We’re seeing the largest credit bubble in human history.
Empty shacks with no tenants and a mortgage, what could go wrong?
China’s economy is built on unsustainable growth and when that falls it’s taking the rest of the world with it.
Think about this.
When the US housing bubble popped, it took the world economy with it. What do you think would happen if that debt was almost five times as large?
That’s the Chinese debt bubble. It’s not a theoretical, that’s actually happening. The bubble will pop when China stops building ghost cities. Given they’re already 85 trillion dollars in debt from this alone, that will happen soon.
awesome then btc and eth will prevail after the retard jews fiat scheme fails
Ethan Walker
Awesome then food and lead will prevail after the retard Jow Forums crypto scheme fails.
Fixed.
Landon Lopez
there is no collapse coming faggot
if our economy collapses we make up bullshit to get out of it and if any country wants to invalidate our bullshit then they get nuked. why do you retards really think this "inevitable statistical guaranteed numerable collapse" is going to happen? it is fear porn.
There won't be a 2008 style collapse because the fed will buy up debt and print money, FOREVER
This is nothing less than a guarantee that there is no better place to put your money than into equities.
Owen Smith
Excuse me, which fed is buying who’s debt?
Leo Taylor
Then inflation makes the dollar less valuable thereby making BTC more valuable
Austin Hill
>The Fed will buy up the debt Are you actually this retarded? Kek it will be worse than 2008
Carter Cruz
There won’t be a collapse; the fed will inflate the shit out of the dollar to keep the ball rolling another 10 years.
Cameron Morris
ther is no shtf cataclycismic collapse agreed
but there is a major correction coming, and because 'times are fucked" or "capitalism is broken" but because cycles of boom and bust are part of the system. It's been 11 years since the last bust, debt levels are way higher now than at the time, interest rates are so low there is no wiggle room left. China was a buffer for the last crisis, but the next one comes from China, which is garanteed to take most of Asia down with it. Based on the aftermath of the 1997 Asian markets crash and how much these markets have grown their share of the global economy, you can expect a pretty gruesome bloodbath when it comes, i.e solid buy opportunities for those who time it right
Lincoln Adams
*and not because 'times are fucked"
Chase Jackson
>Incoming If the Jews announce that the recession is coming, then it's already here. Stay woke
Bentley Johnson
This Also all the pension plans are balls deep in stocks so the gov can't allow 2008 again
David Gomez
>Thinking those overpaid analyst women will fight in the trenches of a corporate banking war
Err no
Ian Turner
1781 1861 1941 2021
Ayden Cruz
The invisible hand always wins, Weimar proved you can’t print money infinitely.
Landon Taylor
What the fuck are these? I’m a supposed to have your Nostradamus predictions on my wall?
Luke Lopez
you think that money is going toward employee wages lol?
we got the best jets, best missile defense systems, best navy.
we can plant a aircraft carrier anywhere in the world within days, no other country compares. PLUS we have multiple other first world countries that do as we say, there is no country as strong as the US and its allies.
Ryder Howard
I think it's a reference to the theory that there is major society upheaval roughly every 80 years (the average lifespan of a person, and the average length of the collective memory of how fucking stupid it is to start a world war)
Andrew Barnes
i dont think those dates reference anyone except america getting involved in a major war
Jason Barnes
there will never be another world war. nukes changed that.
there may be world destruction by our own hands tho
Connor Long
yeah because there are no wars rn and every country has nukes are you fucking retarded?
Nicholas Walker
Lol why do you think the UN and EU try to denuclearize everyone? To be nice?
Matthew Robinson
boomer here. I dont get how everything hasnt already collapsed. The cost of almost everything has way outstripped inflation and wages are flat at best. My mom recently retired from a job that paid 100k/yr in today's money when she started at the age of 34 with a few years of work experience and a master's degree. Now her job (for the next person) is temp part time contract BS no benefits at 60k/yr phd preferred. lmao. Her first house was 114k in 1991. Less than 2x her gross. Same place (30 years older) is now 270k while a similarly new place would be 4-500k. Easy 6x gross. So whats the plan? Dont have kids, dont own a car, dont buy anything?
