pic related, grey sections are recessions, see if you can spot the pattern.
Buy gold
Buy Bitcoin
NOT A DRILL
Eli Smith
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Blake Rodriguez
Ok. I am glad you posted this graph sir thanks
Carter Ortiz
yes, i have noticed the pattern that says gold and btc going to get rekt below the line for the next 2 years and only after that the recession begis
Michael Collins
doesnt necessarily mean we are entering a recession next year. could easily bounce back and go below 0 a few years later. right?
Wyatt Carter
The dotcom bubble didn't heal, politicians needed funding for the Iraq War and asked the Fed for magic.
2008 ensued, also didn't heal. They tried pushing the Fed button harder.
Now the Fed can't be pressed again, not without really high inflation.
No Reagan nor Volcker will be there to correct course before the dollar dies. This is it. The biggest margin call of history. Be hedged by frens.
Oliver Moore
Could be but we have some catalysts
But I think is clever to be in BTC and Gold right now.
Henry Nguyen
in recessions cash is king
Gabriel Cruz
Inflation will destroy you
Landon Morales
>Losing 2% instead of 40%
>Inflation will destroy you
Jack Sanchez
I'm not talking about boomer inflation.
I'm talking about the high of very high inflation.
What do you think will happen when markets realize the Fed intends to keep 0% rates forever and the Govt is going to bailout everybody?
Asher Rogers
*risk
Joshua Rodriguez
If inflation picks up they will raise rates in an instant. They don't because inflation is low even at the current rates. I guess it's great to think you're smarter than the FED, but you're not.
Charles Edwards
they will let it crash/"correct" so they can buy everything up again, only the normies will get hosed
Evan Gutierrez
Gold and Bitcoin don't earn interest, and bitcoin is completely untested as a safehaven asset during a recession.
What is well tested is what happens when you put all your money into T-bonds for several years after inversion.
Jonathan Cook
Most of the US public debt has the form of 2 years or less T-bonds, if they raise interest rates they raise interest payments almost instantly.
Same for many zombie private enterprises and most banks.
So either they cut spending or they default or they produce very high inflation.
This is the redpill, I would prefer it to be otherwise but it isn't.
Jose Gray
Wth is inversion reinvestment?
Ethan King
If just 0.1% of money looking for a refuge comes to BTC then we have another ATH. BTC is very small.
Gold makes sense.
I can't say nothing sure about the right ratios to hold. I'm just saying I think is time to be fearful
Ryan Stewart
Putting your money into bonds after every yield inversion (in this case for three years) and reinvesting the interest every year so long as you're in bonds, also reinvesting the dividends into the stock market while you're in stocks.
Thomas Hill
uhmmm, so the gray block happens after the blue line comes up from below the black line, but as we see in 1996 and 1998 we can still have some time before the blue line goes below the black line this time around, or it will do as in 2006 and we only have about 3 years left in that scenario?
Dylan Cook
Ayden Sullivan
Not perfect nor immediate
If it were any of those it would be 100% priced in
If anyone wants a glipse at the logic behind I think this Moldbug piece is pretty gud unqualified-reservations.org