Is this user's analysis actually true?

USA! USA! USA!

In all honesty it won't matter because the impetus of authority right now is the U.S. military. Something people really don't talk about. But identifiable if you pay attention to whats going on.
That being said, he will. The political climate points in that direction.

Also for the first time in American history, we are at full employment. There are more people looking for employee's than the opposite.

This analysis is shallow and completely ignorant of geopolitics. The US by virtue of economic power definitely has a lot of negotiation clout, but the idea that the US set up this world order completely out of generosity and the goodness of its heart is ridiculous. It wasn't just to fight the Soviets, but also to leverage the world financial system and export its debt created via quantitative easing to quickly boost its economy. Without this, the American way of life is in significant danger because American debt will start to actually matter and budget deficits will no longer be possible.

No, he doesn't understand that the foundation of American power is their world reserve currency status, which is only maintained by both their overseas security commitments and their trade policies. Rolling back either of those is the end of the American Empire with the United States choosing to downgrade into 'just another country'.

Further, he focuses on Europe's problems but doesn't seem to understand that as bad as Europe is, America is worse off.

Europe is still mostly white, and the end result of the migration crisis will be deportations and a return to nationalism. They'll experience economic hardship for a bit, but Europe is highly technologically advanced and will remain stable. Think something similar to Japan where growth is anemic but where the streets are still safe and people are still plodding along.

America by contrast is like five years away from being majority nonwhite. It becoming the next Brazil isn't a meme, but a fact. You won't be able to save America without some kind of civil bloodbath. Your white population is nearly as old as Europe, but unlike Europe your infrastructure is held together by luck and duct tape. By maintaining the American Empire the US has been able to borrow cheaply and nearly indefinitely, which has managed to past over the serious underlying social problems it faces. But the end of the Empire means the end of cheap and unlimited debt, which means all those social issues will boil over.

I would rather choose an anemic economic outlook over civil war and South Africa tier genocide, but to each their own.

That's the point. We are ringing in the debt and passing the buck of international political dissidents to the very people who want to play that game.

youtube.com/watch?v=o--FmUXHPKE

Literally all your questions answered. Your welcum

The US has been and continues to produce more than 60% of the entire worlds technological innovations.

My main problem with the analysis is it ignores demographics completely.
Yes, if we somehow secure them then everything he says can become true; But there is a strong risk minorities ensure a Globalist comes into power and that's it.

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>Europe will magically solve everything with deportation despite that not even being talked about
>America will drown in brown people, despite having a president actively working to curb the influx and a history of just summarily ejecting brown people from their borders

This is just Peter Zeihan: the post.

He puts together good whitepills

user, the European's don't have any kids. The Chinese don't have any kids.

We have kids. We have oil. We can produce enough food to feed the rest of the world, and still have plenty left over.

America is going to be just fine. Everybody else is fucked. They don't have enough food, and without our navy, they can't even trade for it.

>ringing in the debt
I'm not sure what this means but you definitely aren't doing anything to curtail the debt. If anything, Trump reducing tax revenues via the tax cuts will lead to more money printing. The US can barely even pay interest on its debt and has to take more debt on to do so. With Russia and China recently dumping a huge part of their US treasury holdings, things can only get more dangerous in the US financial system.

We're still decades away from minorities being able to elect a candidate without significant white support, minorities don't actually vote entirely Democrat, and the Democratic party is rapidly imploding as their radical elements push for shit that the moderates can't tolerate.

Yeah, he's also right.

I wasn't disputing it at all

How about this. When China is in famine, an inevitable fact we can induce one at any time.

>Lol we'll keep sending you corn, rice and basedbeans, but you have to discharge our debt.

We have nothing to fear from China, not even their nukes. What, you think that space force is being Built?

No, user, it's being disclosed. China launches a nuke, it's neutralized inside of five minutes.

