I'm not much of a risk taker but this feels free. The way it works is you set the game to 1 bomb 24 diamonds and then you click 1 tile and cash out. With a bet of 1 coin you receive back 1.03x. Now I know what you're thinking, "you'll eventually lose because you win 24/25" and this is true but there's a work around that I think the site hasn't considered yet? So it's true if you pick the same tile over and over the odds are you lose 1/25 and don't profit. BUT what are the odds of the bomb appearing on the same tile twice in a row? That would be 1/50. This means you can essentially double your chance to win by having 1/25 bombs and ONLY picking 1 tile where the bomb was in the previous game and then cash out right after. This means your win chance is now 49/50.
Maths Your wins should average to 49/50 0.03 * 49 = 1.47 Your Losses should average to 1/50 1.47 - 1.00 = 0.47 profit This should average out to 47% profit over the long run if you only pick the spot the bomb was in the previous game since it's less likely to appear in the same spot twice?
It could pick the same spot 10x in a row, it's unlikely but it's a possibility.
Noah Robinson
Each game is independent.
Connor Butler
ignoring various math mistakes you made why do you assume a centralized website plays fair? these "games" aren't charities, they're designed to make suckers think you can outwit them it might be something as simple as not letting you withdraw beyond a certain amount in any case, unless you're doing this for the thrill of gambling, you're losing your money (who cares) and your time (you should care about that if you don't want to stay poor)
Gavin Jackson
That's what I mean it's always possible to happen at any time but in the long run unlikely and should play out in your favor? I've been messing with it and profited so far
Thomas Moore
I know these sites and casinos in general are designed to profit but every so often we do see a player find a way to beat the odds and come out on top. It's working too well to feel like there isn't something here and math is on our side
Elaborate?
Cooper Garcia
Are you that fag who tilts his notebook to magically win?
Juan Miller
Okay dumb fuck fag boy let's see you get rich right now then
Matthew Butler
Also you do realise you're betting almost 6k per pop... If you're comfortable with losing that amount of money in one hit, all credit to you.
Ryder Martin
you're failing basic math
Colton Young
You make such little sense idk if I should feel bad or not about letting you know you're the fag that you are
What's with the hate? You're clearly a peace of shit.
Camden Bailey
Your maths are completely fucked. The chance for a bomb to land twice in the same tile in a 5x5 grid is not 1/50, but 1/625. Furthermore, if a bomb lands on a tile, the chances for it to land on that tile again is not 1/625, but 1/25 again. You're thinking of probabilities completely wrong.
Dylan Gomez
I'm not sure how you got 1/625 because 25+25=50 If it was 1/625 wouldn't that only increase the chance to win by a ton
That would actually suck to lose but the odds are low and I should build up a lot to cover the loss and have profit before the loss comes
Landon Gutierrez
Go all in or shut the fuck up dumbass
Hunter Martinez
I don't know what the game you linked is about, but, if we're talking a bomb-icon appearing on a random tile in a 5x5 grid, the chances for it appearing on any single tile is 1/25, and the chance for it appearing on a single tile twice in a row is (1/25) * (1/25) = 1/625.
This doesn't mean that if it appears on a tile once, that it has a 1/625 chance of appearing on it again. It has a 1/25 chance of appearing on it again (this is where you fail at maths)
Nicholas Wilson
Not my fault if you gamblers are degenerate, /x/-tier delusional. Btw it's all in the archives niggerboi
Bentley Edwards
I learned that you can do sure bets trading future-contracts, essentially if the future contract is higher in price than the current price of the commodity, you short the future and long the commodity. When the date the future contract expires comes up, the price of the future contract and the current price will be the same.
Does anyone know if you can make meaningful gains off of this?
Alexander Robinson
The site is stake.com and it has a house edge of 1% which means you will lose money over time...
Ethan Thompson
This guy is actually fucking retarded
William Wood
Whatever, die
Brayden Morgan
But if you play 2 games how are you ever going to see 625 blocks there will be only 50 every time
wtf?
