2020 predictions

>dubss
Praise kek!

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>He’ll lose Florida
Not if I have any say in it

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Dayton...MNs DFL governor is not running again. Republicans camt stamd him and Democrars werent too impressed with him. Tim Pawlenty, MNs 2 term GOP governor who served before Dayton is running again. Theres a good chance that Mn elects a GOP governor. If so Id say there is a chance...very slim..but a chance Trump wins the state in 20.

PA will glow as red as hot iron.

Literally all Trump has to do is keep his promises, then sell the fact that America has turned around, and talk up that there are so many jobs and wages are rising. Then all he has to do is say "Look, I ended a 70 year old war. Who else has done that?"
After that, he merely needs to point to his opponent and say "This party though, they have done everything they can to push us towards a civil war. Every thing that was done they screamed about and said was wrong. Yet never once in 4 years did they even TRY to make America better. All they did was divide it more by lying to you. Ask yourself this, would you rather have dividers and weak basedboys in power? Or would you rather have 4 more years of prosperity building?"
Boom. Landslide.

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fingers crossed CO becomes red, fuck denver

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Either land slide for Trump or narrow victory.
Too soon to tell honestly. It really depends on the democratic candidate.

Exactly the same as last time, except Virginia will go Red.

>implying Jeb won't win in his home state

I can't wait for the prophesy to be fulfilled.

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Yeah even my liberal family doesn't like him.

The real question is what loser the Dems will pretend to give enough of a shit about

I live in a solid red county in FL, havnt seen this influx of puerto ricans you seem to be referring to

>Didn't bring back manufacturing jobs
>Strongest manufacturing employment gains seen in the last 42 years

Are you always this retarded?

Thinking Florida probably goes blue in 2020 because of the influx of Puerto Ricans. Colorado is staying blue too, but I can see Minnesota and maybe New Hampshire flipping to Trump.

North Florida will come to the rescue once again don't worry

As much as I'd like to see Colorado go red, the influx of Californians has made a pretty serious impact culturally. I feel like this state has become California without a beach. It'll remain blue.

Trump won't gain Nevada it's full of Mexicans

Mark my words, it will be Kamala Harris. The dems are completely balls deep into identity politics and will not settle for a palatable white man or woman. It will be easier than 2016

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He won't win Clarke county you mean

Nevada's gone, dude. Clark county's growing hispanic population will negate the votes in the rural areas. Arizona's getting there but not quite yet

I really want this to happen so we can all laugh at Illinois.

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praise Kek

witnessed & agreed

Oregon is also possible. Cali will flip red if Dianne Feinstein goes under for the voting fraud that happened in her senate election. She won counties that where hard red in the 2016 election. The tampering was huge.

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Filename

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Not bad, but Minnesota should be a neutral color and New Hampshire should be pink

If the Dems put up a white candidate it will tear the party apart. Should be pretty fun to watch

praise pele

Not a bad map, OP, not bad at all.
Here's a few suggestions:
>CO
Colorado is quickly becoming a leftist state with the dudeweeds moving in. However, now that is is expensive and weed is legal in several states, the impetus to move their may eventually slow down. Even so, the young cockroaches that moved in as well as migration of Hispanics may keep Colorado Democrat for a while.

>NV
Nevada is competitive, sure, but Mexicans and California Mexicans are steadily moving in there too from what I hear. I'm going to Vegas for the first time soon, I'll see what it looks like outside of the city and gauge accordingly.

>FL, MI, WI, PA
Florida is a battleground, as are the three surprise Rust Belt states Trump won, but you may be accurate with 2-3 of those. Something tells me either Detroit or Philadelphia will have better turnout in 2020 and bring the state to Democrats. Not sure about the effect of Puerto Ricans, but I'll live back in Florida by 2019 so that's one non-pozzed vote anyhow.

>NH
Why is New Hampshire the darkest shade of blue? Why not medium blue or even light blue? Trump's marginal loss there has to count for something.

>MN
Minnesota is hard to say. I don't know much about the state's politics, but Trump's outcome there was fairly impressive. It could be a surprise if he campaigns aggressively and delivers more on trade deals and manufacturing.

Also consider Senate races in these states that could affect turnout and voting a straight ticket.

Here, here!

>If they choose Kamala and identity politics, they hemorrhage whatever white working class voters were left in swing states and fuck themselves
>If they choose a white candidate, overall turnout will be lower, just like Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico all voting for Bush when boring white old man John Kerry was nominated

Oregon is highly likely, Portland-metro is very 50/50 now, the liberal hive seems to have sustained itself in SF and Seattle however.

