/smg/ - Stock Market General

Literally recession time edition

>I'm new to the stock market, what stocks should I buy?
Before you buy anything, make a brokerage account and read investopedia articles and/or the books in the OP list. If you don't have a broker, you can't buy stocks, and if you blindly buy things without understanding how the stock market works or doing any research on the individual stocks you're buying, you will lose money and it will be entirely your fault.

List of popular brokers:
pastebin.com/mrSchZPg

List of basic stock market terminology for newfags:
pastebin.com/VtnpN5iJ

Real-time market news:
thefly.com/index.php

Educational sites:
investopedia.com/
khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

Free in depth technical analysis charts:
tradingview.com

Premarket Data:
pastebin.com/y9PRQLR3

Earnings Report Calendars:
biz.yahoo.com/research/earncal/today.html
earningswhispers.com/calendar

Biopharma Catalyst Calendar:
biopharmcatalyst.com/

Sec Filings and Company Finances:
fintel.io

S&P 500 VIX Futures (For SVXY/UVXY, higher is better for UVXY, lower is better for SVXY)
investing.com/indices/us-spx-vix-futures

Basic rundown on options:
pastebin.com/vWhvyuCd

Suggested books:
pastebin.com/jgA5zTuC

Previous thread:

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Other urls found in this thread:

finance.yahoo.com/news/treasury-yield-curve-just-inverted-sounding-alarm-recession-194921816.html
ftportfolios.com/Common/ContentFileLoader.aspx?ContentGUID=4ecfa978-d0bb-4924-92c8-628ff9bfe12d
youtu.be/JQTXawaAKNA?t=7
twitter.com/AnonBabble

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WE INVERTED NOW

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Does this mean I sell my Bank of America and Citigroup?

THREADLY REMINDER THAT DIVIDENDS ARE YOUR FREN

AND COMMUNISM IS RETARDED

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NONONONO I JUST TOOK OUT ANOTHER MORTGAGE

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Was it avoidable Jow Forums? Hardmode: can say not to elect Trump

THE BEARS ARE BACK IN TOWN
THE BEARS ARE BACK IN TOWN
*GUITAR*
THE BEARS ARE BACK IN TAAAHHWWN
THE BEARS ARE BACK IN TOWN

Friendly reminder here to

SELL

ABSOLUTELY

EVERYTHING

finance.yahoo.com/news/treasury-yield-curve-just-inverted-sounding-alarm-recession-194921816.html

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This the golden bull run
SPY 330 -400 minimum

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CAN'T

Reminder to anyone who's considering ADVERTISING on 4CHANNEL.ORG -- "/smg/" means SHOOT MUSLIMS & GOOKS !

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if we elected hillary, maybe we would've been at the bottom of the economic black hole by now.
This correction might be bumpy but as long as you're not a retard who buys real estate you're fine.

>elect Trump
>curtain falls faster
>elect Hillary
>economy keeps getting pumped until exit scam

SHORT EVERYTHING

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>Bond yields are inverted
What exactly does this mean? I tried googling it but I didn't get a clear answer.

i swear some of you just cant be saved..sheesh

ftportfolios.com/Common/ContentFileLoader.aspx?ContentGUID=4ecfa978-d0bb-4924-92c8-628ff9bfe12d

>The average Bull Market period lasted 9.1 years with an average cumulative total return of 480%.

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thing that hasn't happened since right before the 2007-2008 crash, just happened again.
is an indicator is all.

Bottom shorters grasping at straws
Theyll be gone by Q2

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>bottom
>best the market has been in 10 years
uh oh

I CAN BREAK THESE CUFFS

Do I sell BAC and C or not, come on man.

reminder to buy defensive sectors like health care (biotech is part of health care), utilities, and consumer staples

also, the bond curve that inverted is the 3 year/5 year curve
the 2 year/10 year curve is the one that matters

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They literally say that every time something happens that happened right before the recession.

