How worried should I be after just sinking $10,000 into the S&P 500? What should I do?

Dude don't worry about it, just watch for the yield curve inversion, wait a month or two, and bail. It's predicted every modern recession.

Here: forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2018/09/14/when-is-the-next-u-s-recession-and-bear-market/

BUBBLES are where "everyone gets rich"
but this time ONLY THE TOP 1% have got rich, everyone else has got POORER therefore its not a bubble, its a WEALTH TRANSFER

study economics closely

I want to learn, what does this show?

It means the bubble likely won't pop until reaching, or approaching, the top resistance line.

yes but what is the quantity indicated in the graph?

GDP is a flawed metric and you're conflating Household Net Worth with S&P value even though they aren't the same thing. You should be looking at some kind of PE ratio. If you accept the Bianco PE methodology then things look ok.

My gut feeling is the S&P is overvalued a bit, but you have to hold indexes for the long term, so a bit of volatility leading to a drop is just part of the ride.

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Oh a Elliott Waver. So you think we will see a big correction once this wave is over?

bubbles should be measured as % of the base money supply

this. that's why it's literally different this time and sp500 shares actually IS a new paradigm

This. We keep printing more money so we are fine...for now

>After going up, it will go down

>yield curve

Long term I believe this is wave 5 but shouldn't complete until the 2020s. Medium term, we're wave 3 until SPX 3000+. Wait for the 2019 correction, BTFD and ride that thing up. I'm long.

Bianco uses pro-forma EPS which is basically whatever the company wishes EPS really was. Which is really telling considering they changed accounting rules in 2009 to make shit more lenient, this methodology basically adjusts CAPE in the opposite direction.

In other words, another banker trying to "fix" an old metric that works and replace it with a new one that makes today's valuations look reasonable. Just another building in the potemkin village.

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can you explain this to me

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When the yield curve was inverting in the past, there weren't three central banks buying trillions of dollars of assets trying to primarily affect interest rates. I don't think it's comparable to past situations and is no longer an accurate indicator of economic health.

>central banks buying a fuck ton of assets

how long can this go on for?

>it's different this time

Said everyone in history.

Who knows? At least the US is trying to taper off as you can see at the very edge of the graph. What if another crisis hits? Is buying another $2 trillion and cutting interest rates going to fix anything this time?

Congrats on buying the top

until central banks own majority of all assets and and government starts centrally planning the economy

It can also be read as we just finished wave 3 or are near the end of wave 3. That first downtrend was more of accumulation than a wave down.

Screencapped, laughing at your stupidity