ppl betting like crazy in moon3d since eth price is now at $266.72
ETH price going up
Joshua Anderson
Grayson Williams
The house edge of Moon3D is advertised as 1.5%, which means the median bust should be 1.985x (1.975x accounting for the social multiplier).
Let's examine bustabit, which has an advertised house edge of 1% and an expected median of 1.98x.
Median over last 1000 games: 1.98x (expected)
Median over last 2000 games: 1.93x (below expected)
Median over last 5000 games: 1.96x (below expected)
Median over last 10000 games: 1.96x (below expected)
Median over last 20000 games: 1.97x (below expected)
Median over last 40000 games: 1.98x (expected)
Median over last 100000 games: 1.98x (expected)
As you can see, above ~40,000 games or so, the median converges towards the expected median of 1.98x. We can presume that 40,000 is a fair number of games to backtest in order to view the expected median and eliminate variance. Obviously, the more you backtest, the more variance is eliminated, and the true median will approach the expected median asymptotically. If, beyond 100,000 games, the expected median is not the same as the true median, it's either that the odds are being advertised incorrectly, or that a 1 in several trillion event is unfolding before our eyes. Usually the former.
Now on Moon3D:
Expected median: 1.975x
Median over last 100,000 games: 1.94x
This suggests that the actual house edge is over 3% higher than what is advertised. To the Moon3D team, I'm just wondering why there's such a large discrepancy... hopefully someone can enlighten me. Thanks!
PS. Also there's the fact that bustabit allows for the median to be checked in the chat but as far as I can tell this feature is not available on Moon3D, and you need to download and run the code to do the same.
Get btfo you scamming pajeets.
Kayden Thomas
honestly, how much
Alexander Bennett
Nice ad hominem response. You’ve ultimately been btfo’d. Now kys Ranjeesh.
Colton Ward
Lol, im not even sure you understand what you posted. you just copied it from the 1st guy who commented that lmao kys gago
Brayden Lee
explain yourself pajeet, lmfao
Grayson Turner
Great rebuttal. You have no explanation because you’re a deceiving scammer.
Angel Lewis
>betting like crazy
>20 players
Kayden Wilson
okay, what do you NOT understand retard?
Jonathan Diaz
Lol, you still wont agree to it, besides its too much for a simpleton like you