>China and Russia dumping U.S. treasury holdings

A literal non issue for the U.S. and a much greater problem for those nations. Stop hiding behind the meme flag. Show yourself.
The U.S. is going to remain the global security for international trade, it's streamlining that service. It will no longer follow the same jack boot services rendered for international conflicts however. Inflation will probably rise several points in the coming decade, and that's not a bad thing. Let the Fed print some more money. There's an active move to actual budget out our expenditures which has been grossly neglected for the last 2 presidencies.
It will take time. There will be some bumps in the road.
Wow, kind of like life.

>without significiant white support
That's the catch though, even if its shrinking: Theres still a sizeable amount of especially 40 year old white Women who vote Democrat

The post is a pile of horseshit, everything is written under the assumption that Murrica is the only country who can ever be a world power. If the US is really retarded enough to completely isolate itself, the EU or China will simply become the next global super power and regulator of the world's trade. Honestly, anyone having the amount of delusion and narcissism one must post posses to write out an essay of total horseshit like this is unbelievable to me. I want the 5 minutes of my life back.

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>but Europe is highly technologically advanced

Uh, I have lived in the UK, Switzerland, France Germany and Italy.
Not really, you think because of shiny public transportation and some showcase tech. projects (e.g. - CERN) the EU is advanced.

The average citizen in all these countries (not you Switzerland - but a bunker in every home? No car washing on Sundays? Really?) is less well off than the average American.

Shhhh I`m feeling soooo sleepy now. Uh guys, what about going to sleep?

youtube.com/watch?v=6cYZ8dUgPuU

Q is a meme, but this shit is real. Milint has gotten ahold of it and is using it for something big.

Videos like this are rarely anything but engineered. It's really good, and a dead giveaway of bigger players at work.

>will simply

Why don't they then? Why haven't they?

Just a short glance over it so many nonsense

>US is the least globally integrated economy

China has a monopoly on rare earth minerals for example.

>won´t catch up with up the US until 2263

Dude China builds ships like crazy.They have already more ships than the US navy.This week they launched two big DDs which are really cruisers.US navy cruisers are old and will not be replaced.The US navy is actually shrinking in all aspects.
The only plus for US Navy is CVs.That is already shrinking fast.China will has currently 2 CVs.More will be build over the next decade and will outnumber the US in about 15 to 20 years.Not to mention the MRBMs that can hit CV´s developed by China.
The next thing to keep in mind is that the US Navy is spread all over the place while China has everything (almost) in China.The US navy ships run into each other constantly because the personal is made out of muds,trannies and females.What you think about is the Navy you had in the 2nd World War.These times are long gone.

To make it clear to you burgers.
You have been sold out by ZOG.
The real economy is now in China.
The best infrastructure is now in China.
The best technology is developed in China.
Which is Quantum computers and modern reactors to name some.
China is sucking the US dry because of all the asian students and immigrants while they cloak everything.
The chinese dont need the US to protect their ships.They can do that themselves if they want to.Hence they own all the important harbours in Europe,Asia or Africa.
China can develop a mighty consumer economy themselves easily.
The population plus in the US is muds.And they drag the US down.Its not white people while China stays han chinese.
All they have to do is wait before the West simply disintegrates.

Right now the US is unable to militarily defeat Iran or NK because of various factors.

For now. They're going to bleed moderates if they run an open Marxist in 2020, and the rabid social issue platform they've cultivated won't settle for anything else.

EU is not going to be the next power: Either China will usurp us or nothing will happen

I see why you are hiding behind the flag. You are either A Bernstein or a Chong. Or Both.

>the Q LARP has gone that far
Jesus Christ

China can't maintain it's own security as we speak. There was an internal revolt in a province by some 3,000 army vets storming the regional capital just last month, of course this was blackout the moment some videos got out. China is struggling to project in it's own coast.
China is desperately trying to streamline the new silk road because they failed at taking over the sea trade routes terribly and will not be able to do so period.

Never take Americans seriously.

Because as it is the US has not been so stupid to just say "fuck it we are backing out of global trade" and leave the spot to someone else. Also, China is working on that. Assuming you are in your 20s or 30s China overtaking the US will happen in your lifetime.