Ayden Jackson
I was talking about the op but sure fuck you too
Luis Diaz
Kek, my bad faggot fren
Nathaniel Hernandez
Statistically, the bomb appears wherever you clicked 1/25 of the time. Assuming each round is randomly placed of course. The programming of the outcome could also be different where it puts the bomb where you click at a slightly higher rate. If it's 'fair' and 'random' though it should be 1/25 wherever you click. Look into Bayesean probability. The probability of it being in spot A given it was in spot A the last round is still 1/25.
Gavin Hernandez
This is what's wrong with Jow Forums. You actually try to have a conversation and you get these clowns. You really have nothing better to do than talk shit online and it says a lot about your pathetic lives. Now gtfo my thread thanks :)
Gabriel Bailey
What site is this even
Liam Myers
LOLLL I run this shit on /biz so how about you gtfo my entire fucking board you'd prob gamble your 5 iq if you could so learn to get some culture and class
Ryder Davis
Being at that age where you know just enough stuff to be able to be a full-on retard costed me 100k$ OP.
Logan Lee
>le 12 year old "i own stuff" nigger fuck off newfag
Landon Morales
>getting baited
Hudson Cox
It's stake.com
I mean I've only lost once so far and I'm still in profit so it's a low chance to get another loss so soon. How did you lose $100,000 that blows
Jackson Baker
Haha OP cant into highschool math. Let me guess, you are doing manual labour aren't you op
Gabriel Evans
Jesus cucking christ. I used to work as a Blackjack and roulette dealer and your math is even more retarded than what I heard from the players
Caleb Anderson
I've not even read the op but I can already tell that the probability calculation will be wrong and, surprise surprise, whatever gambling site you are creatively shilling isn't operating at a loss.
Mason Morgan
And you can't into high school grammar. And what if I am? There's plenty of successful manual labor jobs that are far better than your unemployed ass watching daytime tv and trolling Jow Forums all day. Get a life
Matthew Johnson
the probability is always 1/25 to get the bomb, the events are independent
Adam Reed
Newfag? Ive been here longer than we knew you were fucking retarded and that's a loooooong time hahahha
Tyler Bennett
Even if this was true which I think is questionable that would make it 2/50, 3/75, 4/100 and keep going. Before idiots start flaming I understand how to reduce fractions but given the context would you not prefer 96 spots where you win? For the cost of 3 extra losing spots you gain 72 winning spots which is a good trade
Jordan Taylor
>You really have nothing better to do than talk shit online and it says a lot about your pathetic lives And what did you just do?
Jaxon Rodriguez
You're dumb as fuck. If the bomb is on space 1 on your first turn, the chances of it being on space 1 aren't any lower or higher on turn 2. They are completely separate instances and have correlation to each other.
Carter Young
No it is actually statistically possible to win lots of money on this game. Just duble your previous bet each time you lose so that you can cover your previous loss. Every time you win start over with lowest possible bet. I made like 400bucks from 10 a few weeks ago, altough it was in casino ;)
Nathaniel Nelson
mate say the first square has the bomb, the probability for the first square to have the bomb next game is 1/25 not 1/25*1/25, it would only be 1/625 in 2 indepedent runs for the same square . you already know the bomb went in that square the first game so it's not 1/25, the event already happened and the second one is independent so it's just 1/25 not 1/25*1/25 because the first already occurred and is independent of the second
Logan Harris
>you already know the bomb went in that square the first game so it's not 1/625 *
Luke Bennett
OP is just advertising his gambling game
SAGEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEe
Kayden Ramirez
no, youre retarded.
yes the odds that the bomb appears in the same box 2 times in a row are 1/50, but since its a new round the chances you lose stay at 1/25. Its not a workaround, it simply makes you think you have a "technique" to multiply ur money. you will lose in the end.
Same reason the "Martingale" doesnt work (use google) in roulette. yes chances are pretty low that the ball will hit red 10 Times in a row, that doesnt mean that odds arent 50/50 in the 11th game tho.