Camden Brown
Zoomer here. I don't see what the big deal is. I just bought a house and it will give me a place to sleep, to come home after work, to live my life. It has value to me, and why would i have any reason to sell it? I'll always need a place to live. If I was gonna sell I would just end up buying another house anyway, probably uprgrading actually, so it would be nice if prices dropped across the board. I really don't get what all the fuss is about
Benjamin Cruz
>Implying rn are wars Are you fucking kidding? Everyone is playing with 1% of his army power in the middle east and just shows of aka testing out his newest shit
Benjamin Myers
t. crisis of the 3rd century AD in the Roman Empire
Jayden Hughes
ww3 2021 black swan event will precipitate the cascade
Jace Rogers
Because an economy in a constant state of collapse is actually good for the state from a control perspective
Connor Myers
I'm 28 I have a decent job ( 60k ) I can't afford a house or a condo I don't drive I don't spend money on anything I don't absolutely need to survive I don't go out I don't date I can't have children given the economic circumstances
Even my well off friends and family is feeling the squeeze, something is very wrong, the cracks are starting to show
Enjoy the Ride.
Brandon Morales
>Even my well off friends and family is feeling the squeeze
Probably not living within their means.
Gavin Brooks
What the fuck are you doing I make like 15k a year in a 1st world euro country and I live better than you
Nathan Price
> Makes 60K > Doesn't have a car or insurance payments > Can't afford a house Either move out of California, or stop doing cocaine.
Justin Morris
well people have only been working your typical 40hr a week jobs relatively recently in the grand scheme of history. when these structured jobs came out employers were paying an honest amount, thats why in the 50s you could afford a family on one person working. sure inflation has something to do with the change but I doubt it, its mainly a slow progression of reducing employee amount and maximizing their efficiency, too many people going to college, and outsourcing tons of jobs.
companies are greedy as shit and thats the reason people dont work places their entire life and tend to look elsewhere after a couple years.
best advice would be to create your own business. thats the only place in this world you will get paid depending on how hard you work.
Julian Turner
People were starving during Weimer.
Xavier Russell
Real wage growth uncoupled from economic gain step by step as the labor forces participation in workers unions dissolved. But you know, convoluted right wing tax reform will explain to you why it is the lefts fault and not union dissolution that makes you poor. Keep getting cucked wagies
Benjamin Richardson
Could be MA, RI, CT, NJ, or Maryland or Delaware (dont know their abbreviation cause who cares). A lot more states have become unlovable for real people.
Nathaniel Richardson
fuck off retard, the left hasn't given a shit about workers for 30 years, and they haven't even pretended to give a shit for the last 10
Trump Derangement Syndrome is all the left has now.
Connor Reed
Yup all prices have outstripped inflation due to QE, ZIRP, and globalism. The crash is coming as boomers retire. 10,000 boomers retire per day
Chase Russell
Ah yes the left. Go on peanut brain tell us more of this left / right world you speak of.
Noah Lewis
Yields are about 3x per square foot what they were during Weimar and the USA is a giant food exporter. It will not be famine in the USA rather some kind of property/asset price collapse
Jayden Moore
>fuck off retard, the left hasn't given a shit about workers for 30 years, >1990, when liberalism won and communism lost Really makes you think
Did i say the left supported the reform needed to bring the benefits of widespread labor union participation back into the economy? No i didn't, all I said was that the right would rather blame the left then support labor reform, and you just proved me right.