If Trump can do something for the Native New Mexico will go Red overnight, larger reservation-pensions, ect.

Trump will take New Hampshire in 2020

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>Florida has had a massive influx of Puerto Ricans in counties that Trump won. He’ll lose Florida, New Mexico and Nevada. Maine won’t get split, it’ll go blue. He’ll pull out a minor win.

thats because you live in a red county
no one lives in red counties

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I think Maine and New Hampshire flip before Nevada.

ITT: Buncha brainlets who don't know shit about American politics.

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like a spic knows anything.

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I would have added in the medium blue for a few of those to show less than 5-10% victories, but this is a bretti gud map.

trump takes all that he had + nevada, minnesota and new hampshire

those bean people dont vote

I feel like Oregon could flip Red. Its the only pacific state the Democrats dont have strong grip on, since Portland is the only big city in that state

Why is Colorado democrats? It's a pretty rural isn't it?

Bush was within 0.5% in 2000 and something under 5% in 2004 I believe but after that it hasn't been competitive in a while. Out of the West Coast it's easily the most vulnerable, but I can't see that many people changing their minds for Trump as of now.

Because the Californians move in droves there because dude weed lmao

Influx of Californians, Denver transplants, and dude weed! people

Minus florida, plus Minnesota

Is there proof it is actually Californians? I want to know so I can prove that Californians are responsible for some of the shit in my state.

Here’s mine

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Nevada is lost to the hordes
trust me
they have this union here called the culinary union
they are the biggest corrupt lefty organization on the planet
they were bussing illegals to vote on working hours at our casino
they need to all be shot, filthy brown skin parasites
ive thought about recording a video of them all clocking out during my shift and posting it here.
not one white person among them

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2020 is way too contingent on things that haven’t happened yet to actually make a map.

Three things have gotta happen for re-election:
1) Trump has to keep doing reasonably well as President, ie economy doesn’t take a shit, no surprise war with Iran, etc
2) Trump doesn’t get taken down in some big scandal, basically the Mueller thing blows over by the end of this year
3) Most important, Dems don’t nominate some genial old white guy like Biden (who could crush Trump), but double down on toxic identity politics and nom Warren or Harris or someone like that

All that happens: Trump wins the Rust Belt again, and with it, the presidency. In no scenario, though, does he take Nevada, Virginia or Colorado. Thems gone

Currently they don't have one.

Biden would get slaughtered by Trump, Biden is dumber then dogshit.

>Biden would crush Trump

Lol no. Biden got baited into threatening to literally fight the President and is generally considered a paedophile by the general public. It would certainly be less of a blow out to Trump if they went for him over Far-left identity politicians though.

He's a pedophile and there's enough to prevent any public interaction due to it too.

Looks like a coincidence to me

Red is a nice color

Trump isn’t popular right now. He’s popular with well under 50% of the country. Biden, on the other hand, is generally popular. Trump’s not gonna win by being popular, he’s gonna win by being less unpopular than his opponent, like he did in 2016. That could happen with a shit tier far lefty like Warren or Harris, but probably not with Ol’ Uncle Joe

Believing for even a moment that Trump's honor guard doesn't already have the groundwork laid for a landslide victory.

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You have no idea what you're talking about, do you?

Cubans vote Republican

why is NM so blue? too many wetbacks?

lol. your poor sweetie. ca will never return to the land of sanity

Sure

I hate that Colorado is so blue

t. el paso county

lol k

Felons cannot vote

It's not just Californians, All the big states like NY, Florida and Texas are also responsible, but most come from California because it's so close to us

>From 2010 to 2015, Colorado grew by 408,320 people, a 7.5 percent increase and the fourth-fastest growth rate

) Trump has to keep doing reasonably well as President, ie economy doesn’t take a shit, no surprise war with Iran, etc

If Trump caves to AIPAC and starts a war with Iran he won't be re-elected but I highly doubt that will happen. He doesn't have enough public support to do it anyway. A serious recession is a major concern though since we're in another bubble and the left would love to see one just to get him out.

) Trump doesn’t get taken down in some big scandal, basically the Mueller thing blows over by the end of this year.

Muh Russia is finished. The main reason they are hyping this Goblino controversy is to distract from the IG hearings this week. They have nothing and Trump will likely just pardon everyone involved. Not a concern unless the Dems win majorities in the mid terms which is unlikely.

