Australias Property Bubble Bursting

Price falls in Sydney and Melbourne faster than during the great recession or any other event in at least 30 years: Sydney twitter.com/DocNicolaPowell/status/1055939261554319360 and Melbourne twitter.com/DocNicolaPowell/status/1055950182574055426

Melbourne down 4% in a quarter: domain.com.au/news/melbourne-house-prices-drop-4-per-cent-in-three-months-776913/

Clearance rates worst in a generation: twitter.com/ShaneOliverAMP/status/1053562178626678784?s=20

Only in 3 other extreme events have clearance rates been in the 30s in Sydney: twitter.com/LouiChristopher/status/1053585757351231488 (they'll be revised down to ~38% once the full results come in) - Oct/Nov 2008 (GFC), May 2004 (NSW vendor stamp duty) and July 1989 when the cash rate hit 17%. Sydney buyers are responding with the same recluctance to buy as during the worst recession in our generation, the highest new purchase tax in our generation, and the highest interest rates in the boomers generation.

Clearance rates have a direct correlation with price change, as clearance rates drop so does prices. This Sydney chart needs updating edge.alluremedia.com.au/uploads/businessinsider/2017/11/oliver-1.jpg but this Melbourne chart is upto date twitter.com/ShaneOliverAMP/status/1053563743374794752

All these new buyers on IO only loans will rollover causing spending to reduce in the economy rba.gov.au/speeches/2018/images/sp-ag-2018-04-24-graph4.gif and investors being forced to sell as they cant afford the now 40% increase in repayments. They are new buyers and won't have made a profit, thousands of sellers making a loss, completely eroding whatevers left of positive sentiment.

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Other urls found in this thread:

theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/10/house-prices-set-to-continue-to-fall-for-another-two-years-survey-says
afr.com/content/dam/images/h/1/6/v/f/7/image.imgtype.afrArticleInline.620x0.png/1539928703734.png
d3fy651gv2fhd3.cloudfront.net/charts/united-states-interest-rate.png?s=fdtr&v=201809261820x
reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed/fed-raises-u-s-interest-rates-sees-at-least-three-more-years-of-growth-idUSKCN1M60EE
youtube.com/watch?v=4o3NVOQp4jo
edge.alluremedia.com.au/uploads/businessinsider/2017/11/oliver-1.jpg
twitter.com/ShaneOliverAMP/status/1053563743374794752
twitter.com/NSFWRedditImage

Not surprisingly buyer sentiment is lower than during the GFC: theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/oct/10/house-prices-set-to-continue-to-fall-for-another-two-years-survey-says

42% of NSW mortgage owners will be in negative equity once prices fall by 20%, which is only 1-2 years away after falling 7% this year: afr.com/content/dam/images/h/1/6/v/f/7/image.imgtype.afrArticleInline.620x0.png/1539928703734.png

US Fed is raising rates and the BBSW increases for Australian banks who pass on the interest rate rise to Australian mortgages: d3fy651gv2fhd3.cloudfront.net/charts/united-states-interest-rate.png?s=fdtr&v=201809261820x

The Fed is expected to raise rates in December, three more next year, and one increase in 2020. reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed/fed-raises-u-s-interest-rates-sees-at-least-three-more-years-of-growth-idUSKCN1M60EE

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Housing will go up forever you stupid zoomer.

[citation needed]

Based and redpilled.

But somehow zoomers have to cope nowadays

youtube.com/watch?v=4o3NVOQp4jo
How you know real estate is dead.

the virgin cope

the chad objectivity

Clearance rates released in 10 minutes boys

Looking for that magic 48% number in Sydney

TO SEE IF I STILL FEEL

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>Looking for that magic 48% number in Sydney

I'm a magician

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does that include if they make an agreement after the auction, seems most auctions end up like that now

No but it includes all the properties sold before auction or withdrawn

The 48% number will be revised down to actually about 42%.

Clearance rates have a direct correlation with price change, as clearance rates drop so does prices. This Sydney chart needs updating edge.alluremedia.com.au/uploads/businessinsider/2017/11/oliver-1.jpg but this Melbourne chart is upto date twitter.com/ShaneOliverAMP/status/1053563743374794752

So what is the best way to profit from these price drops? What has been shown to increase in correlation with decreases in the housing market in the past?

yeah but its probably like 75-80% of house are selling not 48%

what...

the ones that sell get included in the next weeks auction clearance rate... so its still part of the overall trend tally

Good luck cunts

wil it have consequences on the australian economy?

yeah all the people who get paid from real estate get less paid and spend less then the things they spend less on get paid less and then the things they spend on get less etc

Hey you guys now nuthin.

48% is like being on steriods to me.

Check out NT/Darwin - 8%

Now that shit has hit the fan.

it was 24% in SE Qld today

Any thoughts on the property market in Newcastle?

keep away from all property for at least 1-2 years. even the banks are now predicting further decline

Hope this guy doesn't hit me or anyone I know when he an heros of a building in 6 months.

What did it used to be?

Ive been here for a year it it is usually 20 to 30%.

burn the chink money haven to the ground

>Bogans take every dollar equity increase and use it to buy new 4wds.
>Sydney/Melbourne officecucks leverage every last bit of equity to cover credit cards used for basic living costs since salaries can't cover extreme mortgage repayments.
>previous things means massive consumer spending driven by property price increases.

What do you think faggot? It's a ponzi driving the whole economy, as soon as they start to move into negative equity and the banks come collecting it tumbles down. We literally just had this all happen in 2008, seriously lol @ you fucking zoomers with short memories. Don't worry, lot's of other places are equally or more fucked. NZ is gonna be hilarious to watch implode for example.