How fucked am I if I hold onto everything

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No.

I got that but what does it mean? That you get the same return on a 3 year bond as a 5 year bond? Should the 5 year bond be higher?

>buying video game stocks

Or literally defense sector stocks, $LMT

just hold onto your shit ya dingus. be a long term investor.

Micron Technologies, lots of assets, low debt, battered down from trade talks but semiconductors will always be needed until something revolutionary comes along, good grow.

Current buy $40
Estimated fair value $248

What am I missing here? This seems like a great value play and I'm thinking about going in on it hard.

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sell and buy JPM instead

youtu.be/JQTXawaAKNA?t=7

>DIS
If Hasbro's success in 2008 was any indication, DIS might be okay this time around now that they have Star Wars and Marvel. When times get really tough, people will flock to their favorite fiction for comfort.

the signs of the recession were visible as soon as 2006.
the storm isn't here. Yet. Maybe the beginning of 2019 will be good. But I have zero doubt we will have a correction by 2020.
Activision is in the shitter. But at least you don't have EA. Nintendo might do good cause of le smash bros.
Honestly I wouldn't touch the video game market with a 10 foot pole. Long overdue for a massive crash. Battlefield V is already selling for 30$, Fallout 76 is on discount everywhere. Nobody is buying this shit anymore and a few companies might get hit hard.

invest in tobacco, weed, and AMD/NVIDIA/INTEL if you want to be top meme.

>The yield curve inverted between the 2- and 10-year yield before the recessions of 1981, 1991, 2000 and 2008. It has preceded all nine U.S. recessions since 1955, with a lag time ranging from six months to two years.

I know it's only the 2y and the 5y that are inverted so far, but the 10y isn't so far away. It's huge, and really worrisome when 5y is considered safer than 2y.

i think it's safe to say things will still be okay for the next 12 months, but absolutely fucked after that. But could the FED intervene and wipe out that problem?

is weed a health care stock?

On the one hand, banks top out at a 10/30 inversion which hasnt happened... This is one of the few times major banks can be extremely profitable, so I wouldnt sell
Most large specs are torn on banks right now though, its highly debatable. XLF hasnt really double topped either

>just hold onto your shit ya dingus. be a long term investor.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHHAAHHAHAHA

Motherfucker, if every indicator lit up saying "RECESSION IMMINENT," why the fuck would you stay in? You either get to avoid a 50% loss, or you miss out on 10% of gains before buying back in and resuming long-term growth. Are you retarded boy?

>VTGN and WTR

based

>DIS
entertainment, not an ideal sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>ATVI
tech, not an ideal sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>NTDOY
entertainment, not an ideal sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>WTR
utility, a good sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>IMGN
health care, a good sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>VTGN
health care, a good sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

>OGEN
health care, a good sector to hold onto during periods of economic downturn

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>Star Wars

not too sure about that one. Disney RAPED star wars. For that reason I will never be a shareholder

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The signs of a recession were there for much longer than 2006. Everyone knew something was wrong with the housing market but just didn't know when it would crash.

>inflation devalued your currency by 490% in the mean time
w-we are winning r-right frens?

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this is the kind of post i'd expect from a 5 figure account pleb that thinks he understands how things work.

tobacco is considered a consumer staple, and considering weed is basically just a more modern version of tobacco, I'd say it's a consumer staple as well

reminds me of something but i can't quite put my finger on it.
maybe it's CANADA, AUSTRAILIA, AND THE GHOST TOWNS IN CHINA OH GOD WHY DOES NOBODY SEE IT

Why can't things just be normal?

Lmao even 4chinz isn't safe from the MU meme

Pls buy BUD
People will need lots of cold ones where this market is headed

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Buy fb don't listen to the bashing media

Always believe in NTDOY

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Canada is different as the Chinese are buying the housing market over there and jacking up the prices. I don't know much about Australia.

