picrel is how each State would vote today, based on weekly approval ratings of our nation's PotUS. I've given every State that has 40% approval rating to GOP. MI and NC are neutral as PotUS has a 40% approval rating in said States.
Do you think this is how States will vote come 2020? Is Texas turning blue due to all the Hispanic immigrants living there and have Dems lost the rust belt for good? Is this map in any way accurate or is it (yet) another example of >polls, (((polls))) and >*crying wojack* b-b-but p-polls? Discuss,
Statistically he's averaging 55.91% disapproval rating compared to 38,98% approval rating. If his initial approval rating (within the first months) hung around 54% disapproval v. 40% approval rating, is it safe to say that's the minimum he'll need to be reelected? In the last 12 weeks, only twice did he dip below 40% approval rating..
Cameron Cook
Remember (((they))) said he had like a 1.2% of winning? I do.
Ryan Jenkins
Democrats will lose the Governor's office in California in 2018. Save this post.
Nolan Wood
It was more of a biased, selective media reporting than faulty statistics. Early voting data showed HRC to have an insurmountable lead in states that allowed early voting/published early voting data. The biased media used these correct statistics for their own agenda (likely voter demoralization) and made these sensationalist projections of voting results.
In reality MI and PA don't allow early voting so no data was provided for them (surprise, surprise winning them was what won the election for Trump) and as key battleground States it was amateurish making these predictions with 0% data available and data for other swing states like VA, OH and FL being too close to call.
As more and more voting is done via early voting system, the results objectively only can get more predictable, assuming you look at data without bias.
Xavier Reyes
Cox is losing in the polls by 29 points.
You people are delusional.
Lucas Baker
idk, Dems have been running a single front for a while now (in CA) and are statistically a huge majority, plus Newsom is popular among his voters unlike, say Roy Moore whose wacky antics let Doug Jones steal the Alabama Senate race
Tyler Scott
Here's how the map will look like if the trend from 2016 continues, yellow are the states that might go either way
Arizona and Utah going blue is idiotic levels of stupidity.
Daniel Perez
Best trump does is win ME CD2 and the popular vote for 2 EC votes but Portland keeps 2EC from CD1 blue. Texas is red and so is NC
Lucas Perry
utah was probably a one time think, but arizona is going in this direction pretty hard
there was no mcmullin effect there, just demographic change
Jackson Wilson
>Only twice did he dip below 40% Dipping below 40% that short after being elected shouldn't even be possible.
Isaiah Wright
Bad metric if you can't show the relationship historically between approval ratings and actual voting. Clean that up if you want legitimacy to the idea.
Cooper Baker
.... this is Jow Forums not an article for the New York Times.
William Reed
the nose, knows
Isaiah Lewis
Trump voters don't talk to polsters.
Brayden Ross
he will in a couple decades
Zachary Morgan
>our team of ivy league pol sci majors give her a 98% chance of winning the election.
People don't want Gavin Newsom. Mexicans won't vote for him.
Jordan Powell
Which is why not being fucking stupid should be a thing here. If there is a relationship statistically between approval ratings and voting patterns then this might have a degree of validity, if there isn't then this is just complete BS, which I'm inclined to think.
James Roberts
really depends on who the democrats run. If its a bad candidate hispanics just wont vote
Dominic Torres
>trusting polls ever again after 2016
Caleb Peterson
>t. texasfag who's denying his state is garbage
Jaxon Diaz
Democrats always lead in early voting that is once again a retarded faulty metric
Don't you have some brown people to go complain about somewhere? Leave the thinking to the big boys buddo.
Landon Cruz
>trump will be running in a couple of decades you show the average intelligence of the people who believe in blue wave Texas.
Chase Roberts
his 'approval rating' before the election was a -27 and he won. The approval rating now is -12. by that metric if the election were today it would be a landslide Trump win.
Isaiah Foster
I don't think you understand how term limits work.
Asher King
This. I've never understood why people think approval rating is the same thing as "chance of winning".
Cameron Nguyen
Fuck off with your meme map you retarded nigger. sage
Imagine arguing with ppl in Germany or Aus about predictions of political party outcomes over various districts in their nation like it really fucking matters.
This. That +15 approval movement might be a little buffeted by the dems putting up someone more likable than Hillary, but it looks breddy gud for Trump in 2020 (so far, ffs it's still 2.5 years out)
Grayson Flores
>he will in a couple decades if trump is still president then, i don't think votes will matter much
Michael Parker
The problem is that the less than 40% approval in TX is not IN FAVOR of the democrat, it is that Trump has not gone far to the right enough! Giving it to the democrat is silly.
Polis looks absolutely full retard crazy town. Seriously holy shit how can anyone look at him and say "yeah, he should be the governor." Have faith, but still get out to vote.
just cus they don't like Donald doesn't mean that they'll vote for the Democrat. Both 2012 and 2016 proved that when voters are faced with 2 horrible choices, they will go with the (at least seemingly) more populist choice. If the Dems put up a cringey, empty shill like Booker, Harris, or Gilibrand, Trump will win easily.
Hunter Adams
>Blue Texas
This has been a meme since the 80's, one of my fav moments from the aftermath of the 2016 election was Joe Scarborough laughing uncontrollably for 5 minutes about Blue Texas & being told to stop multiple times
College educated whites went Trump... something the media and shills try to bury.
"Muh suburban retards" is a shill myth. Urban areas went Hillary ONLY due to their black and hispanic populations. The college educated vote demographics Hillary won was ONLY from blacks and hispanics. See pic related.
Hillary also only got 37% of the overall white vote.
37%
We are basically at a point now where it's white people vs everyone else (immigrants, blacks, jews, radicals etc.)
Just look at the demographics vs counties won.
It's time for any of that 37% out there to wake the fuck up as to what is really going on.
Time is short.
DEPORT ***ALL*** ILLEGALS
HAVE WHITE FAMILIES
BUILD THE WALL/SECURE THE BORDER
It can easily be reversed if we do those 3 things.
He has seen an 8 point drop in less than a year and a half. 8 fucking points. Trump's a meme and memes get stale as fuck within a couple years.
Jacob Hernandez
>Texas voting Democrat It's a real possibly down the road, thus we need to redpill those 37% of white people ASAP about what is going on, before it's too late.
Do it now before it's to late. Wake the normies.
-Build wall -Deport ALL illlegals -Get unjewed and have white families again
Texas turning blue ahahhahahahh nope not every Mexican in Texas is like some California socialist like the Mexers in Cali. They’re sensitive bitches. Most Mexicans in Texas are all right
>Is Texas turning blue due to all the Hispanic immigrants Nope. Abbot won 40% the Hispanic vite in 2014 which is a big increase from years before. It's all the damn Californians that stayed.
>Have Dems lost the rust belt for good? They never had it
Is this map in any way accurate or is it (yet) another example of >polls, >fucking polls
Hudson Morris
It depends entirely on who the democrats run. A Progressive could win the rust belt; an establishmentarian could flip states like Florida. The fact that democrats have this major divide is probably what's going to cost them 2020. I doubt a democrat will be able to get the monolithic support Hillary got. For that reason I expect Trump to retain his 2016 states and pick up Nevada, New Hampshire, and Minnesota.