3) Most important, Dems don’t nominate some genial old white guy like Biden (who could crush Trump), but double down on toxic identity politics and nom Warren or Harris or someone like that

No fucking way they nominate Biden. Obama won because he had a coalition of all the minority voters plus shitlibs highly motivated for "Muh first black president". That simply doesn't transfer to an old white woman or man. They will double down on Identity Politics and run on an open borders platform. Expect Harris, Warren, Booker and the like which is good news for Trump since they are all weak candidates wand would get exposed. The Democrats have moved hard left and I expect them to make little or no effort whatsoever to get working white class votes or appeal to moderates. They will focus their efforts on FL, PA, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Long term the biggest problem for the right is Texas turning blue. Once that happens it will be almost impossible to elect a Republican. Fortunately we still have 5-10 years before that happens.

Florida has been flooded by Puerto Ricans, Georgia is looking a lot like Virginia did in 2004 before it flipped to lean blue, Michigan in 2016 was honestly a miracle.

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I specifically bet money on Trump because of MI.
It surprises me how fucking stupid people are not to see what happened to MI. Detroit was demolished after 2012 election. If you look at voting in MI, it was Detroit that carried the state blue. When they literally bulldozed an entire bigger ghetto of Detroit, only Hillary could believe that the rest of the state would carry her.

As far as the South in general goes, it's all about gerrymandering. If it wasn't massive cheating on making districts to favor one party, you would have New England a lot redder and the South a lot bluer. It really wouldn't surprise me if Georgia stays red even with more niggers.

Number one, it's only been two years.
Number two, Midwestern manufacturing jobs are growing at a many decades-long record pace.
I live in the industrial Midwest, and I have a lot of family members who work in manufacturing. They're all shorthanded because they can't hire people fast enough to keep up with demand.

Michigan in 2016 was decidedly not a "miracle." It was a rebuke of globalist policies raping the industrial Midwest and against the Clinton regime for doing so much to put it in motion. Additionally, a Republican administration came in and sorted out the mess left by Granholm. Blue collar Midwestern types are quite fed up with the Democrats and their policies at this point. When one side wants to support American manufacturing and the other side wants to bend over backwards for globalism based on identity politics, the choice is very easy.
Further, expecting the blacks to show up like they did for Obama is absurd.
I fully expect Trump to comfortably carry Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania again.

Now overlay population density

Biden the pervy old pedo can't beat Trump.

I'm in PA

If Kamala Harris runs, PA would still go red. Just gotta watch for those niggers in Philly

Yes, but the margin in Michigan after the recount ended up being only 10,704 votes. Simply a marginal increase in Democratic turnout in Detroit, Flint, and Ann Arbor and a marginal decrease in rural and UP support could wash away that lead. Michigan was a 9%+ state for Obama in 2012 and I'm confident the Dems are going to rev the machine back up in 2020.

I grew up in Northern Virginia and the Atlanta suburbs are the closest counterpart in the South to the type of demographic invasion and GOP upper-middle class suburban base softening that happened in Fairfax and Loudoun Counties. Georgia is transforming rapidly into a "New South" state like Virginia. Lots of Hispanics and Asians moving into the South along with snowbird yankees from New York and New Jersey.

no minnesota was the only blue state under regans second term

In 2012, the Michigan unemployment rate was north of 9%.
In 2018, the Michigan unemployment rate is about 4.5%.
Further, expecting minority voters to turn out in similar numbers as they did for the first black President in a historical election against two weak opponents who didn't remotely energize the base is absurd. You need to let the identity politics shit go, that's not going to carry Michigan going forward if the economic picture continues to improve.

I agree with your assessment of his base in the Rust Belt, don't get me wrong. I just wonder if they're going to keep the turnout up.

The Sun Belt looks far more vulnerable to me.

I think things will be fine, once you factor in incumbent advantage. I would say what worries me the most is if the Democrats run a blue dog type and Trump gets himself into a major scandal/the economy goes south.
What gives me hope on that, though, is that the enthusiastic Democratic base appears to be tripling down on identity politics. I'm really hoping they run some loony radical, which would make it an easy Trump second term.
Somebody like Jim Webb or even Joe Biden scares the Hell out of me, though I don't think the Democrats are capable of having one of them pull it off in getting the nomination given the current state of the party.

>Obama loses 50k manufacturing jobs each year
>Trump brings back 200k manufacturing jobs in one year
Hello faggot.

Thats because his opponent came from MN, user

Jim Webb was, for the most part, a fine senator. I would have strongly considered a vote for him instead.