare county with 100% reporting, only +3 R when Trump won by almost 20
Angel Flores
that's almost always true for early voting.
Nolan Fisher
Only about 1k vote difference and 1.5%.
Jaxon Turner
Why does the New York times not break this down by voting precincts?
Prediction: Nobody will know fuck all until >10% is in
Kayden Lee
a true referendum on Drumpf.
GET READY FOR PRESIDENT BIDEN DRUMPFTARDS/
Robert Roberts
Reminder North Carolina is a Democratic state.
Landon Rodriguez
Murphy is ahead
Gavin Martin
Oh I don't forget and I agree! I'm just interested if what I'm seeing in Poles regarding minorities will translate in any shape or form into the voting. That's it. It's a very small test run.
Asher Fisher
>Everyone, we must give Bishop our energy.
Is this the universe where Goku is the bad guy and Frieza the good guy?
Alexander King
NC-03 is safe GOP, didnt even know people would talk about it in this thread