Let's use our autism to figure out who is Satoshi Nakamoto.
We all know that Hal Finney definitely has to somehow be involved since he received the very first bitcoin transaction and that he lives like a mile away from a Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto. If Satoshi Nakamoto is a one-person gang then I'd say Hal Finney is Satoshi, but if Hal Finney is not Satoshi himself then Satoshi Nakamoto is at least a two-person gang with Hal Finney one of them.
I think Craig Wright knows who Satoshi Nakamoto is. He's either Satoshi Nakamoto himself or he knows that the person(s) involved with Satoshi Nakamoto gang is/are already dead, that's why he's so confidently coming out as Satoshi Nakamoto. Don't think he'd be stupid enough to embarrass himself if/when the real Satoshi Nakamoto reveals themselves. I guess we'll just have to wait until Jan 1, 2020 to see if Craig really is part of the Satoshi Nakamoto team.
Below are my guesses in order of likelihood:
1a. Hal Finney
1b. Hal Finney/Dave Kleinman/Craig Wright.
2. Dave Kleinman/Craig Wright. If these two are Satoshi Nakamoto then how and why did they pick the name Satoshi Nakamoto and why did they send Hal Finney the very first bitcoin transaction if Hal Finney is not part of the team.
3. Nick Szabo. I used to think Nick is the most probable but now I'm not so sure.
4. Gavin Andresen
What does Jow Forums think?