What are the odds that Bitcoin rises to $15,000?

What are the odds that Bitcoin rises to $15,000?

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100% certainty.

But when.

100%

depends on the timescale. today? near zero. within 5 years? 90%+

But what of within 3 months?

are you asking because you are going for leveraged long pos?
if so, jul 22 should be a date on you calendar...2 short weeks away

most people will tell you that we are in a bull market, in which case it would go to 15k within a few weeks. i personally don't think so (too early, seems artificial, chart not touching moving averages like in past bull markets but like in fake bear rallies)

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Why do you think the Bitcoin price suddenly exploded? I believe it's because of Facebook's Libra and the subsequent news coverage.

But it could've also been a multi-millionaire manipulating the market.

I don't think the halving would do this to bitcoin this far away.

Or it may have been all 3.
The manipulator moved as soon as facebook announced its own crypto, the media covered it, and people began to buy bitcoin, raising the value.