Sport betting

is sport betting Jow Forums?
what about an alliance /sp/ - Jow Forums instead of talking only about cryptos?

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Betting isn't, but being a bookie is. But nobody on Jow Forums could enforce.

What about matched betting?

it's like saying making a crypto is Jow Forums and buying it it's not

noob question: is matched betting possible besides the first time you subscribe? you get the bonus when you are new but what about next?

PENALDO HAHAHAHAHA SUUUUUUUUU!!!!!!!

FUCK THEET MAN SUAREZ

FUCK JHON TRAVOLTA

PAUL POGBA IS SHIT

I am. Start: 150€ Method backtested on 1 year of football games, competition.

Bankroll management is key. And a good method ofcourse.

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>gambling on sportsball
no thanks chief, this is a /chinkscam/ board

teach us, master
this could be the beginning of a cool general

Matched better here. There are tons on tons of bookees and many of them offer reload bonuses and free bets for major events like UEFA and Worldcups. You could make easily 3000 euro in your first run. You could then ask someone you trust to assume their identity to do it a second and third time. Currently I am pretending to be my gf. Already made 4000 euro. Its literally free money. You just need some capital and read really carefully the conditions each bookmaker puts up for their bonuses.

here's some free advice: betting on the nhl is best because the -1.5 lines are always so juiced and most NHL games have an empty net goal at the end so the winner is usually covering those -1.5 lines. Also this add too the total over/under so if you can find a 5.5 o/u line on an NHL game most of the time it will hit the over

ur good

I see, I'm Italian and here I don't think it's even legal here to bet on websites that don't have the Italian AAMS loicense

well fuck. Im German and the market is really over saturated here

betting X is the most profitable it seems. I can backtest a method for you if you want.

what am I looking at here?

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logged the Json of european football games data before they where played, odds before and results afterwards.

Backtest bot on this list.

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I'm sure you beat the math bookies make a living off of

where i can find that bot? I guess that you still need to have decent predictions or in the long run the bookmaker will win anyway
for example you should exclude all the matches where one team is considerably stronger than the other

You can't i wrote it myself. I've found methods that beat the bookies, but not on Premier League for example, but a combination of Germany, Portugal, Italy, Spain...

would you share that? or at least the source of the json data so I could do that myself

I'll share you the json, no problem, it's in dutch though. What's your mail?

what's the JSON schema and why is it relevant?

my mail
jbarbosaphd at gmail dot com

I've been betting on ncaa basketball and sucking. A good rule to follow is one of Trump's: no deal is better than a bad deal.

It's just the backlog of all games data before they are played, with odds. So you can backtest methods. You'll need to be able to program to actually test it.

send it to [email protected]
thanks

is this serious?

matched betting is most profitable if you're an aussie. we have multiple books competing, and they're all offering $500 in free bets to sign up. There's about 10 of them. Very easy to make ~3k after going through the matched betting process.

also, once peerplays releases their btc betting exchange it will be even more profitable since you'll be able to cover you free bets with btc on peerplays for smaller fees/better margins

yes, i don't post my normal email here brah

send

thanks bro

thanks

how's Belgium?

pretty good

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forgot to ask

>what's your bankroll?
>how much did you lost/won so far?
>did the prediction model you built works at all?

Yeah, it works, but i feel like i need data from 3 - 4 seasons. The bankroll i started with in the simulation posted is 150€ and the bets are 5€ doubling bets when bankroll is 20 x the bet x 1.2€.

But i only got this far in the simulation. It's a grind honestly and i'm not sure if the results of last year will be the same as next year. We'll see the risk is not that big.

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i would probably bet based on intuition, can't be arsed to built a script to do that.
if you have a basic understanding of soccer you can make pretty accurate bets.
also, keep it simple -> bet 100 euros on 1.2.
over time your bankroll starts to grow nicely

i think it would be a good idea to combine the two things
anyway afaik /bet/ was killed by mods on /sp/ so if we could attract more football fans here it would be great
forgot to reply, it would be nice to have some data to simulate
i don't know anything about nhl tho

Yeah, that's probably the safest and best method out there. But i feel like increasing bets is needed. I'll backtest that method for you.

This gives a loss actually

6/4 1:9:4 Afrekening: Total games: 2606 played: 173 didn't play: 2433 Correct: 140 Wrong: 33 Procent: 80,92% Bets: 1730 (10€/game) Money: -139,78€

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you forgot the classic rule: don't chase losses. (can you even program your script to do this?)

a good prediction model would incorporate news about teams, players that are injured, etc

Yeah definatly. But that's a whole different ballgame to be honest. This is just number crunching.

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is that pic that guy Hess from /bet/ on sp?

It's from /bet/ yes. No idea who Hess is.

I know this guy made a profit from smaller leagues google translating the twitters from indian teams etc to get an edge

I’m a sports handicapper and a early BTC adopter. I’d be ready to cap some coins and talk ATS. I do already just through different sites like therxforum , covers, sbr, cappersmall, madjacksports, etc.

>I know this guy made a profit from smaller leagues
but that's the secret though. you bet on less known leagues since bookies don't have enough data to make a good prediction

>tfw used to post in /bet/ every day from 2014-2017
>tfw made thousands
>tfw discord killed /bet/

I tried making threads so many times in the last few months and no one replies anymore.

i'll be making about $400 this weekend in matched betting. here's the start of the plan. if anyone wants the rest i can keep going.

Deposits into softs for bonus bets:

Amount: $200
Bonus Bet reward: $200
Platform: PointsBet

Amount: $200
Bonus Bets: $400
Platform: BetEasy

Exhange platform for lay bets:

Amount: $2000
Platform: BetFair
Bonus: 20% increase on winning bets up to $150 for the weekend

*******

Bets:
[turnover @ points bet to withdraw initial $200 deposit. bet must be @ odds of 1.50 or greater as per terms and conditions]

Sydney win @ Points Bet. $200 bet @ 1.51. = $102 profit syd win, $200 loss syd loss.
Sydney lay @ BetFair. $182.5 bet @ 1.54. = ~200 profit syd loss (after 20% bonus)/ 98.55 loss syd win.
Sydney win = ~$3.50 profit
Sydney loss = break even
$200 turned over, now free to take profit on bonus bets.

[bonus bet turnover for profit]
Huddersfield win @ pointsbet. $67.5 bonus bet @ 5.5. = $303 profit hudd win, nothing hudd loss.
Huddersfield lay @ Betfair @ 6.2. for $55. =~$66 return after 20% bonus for hudd loss/draw; $286 pay out if hudd win
= $66 profit hudd loss/draw, $17 profit Hudd win.

It's the same in Australia - so much competition and so many different bookies offering free bets. I didn't realise it was the same in Germany too. Any platform recommendations user?

I'm interested in matched betting, but I live in a 3rd word shithole and finding sites with decent bonuses where I can actually withdraw my money is a pain. Are there any crypto based sport betting platforms where you actually get free bets?

Betting/gambling is lame.
Sport is lame.

This is business and finance, not a pub.
Btw when I watch a sport event sometimes I use to bet it because otherwise is boring as fuck.

this website is about making money faggot & matched betting is a legit way to make side cash

unfortunately i don't know of any - but keep an eye on wagerr and peerplays. both may offer bonus bet incentives once they launch