Jayden Ortiz
I've read about China's debt problems, so hopefully I can somewhat elucidate it for Jow Forums. - Society puts enormous pressure on young men to become property owners; if you don't have a house, then you're nothing and no woman will marry you. Families pool resources to purchase them properties just so they have the slightest chance at securing a woman and thus having kids. - People often fail to acknowledge that China is still a communist state. Central planning still exists, although it's more behind-the-scenes now, and effectively managed through targets, quotas, implied threats and, if that all fails, direct government intervention. There is no distinction between public and private; state and individual. - Most large companies and basically all 'mission-critical' companies (as decided top-down by the state) are effectively guaranteed by the government. What this does is gives such companies blanket powers and incentivises rampant speculation. If they fail, the government bails them out. Simple! - Chinese people have the highest marginal propensity to save in the world: 40%. The state, through its banks, has a monopoly on these savings through wealth management products, offering decent rates of return and effectively guaranteed by the government. An ingenious method for reharvesting its peoples capital. - China, while quite centralised, does give provinces a large amount of autonomy in certain areas, but demands they hit targets, of which the two overriding ones are growth and stability. The easiest way to achieve them is for provinces to support crooked monopolies and squash dissent. Furthermore, they have a strange method of cycling money around by 'loaning' large tracts of land to property developers, who then convert it to these ghost cities you see everywhere.
Aaron Anderson
That sounds like an obvious disaster. Give me the bullish interpretation. Why can we say "this time, it's different?"
Andrew Perry
Well I'm pretty sure all the major players (e.g. Soros, Buffet) have been saying China is about to collapse for two decades now and have obviously been proven wrong. China is making huge geopolitical gains in SEA, Asia (building pipelines from Beijing to Pakistan's coast) and, of course, Africa. The state is heavily investing in surveillance and control technology (e.g. social score, CCTV with facial recognition, big data) and, given another decade or two, will effectively have total control over their citizenry. Total control means total collapse is, if not impossible, highly improbable. Given that stability over everything is China's doctrine, you're more likely to witness a slow regression rather than a sudden collapse.
Jaxon Peterson
Good analysis. In the back of my mind, too, is Adams law of slow moving disasters
Ian Smith
>prices drop across the board >you now owe a $100,000 loan on a property that will sell for $14 and a loaf of bread >you no longer have the option of moving without paying 2 mortgages I hope you got a nice starter home Zoomer, its the home you will die in.
You forgot that the Central Banks this time have enough Power and knowledge to avoid those crisis's , as you can see the ECB in Europe Crisis 2012 -2015 with greece , they made a Huge money umbrella to save up broken states. On the other side a lot of german banks are still in great danger because they are very deeply envolved in southern european states loans... the next bubble burst should be somewhere started in the EU this time .
Prob California. I live there and my situation is almost exactly the same (similar age too). Something is very off. A lot of my friends have lost jobs and can't find work recently. Rent has skyrocketed even in the past couple of years. A few of my friends are now homeless. Also there are homeless people showing up everywhere and camps are cropping up. Things are falling apart.
Landon Murphy
Nice argument there nigger. This economy will continue to go up and up. The economy won't collapse on its own though. It will collapse when a global shift happens. We could be in a 100 year bull run before things really go bad civil unrest style
Californian here to, it's all fucked. I don't why most of our people still think this is the best state. A lot of them don't even know the huge homeless problem we are having or the other huge problems like illegal immigration or the Chinese from China buying up all the houses with their corrupt business money from china only to rent them out at high prices. I get the issue why people in our state are for the illegal immigrants, we want to help out immigrants and such. But the problem is most don't understand the economics and that it wasn't a problem before because not many people were doing it but now a shit ton of people are doing it and it is affecting our economy along with rich people moving their money over from Asia.
Dominic Rivera
So why should I sell my BABA?
Samuel Jenkins
>no chance of default ever we’ll just print more you forgot, >but we cannot guarantee the purchasing power of that money youtu.be/HxSLtC62RG0 for every dollar the fed prints, it furthermore devalues all other dollars in existence
central banks will keep fucking up until they get rid of the humans
Brayden Baker
Based and chinapilled
Mason Russell
lmao all central banks have ground down all their tools to keep the financial pyramid scheme from collapsing. namely, low interest rates. they pretty much can't go any further south. they also can't go up or all banks go bankrupt with their disappearing spreads. no way out of this one. it's game over for this financial system once the spark hits.