Again: I said IF the US would back out of global trade like OP suggested in his screenshots. Of course they are not retarded and they won't. But if they did, it would probably be the EU short term and China long term picking up the spot.

No it won't. It quite literally won't. Japan and the Korea's are going to be the powerhouses of East Asian economics in the coming decades.

...

Nah, China is shit. The control Western media as well (by revoking visa's of reporters who report negative things about China), hence why you never hear about all the shit that is going down there (bad economy, political infighting et cetera).

China has no navy my dude. Eu has no military, period.

You think aircraft carriers are easy to build?

We pull out, and you all are too busy starving and fighting one another to even think about becoming a superpower.

You idoits, why do you think you can sail the oceans safely? Why do you think you can do anything without getting robbed by your hungry neighbors? It's US keeping you safe.

And now, you will all be reminded of that fact.

its actually kind of comforting to think there might be some deep state that can pull this off regardless of who is elected

A socialist flag not understanding reality or economics.
Flabbergasted again chaps

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Well to be fair we are not pulling out of everything. We are simply re-drawing the lines. Those who choose to play by our rules will do ok. They will get protection. They will get commerce. Those who want to win, they will go head to head against us. We will sabotage them. We will fight them clandestinely.

Classical tactical mistake over over estimating your own power and underestimating your opponents which general leads to taking unacceptable risks.

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>Also, China is working on that.

China will collapse from within, their rural poor will rise up and overwhelm the urban elite.
That is what what I will witness.

The EU has no will, they cannot even muster the will to pay for their own defense. Putin or some other local threat will end them.

China's food consumption-production ratio hit 1.0 back in the mid 2000s. While it's true that the US is the largest food exporter in the world, mainly due to goy beans, you definitely don't have the power to induce any sort of famine in China. At best you would force them to stop exporting food and use all production domestically. Or you know, they could import from many other net exporters like they're doing with Russia right now.
>non-issue
If the US continues to control the world financial system, yes. If the US insists on these trade wars, no. Then it's a huge issue.

I try to avoid malice but I find the past few decades of EU and Chinese economic relations to be so disgusting that I will find a spot of schadenfreude when the day dawns on them here shortly.

>China has no navy my dude.
>Eu has no military, period.
You know, it's current year. This info is accessible even to you burgers.

They do have a navy, it's literally called: 'People's Liberation Army Navy' cause they're fucking retards.

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Yeah. The foreigners itt are forgetting that we aren't leaving the world stage. We're just ending the free trial of mccaffe.

an australian pretending to have given an explanation of his opinion AND being european? impressive display of your aboriginal roots.

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Of course the U.S. will continue to control the financial system. That's the whole point of the trade wars dude. Why is this so hard to pick up on? You can look up the baseline stats. We have been hemorrhaging money to the international community "because". We are choosing not to anymore.

I hope winrar starts enforcing their terms as well for maximum booty blasting

Way to prove the picture wrong, mutt. Bravo.

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>You won't be able to save America without some kind of civil bloodbath.
We've already had one of those before, and it didn't stop us from becoming the world's economic engine.

Here's a different version of the same posts if you want the OG version.

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>us
(((them))).

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China is a geographic nightmare. Some regions can produce food, but most of it is shitty, Rocky soil. We pull out, China walls off and starts brutal commie oppression of the population.

Because if they don't, the entire nation fractures. There's just too much inequality between southern and northern China.

You've got to do some damn research before you start talking.

mostly thanks to mercenaries protecting the boat companies, but ok its all thanks to the US who is definetly not at fault for fucking up all those hungry countries (somalia, libya,,,)

The EU is too busy importing niggers to even have a military, let alone a world power. The Chinese would have the best chance but they also share land borders with hostile and high population cultures.

You have to be trolling me at this stage. My very first post ITT explained this. US global hegemony is what allows the US to control world finance and is maintained via having the world reserve currency. The second you stop patrolling the world's trade routes and maintaining free trade with the world, this will change. Hence why the US will feel the pressure of its debt.
Go back and reread my posts until you understand the issue I'm talking about.