Each round/game is independent, dont fool urself.
Dylan Perez
It's so simple even you could figure it out, yet the rest of Jow Forums wants to warp probability rules to dissuade you from getting rich because they are jealous of your success. Someone with no math training, reasoning skills, or higher education cracked the code and everyone here is full of salt.
Godspeed OP and after you get rich from this you should look into the possibilities available to one with a high level of chemistry knowledge (al**emy) and perhaps divert your efforts there. Someone with as sharp a wit as you might succeed where countless others have failed.
Elijah Flores
i cant believe this isnt actually bait.
Adrian Morales
>>yes the odds that the bomb appears in the same box 2 times in a row are 1/50
That's not how probability works. It's not 1/50 but 1/625. The rest of what you said is correct
Andrew Brown
If I'm dumb as fuck what does that make you then because I promise you I'm on the higher intelligence end here out of this bunch
Glad to hear you're in profit and not talking shit, grats
Okay but you're still missing the point of how 2 games has 50 spots...
Flex harder because I already graduated from university and if anyone is going to beat the odds here it's me because I've seen nothing but uneducated freaks here 90% of you at least
Isaiah Bell
Uneducated yet you think you can beat the house? You're fucking shit if you think you're smart with your "guaranteed profit" I guarantee you already lost everything fag LOL
Dylan Nguyen
Honk Honk
Gavin Sullivan
>BUT what are the odds of the bomb appearing on the same tile twice in a row? That would be 1/50. The ultimate state...
Jack Reyes
You're just a poor child lurking biz for some kind of opportunity but guess what it's not coming because you're useless. 0 contribution in any post you make and I'm sure that goes for every thread here that's unlucky enough to have a degen like you on it
Already went to university for 5 years nice try though :) How's your GED going? We know you couldn't finish high school but you'll get that GED one day I believe in you
Jayden Johnson
>doesn't understand high school math >acts smug and lies about going to uni oh am i laughing, thanks for my weekly kek tard
I seriously hope he's just pretending to not understand basic probability
Ryan Cook
youre right, my bad.
Lucas Cox
>graduated from university
cool dude, you're still obviously not competent of logical thought. What kind of degree did you get? Gender studies? congratulations.
Dominic Bailey
this is one of the best threads ive seen in a while, thank you US School system.
Ryder Nguyen
For anyone trying to call me dumb or that I didn't finish uni anything to say now fucktards? didn't think so. I even left the dust on it to show you how long it's been. In short...GET ABSOLUTELY FUCKED Jow Forums
Double color ribbons shows I finished in top 50 of the class so I think this wraps up the debate over who's the retarded idiot ;)
If anything sounds risk free then you do not understand it well enough
Jaxon Gonzalez
LOLOL did you seriously post a stupid fucking hat??? I'm in tears from how much im laughing at your stupidity hahaha anyone notice how this dickwad never responded when I said I bet he lost everything??
Easton Wright
lol he had to go to college
Andrew Stewart
ye my mom made me when I was 18 lol but it paid off because now I'm smarter than everyone on Jow Forums
That's right I did and as I thought you have nothing to say. I'm actually up even more btc than when I started so fuck you there too. Don't be a hater because I got everything the bitcoin, the degree, the girls I got everything so you can stfu now
Michael Cook
So how much have you won with this strategy? That's all I care about.
Connor Fisher
More than a guy like you could ever imagine no offense. Anyone thinking I lost it all or I'm stupid check that balance how many times am I going to shit on Jow Forums tonight with facts? Unstoppable irl, at the casino, on Jow Forums. Come at me
Nice bro. Fuck those Jow Forumstard poorfags. Larping faggots pieces of shits. Prolly some niggers or shitskins anyway.