Colton Peterson
That’s the biggest bubble of all them (military) you fucking faggot In 08’ the recession basically killed the middle class, we just threw 10 trillions at it to fix it and didn’t work, it made things worse This recession will completely wipe anyone that’s not rich. Hope all you faggots prepared yourselves
Daniel Ortiz
What will we end up with after this one? Communism or German style turbo Fascism?
Anthony Torres
What is the best option? Stay in cash?
James Phillips
>Communism or German style turbo Fascism? Two sides of the same coin which is technology. The technological state, the technological dictatorship, the technocracy, call it what you will.
Tyler Morris
So fucking ready for this collapse. Everyone is going to be fucked while I'll be comfy with my 20k LINK stack.
Charles Jenkins
Bitcoin you dropkick
Parker Wilson
>what do you mean a chicken in every pot isn't enough?!
Dominic Mitchell
This is more like the US than most want to believe
Mason Adams
Federal Reserve. Our country died in 1913. Can it be revived? -Maybe.
Juan Moore
LOL how will you be comfy with your garbage funding token?
Austin Evans
Except Americans literally don't know how to save money and won't spend within their means, even you put a gun to their head.
Josiah Gomez
because dollar value losses 10% per year
it's literally throwing away money not being in debt
Andrew Foster
>China in debt
How does that work, when the US is in debt to them?
Gavin Wilson
"Within their means" is a constantly shifting goalpost. Most people aren't terrible with their money. Not saying American's couldn't significantly improve their spending habits with some careful budgeting, but what really fucks most people is compounding interests on shit they need but couldn't afford otherwise. Things like reliable cars, clothes that don't look like shit for work, household repairs, emergencies, etc... The "within their means" assumption is only valid if someone manages to break into a good career without somehow accruing debt and lives like a monk otherwise. If they can't accomplish that, then what's the point of being hyper-responsible and thrifty when being in debt will almost always lead to a higher quality of life, like said.
Blake Allen
>literally starving normies will buy my virtual shitcoin when a financial collapse happens the absolute state of minimum wage zoomers all-in on scaml1nk
WW1 is actually what fucked Europe. WW2 was just a side effect of the first war
Tyler Davis
>Most people aren't terrible with their money
This, except the exact opposite. There’s a reason why so many live pay-check to pay-check. It may have something to do with the fact that they come in to work every day with a $10 sugary drink from Starbucks, spend another $10-$20 on snacks and lunch while at work, and then talk about the car they’re looking to upgrade to when the one they have now works perfectly fine and 3 years old.
Caleb Kelly
You fucking nigger, the problem is the hyperinflation that made a sandwich $12 in the first place
Carter Stewart
Not me baby precious metals gang up in this bitch. I'm gonna buy 10 houses for 1 ounce of my precious silver thank you very much.
Jaxson Miller
What exactly is backing your LINK and why would anyone buy into it when they can't even make a mortgage payment?
Noah Edwards
There are way to many people that do live like this but its a blanket argument. Rents in my area are far higher than they should be, bills are higher than they should be and so so many people are picking up second jobs just to get by and they certainly aren't the types to buy Starbucks 3 times a day. It is becoming all to common and competitive. Even people with great qualifications are needing a second job. There is certainly a problem that ridiculous globalization is causing.
Parker Martin
but zerohedge said
Noah Butler
considering that graph is a fractal there are a number of dates you could pick and create the meme chart
Kevin Johnson
houses are still cheap except in multicultural hellholes and work can be done remotely
Hey fucktard, you know the world economies are collapsing due to the US pulling out of the global trade security. The US will be fine, anywhere else not so much. Germany and china will be devastated the most. I'll be chilling on my recliner watching the shitshow.
Owen Gomez
>work can be done remotely as an independent contractor so you can get fired at any time with no notice for a fraction of the on site job. and if it can be done by a pajeet guess whos getting the job?