RARE
A
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The thing China alarmists also never seem to understand when they panic over how China is going to crush us by calling the enormous us debt they've purchased is that we allow this to happen in the interest of wealth transfer and balancing the books. If China ever decided to fuck with us by calling debt, we'd immediately send them the IP theft bill and begin charging them royalties and usage fees which would outweigh that debt to the tune of more money than exists in the world currently. So essentially we would just blow up the world economy and say fuck you world, we are self sufficient. Have fun starving to death.

Your post was wrong. That's the underlying premise here. It doesn't matter what you wrote if you are wrong. That's why I continued with what I said.
The U.S. isn't coming back home and hiding behind a bunker with guns aimed out. The U.S. is implementing (new) tech and new ships and re-drawing the lines of what it wants to protect and influence. It's calling out it's enemies. It's high noon and we've got the faster gunslinger who happens to be carrying a fucking ray gun.

>people actually take China seriously
wew.

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When I saw Europe is advanced, I mean just that. They are largely first world countries with access to first world technologies and able to enact first world solutions to problems they encounter. They are not like China, who only possesses a mishmash of technological knowhow stolen by spies.

No, America doesn't have children. Brown people do. White America is nearly as childless as White Europe. Having oil and having food doesn't mean shit when your country has been flooded with brown barbarians for half a century. Europe will always be able to buy oil and natural resources from Russia and the near East. Europe's has enormous breadbaskets that only stopped producing food when it became cheaper to import it.

Europe, being much whiter than the United States, has much more time to solve its demographic problems.

America, if it intends to continue being white, needs to start deporting brown people TODAY. And not just making lip service like Trump does, but actual widespread deportations. And that will only partially help, since many of those brown people had children that now have birthright citizenship. You are out of time to solve your demographic issues. Start acting today, or lay down and die.

Europe by contrast has another decade or so before it will be in a similar position to the United States, and the change in perceptions there has been unusually swift. A full third of Italians want no immigration at all from outside Europe, and a second third want only very limited immigration. Americans still in the majority say immigration is mostly a good thing, even if they agree illegal migration should be curbed. You are behind current European developments.

Yeah, but your brain is missing the key point of your statement, and has failed you.

Nobody else can possibly patrol the world's oceans and enable safe trade. We pull out, and the entire global trade system collapses into piracy and warfare.

This is also called, returning to normal. Safe trade with your neighbors is a new concept, and we are responsible for it.

You obviously have no idea what you are talking about if you think American spies are stealing European tech. The Europeans are not producing any new shit. It's quite literally just the U.S. I'm a former Europoor. And Eurooor is a proper term because your average European is fucking poor.
They are not advanced. The access to first world technologies is quite literally because of the United States.

They've turned into a cult of out of control boomers. Check out Lee Stranahan and 0H0UR1's twitters. Qtards are threatening them and it's fucking hilarious

And just to add to this, the dynamics that led to Southern defeat (high dependence on specialized agrictulture) and Northern victory (broader industrial base) are reversed this time.

Where is the oil? Red states
Where is most of the shale? Red states
Where is the majority of our present industrial base? Red states
Where is the majority of our agricultural production? Red states. And Red parts of California.

Every reason the US doesn't the world applies to shitstain blue states. Texas could take the place of both California and New York as the financial and information center of the US easily with its ports and connections to Mexico.

Mercenaries can protect against 65 IQ people in rowboats with AK47s. They can't protect against intelligent pirates.

Here's the intelligent piracy plan. Sail out to a container ship from a big fleet. Set your homemade torpedo/remote control drone boats loose in its wake. Film them sinking the billion dollar ship with everyone aboard. Film the survivors being machine gunned in their life rafts. Call up the company and offer them protection for their other ships for the low monthly rate of $x.