Camden Miller
Maybe I am a little heated but I gave my trigger warning 10 posts back so if you can't handle the consequences I suggest you leave now before you get hurt. Go fuck your my little pony doll or whatever you nerds do when you're not being a delinquent on Jow Forums
Exactly bro finally someone in the sea of broke ass retards who understands
Christian Watson
Brag about your 2 shitcoins more because you'll lose it and I know this you really think you can go all the way and make a casino bust then you're a delusional retard faggot and im going to be here laughing my fucking ass off when you bust and start raging
Jaxson Carter
I never fucking said I can make stake bust all I said was I can easily make money off this and then LEAVE stupid little shit you're so pissed you're broke ass can't make any bitcoin and that's why you want to bring me down but guess what I'll always be on top
Brayden Watson
>it's less likely to appear in the same spot twice
lmao
Nathan Perry
Just take the winnings m8...
Brody Bailey
Long thread but was funny and worth the read
Brody Stewart
The chances of the same tile being picked twice is also 1/25. Your math is based on a false premise.
Jordan Moore
100% rigged
Blake Reed
Bump for updates OP, have you made a million dollars yet?
William Cox
>No.13548689 Stake isn't rigged just the OP is clueless
Austin Powell
Bahahahha, bruh you gonna get fucked. I actually play on this site regularly and have cashed out several times over.
You should read how mines is calculated. There is no set place for the mines to be.. the calculations are done the moment you press bet how many times you can reveal.
You have a better chance rolling dice
Kayden Hughes
Oh I'm still taking this winnings as we speak don't you worry about that
You're a false premise this shit is legit as fuck and we better start playing Queen because I want it allllll I want it allllll
You want an update I'll give you one when I make a little more
I read I calculated and I conquered man I feel unstoppable right now
James Walker
hidden shill, sage and ignore
Charles Thomas
How much bitcoin have you made so far will you make it rain in chat pls
Landon Taylor
My Grandfather smoked his whole life. I was about 10 years old when my mother said to him, 'If you ever want to see your grandchildren graduate, you have to stop immediately.'. Tears welled up in his eyes when he realized what exactly was at stake. He gave it up immediately. Three years later he died of lung cancer. It was really sad and destroyed me. My mother said to me- 'Don't ever smoke. Please don't put your family through what your Grandfather put us through." I agreed. At 28, I have never touched a cigarette. I must say, I feel a very slight sense of regret for never having done it, because your post gave me cancer anyway.
Luke Reed
you sound even more obnoxious than the bitconnect guy, end your life immediately
Blake Garcia
Tell you what once I reach my goal I'll win one more for the team and do a rain before cash out no problem I have plenty to share rn
Hahah nothing you can say will bring me down rn this is probably the best night of my life. And I did end my life I'm a new man after today fucking stake out of this much bitcoin
Justin Morris
I don't understand programming or math, but invest in crypto the post.
Jonathan Diaz
When will the rain be sir? I'm hoping soon
Matthew Hall
Quit while your ahead bro, have you gambled much in your life or is this your first real taste?
Jeremiah Moore
That rain is coming don't you fucking worry man
I used to play poker with change for fun but I've never done anything like this before I smashed my goal twice already just one more and I'm out this time
Aiden Robinson
Okay I will wait...good luck with your games...
Aaron Russell
Yeah I figured it was too obvious I was making fun of you even with how retarded you are. Great troll thread though really got Jow Forums to come alive.
John White
go play hi-lo, all in on lower than a king.
Jason Parker
We made it boys! 1 bitcoin to 4 in one session with my strategy that people think is retarded. Sure there were a few losses on the way but I pulled through like I knew I always do. Thanks haters stay broke :) :) :) Such a good night
lol? Are you idiots serious? Let's see both of you combined make 1 bitcoin to 4 and then we will see who the real man is around here
Lucas Turner
i have made far less to far more and now i am set for life I dont need to gamble I do propeties and stocks unlike you fucking piece of shit nerds
Jacob Flores
Nice lie fag I'm the only one here with something to show everyone else is all talk so show the bitcoin or shut up and take a seat behind your superior that is I and forever will be the number 1 bitcoin earner on /biz