>fb

I can proudly say I have never and will never go anywhere near that stock. In fact I will permanently short it. FUck kikebook

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Sorry I only drink MillerCoors and Pabst products, who actually likes Bud?

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ikr, im only up 800$ today.
f-f-fricking resseshun

Based and unlocked.

Enjoy missing out the next trillion dollar company. Same goes for tesla.

WhatsApp and Instagram. And Facebook is huuuuge in Asia

...i guess i trust the duck. I just thought ATVI would be good once they spit out the mobile game and show profit

it's the same thing from what I hear.

>Facebook is huuuuge in Asia

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you telling me you dont like any of these cold, delicious, perfectly brewed brews? Nothing beats the ice cold refreshing taste of America's favorite beer

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That's not even remotely true. Have you heard of Weibo or NetEase at all?

Damn Bearlosers on full patrol today arent they XD fucking kek

K, looking forward to your loss porn snapshots

Can you explain? I'm really trying to learn here.

They will in the long term. Mobile gaming for all their IP's will be great and the D4 rumors give every indication of actually being on the right track. Nothing is certain but now is a good time to get in ATVI with the expectation of holding for a few years. Just my opinion.

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Best american beer

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this is only really applicable if they had literally just entered the market.

That mobile game isn't going to go so well. Blizzard has cultivated a hardcore PC audience and anything outside of PC will be disdained. Is Diablo even popular in China at this point anymore?

>And Facebook is huuuuge in Asia
why are you lying this blatantly? It's even vpnlocked in china

Get your inverse indexes now boiz

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yeah, that's why they're calling it inverted.

the only decent company you mentioned is TSLA, everything else is memes

pretty sure he's not lying considering asia is where their biggest growth is coming from

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the 2.year/10 year curve is the one that matters, not the 3 year/5 year curve

It probably means that one isn't far off. We'll probably see it this month maybe.

It's not huge in China and that's what really matters rn

It's not necessarily that ATVI is bad, it's that tech performs poorly during corrections/recessions
I personally don't think that mobile game will turn out too well, but I only buy stocks in defensive sectors (health care, utilities, consumer staples) specifically because I want to want to find a middle ground between bear and bull

>this month
mid-late 2019, if at all

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nah kike book is going to be like my space in 3 years. it's a fad and everybody is going to leave it forever.

You're an idiot if you think it's just going to up and die in the next few years. Facebook holds enough diversity with Oculus, WhatsApp and Instagram that it can survive Facebook losing users.

>people optimistic about the economy get their own animal
>people pessimistic about the economy get their own animal

where's the animal for people who want to perform decently in the long term regardless of how the economy is doing

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FAANG GAANG RISE UP

Ding ding ding! How did everyone do today? I’m up .46%, pretty good since it seems like I can’t trade during the day anymore. Too busy scrubbing dead fishies at work!

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Up 1.37%.

+1.56%

Down 4.85% but I'm not too upset about that rn

1.01%
comfy

I kind of wish I had had some more money freed up to make a LABU swing trade
Oh, well

do oculus, whatsapp and instagram even make money?

+7%
Finally ended the swing trade
Deleveraged everything is back to normal food stocks and QQQ

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+$950
we rich bitch

$6k, now to make a reckless bet on tonight's game

5.47% Only 30$ off breaking even.

Take Tampa over the Devils, you'll make a pile of cash this winter just betting against the Devils every game.

Up 7 bucks, plus another 6 bucks in dividends. Feels good man.

Up %1.8

Sweating these 12/21 calls, thought we’d get a proper bull run today. Guess not.

Don't treat MU as a company. Treat it and it's products like a commodity by tracking the demand of it's chips. Its profitability is directly correlated to the demand and it's supply (which is tightly controlled). Research all of the factors that determine its demand and it's supply and you'll see why MU gets bashed around so much.

real Bullruns come ATH

are you going to share your gains with others who didn't make gains like a good commie or are you going to be a greedy capitalist and keep what you work for?