Make $x cheaper than a Navy, and these companies will pay up. That's what the United States Navy protects you Chinks and Europoors against, for free, every day.

Your dumb if you think that's going to continue as a problem.

Nailed it in one post, user.

Yep, it's true.
Everything that's happening here plays into this, for example politicians trying to derail Brexit, May selling us out on the leaving terms, trying to cut our military etc etc...It's all just a big play for the UK to become reliant on the EU and its migrants because the juden fear Europe not relying on a ZOG USA for everything. The UK can easily be self sufficient but will the government of that self sufficient UK keep carrying people who protect rapist Muslims and blacks? London costs the UK more in benefits than the entire defence budget. Will British people in a self sufficient state be ok with this? What will happen to the current traitor government?
The tension in the UK is more than I've ever seen in my life.
The fire rises.

Corporate London will burn in your lifetime.

>debt
Backed by what, exactly? The US stops patrolling the oceans and export economies collapse. Japan rearms and the Chinese have to spend more on defense. The current scenario is based on the US playing ball with the rest of the world.

Fact is that we're better suited geographically, politically, and economically, to going it alone than pretty much anyone else in the world. We just lacked the will to power.

>America is the world police
This alone makes it a retarded analysis. That's the lie they used to tell boomers to justify all the pointless wars.

user, a race-based civil war of today is going to end up with at least 200 million people being removed from America, either through their death, or mass-deportation. As well as this, every bridge, power plant, and factory are targets. There's no neat, pretty frontline like there was in the Civil War, where all things behind the line were safe, except from the odd saboteur. A race-based civil war of today would have enemies in every single city, town, and village.

It's not something that would just blow over, with us coming out the other side rosy-cheeked, sunny-eyed, with only a scrape on our knee.

Yeah, it's getting bigger. Watch the Trump rally and look at the crowd near the podium.

Notice anyone?

This. We "owe" the Chinks as much as they dare to collect, which is $0.00. Those Trident IIIs guarantee that.

Destroyers and cruiser moniker is decided by displacement so out new ships are lighter not necessarily smaller or worse. For instance burke's can perform the same role as tichonderoga's and in fact more because they're newer however a few thousand tons lighter.

>Nazis cant into naval warfare

absolutely silly talk. Navies patrol the waters for international shipping lanes, and will BTFO all-comers. Pirates aren't dealing with just shipping companies now

Aircraft carriers are useless, lad.

>Air superiority is useless

Wow.

You don't need an aircraft carrier to protect against piracy. Look at how fast Germany alone miliarised in the build up to WW2. If the US goes into isolation you'll just hand the EU their perfect excuse to build their military.

Are you implying we dont police the world though? Because we clearly do

Not Navies, a Navy. Ours. The US Navy, patrols, etcetera. The rest of the world is brown water tier. The rest of the world might could come up to US Navy tier, but only at extreme expense.

I'd say its half right. The USA does utterly dominate world trade, at the same time the idea that the entire rest of the world will collapse if cut off from the USA is a hilariously patrotic and shamelessly hubristic thing to say.
I admire his love for America but the world would be fine without the USA's trade, albeit seriously damaged. Such serious damage would also be present in the USA. These things tend to be reciprocal rather than one way.

That extreme expense is collapse. Not only could they not afford it but the U.S. won't allow it.

What happens if a couple oil tankers from Iran don't make it to China because "pirates"?

You can easily sink our aircraft carriers with subs or swarms of missile ships. You can't project power with this kind of navy, but you prevent power from being projected onto you.

The argument isn't that the world won't survive. But it won't survive as is. And compared to the rest of the world, the U.S. will still be the hegemony, but with more conflicts in your part of the world and everywhere else.

You need a blue water navy to protect against piracy. Global force projection is incredibly expensive, which is why nobody else does it.

>EU

They can't pay for it.

You actually can't because aircraft carriers are designed to protect against that very thing. Not to mention they go nowhere alone. Ever.

>Serious damage would also be present in the USA?
Like what, more expensive groceries? Good thing we're already making record high wages.