Republicans won this district by 16 points in 2016.
nccivitas.org
Democrat McCready - 43
Republican Harris - 36
Trump is poison to the GOP and the greatest thing to ever happen to Democrats. Republicans need to distance themselves as far from Trump as possible - white women are leaving the GOP in droves.
Imagine if Trump was intelligent? Instead he's spazzing out about England and Germany while his campaign manager is being called a traitor.
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Salty little bitch
Blue wave faggots don't know about Trump curse. Keep it up.
>Imagine if Trump was intelligent
it's were intelligent, faggot learn your own fucking language
>Trump curse
You mean the one which sinks GOP candidates?
I know this. Can't edit post.
Trump curse is real - ask Roy Moore, Saccone, Ed Gillespie, etc. etc.
>NC
>Voter fraud at all levels
DEMAND paper ballots and watch the volunteers like hawks.
election odds give republicans 40% chance to keep the house. Trump had around a 28-30% chance according to the same odds.
Trump lost the popular vote by 3 million. What killed Clinton was lack of Democratic turnout/third parties.
The same mistake will not happen again - Democrats are out for blood.
Again, according to the data science, the GOP has a 40% chance to keep the house. The same data gave trump a 30% chance to win.
"Democrats are out for blood" wtf does that even mean? House elections are sometimes very local and it could come down to the wire.
>"Democrats are out for blood" wtf does that even mean? House elections are sometimes very local and it could come down to the wire.
What does that mean? Ask Roy Moore, Ed Gillespie, Rick Saccone, etc. etc. See the over 40+ seats Democrats have won since Trump. Even the seats the GOP won - Montana, South Carolina, Georgia, Arizona - they did it by the skin of their teeth.
2016 will never happen again. Trump got the same votes in Wisconsin as Romney did but only won because Democrats didn't turn out and many voted third party.
Trump is a disaster. He's not all up there in the brain. Anyone with any intelligence would have dominated.
Thank you for that witty analysis Shareblue. Isn't it time for your break? Remember, Jesus thinks you're a cunt too.
It depends if you take that data and use Trump as a model for future elections. I remain doubtful that Trump is a new norm for all elections. Moore shows that you need to be Trump specifically to actually run a Trump campaign. I've yet to see anyone copy it successfully.
As it stands, it should be better said that the Democrats are more galvanized than back in 2016. Given that they have been snapped out of their "assurance of a Clinton victory".
The question is how galvanized GOP voters are now. The SCOTUS pick should be one but if the Senate rush through the confirmation, the GOP can't use it to rally their base.
Clinton - 65,853,514
Trump - 62,984,828
The American people rejected Trump. We will make that known especially in 2018. Ready?
Roy Moore made a mistake Trump learned not to make - DO THE DEBATES. Moore wouldn't debate Jones, and went to hide a lot. Trump skipped the Iowa debate and lost.
with the 40+, almost all of those are extremely local state elections.
Roy moore was a crazy case and if you look at the stats, had he not been a pedo, that seat would have easily gone red even with the "Blue Wave".
The non trumpers in 2016 still voted in local elections, they just didn't vote for trump. He's proven to be extremely conservatgive so they'll love to vote for him now.
How do you predict the generation shift to change elections? As it stands, it's predicted that Millennials will overtake Baby Boomers in 2019
Democrats picked those 40+ seats up. And even the seats the GOP won, most are just by the skin of their teeth.
Trump's approval ratings are in the dumpster and he's doing nothing to lift them back up. All he does is incite liberals.
Trump is the GOAT President for pissing off liberals, but the WOAT President for draining the swamp or MAGA. To me, it seems like most Trump supporters are content with "liberal tears."
>spazzing out
>Trump
no self awareness as usual
>spics, niggers, poo-in-loos, and kikes rejected Trump
Not Americans, not important.
>Trump won this district by 16 points in 2016.
Ftfy. Is Harris some GOPe faggot?
It's rather obvious that Trump's numbers don't apply to other candidates from the same district given that Trump is considered a separate entity from the GOP for many.
White people are history. u mad?
Why do Democrats only ever celebrate about special elections where the guy gets to serve for mere months before the real deal?
Y'all are dumb cunts.
The district has been Republican for LONG before Trump.
40 seats in bullshit local elections. The Democrats keeping having extremists win their primaries, which will prevent the blue wave from happening. Primary voters obsessed with identity politics vs. Hey, you may not like some of his policies, but the economy is doing pretty well right?
What are normal Americans going to choose?
You live in some alternate fantasy world. Democrats are going to do just fine.
A transgender woman in Virginia destroyed a long term Republican there.
White women are leaving the GOP in DROVES.
People didn't elect Trump for "the economy," the economy would have been fine regardless. We wanted to MAGA and instead all Trump does is incite liberals and pander to Establishment Republicans.
Past, present, a d future history. Day of the Rope soon. U mad?
>blah blah blah yada yada blah blah something polls something something its over yada yada
awesome post bro
more people this month quit their jobs in search of advancement than any other since 2000. People are comfortable, the economy is showing signs of recovery and at the end of the day thats all that will matter. Democrats have made themselves the "Anti-Trump" party. Thats all they stand for. All the GOP has to do is point to the economy and not stutter and they have this in the bag.
BLUE WAVE incoming
No one gives a shit about your (((polls))) fuck off.
If people are so comfortable, why are Republicans losing seats en masse? Why do Republican pollsters have Democrats winning in strong Republican seats?
Why did Rick Saccone lose to a Democrat?
The economy was doing fine under Obama, and would have did fine under Clinton. You're really overestimating the hatred people have of Trump. People HATE Trump.
sitting presidents usually lose the house in their first mid term
it's not a big deal if he keeps the senate
The legislature is a dead institution. Courts and executive power rule this country
Womb womp , good luck to passing law without the Supreme Court
>"people" hate Trump
You're improperly using words again.
Kavanaugh is a pick Bush would have made.
When Democrats gain everything back, we'll just pack the courts. Plus. we may not even need the courts when Texas, Arizona, North Carolina, etc. etc. become blue in the 20s.
If you're wondering why Trump gets his ass kicked, this is why.
No one wants to be associated with you guys.
people are leaving both parties not just the Republicans. If people were so happy with the established Democrats then why did they have to rig their primary elections for Hillary? People are fed up with Washington and are voting for "outsiders" Its why Trump was favorable to republicans over JEB and why Bernie garnered so much attention. The real test will be on election day when voters compare the rather extreme left candidates that have been nominated to comparably more moderate republican candidates. You keep talking about polls but I have yet to see a reason for why those same polls were so hilariously incorrect when it came to 2016
I'll trust the polls as much as I trusted them in 2016 LOL
>pack the courts
FDR was going to try to do this back in the 30's his own party threatened to disown him and block him then, you're actually insane if you think the dems would support such a move now. What would stop the republicans from just one upping the democrats in the next election?
>Texas going Blue ever
lol get a load of this faggot
Hillary Clinton beat Bernie because Bernie only got support from white male millennials. Clinton had a broader coalition.
The polls weren't "hilariously incorrect" in 2016 - once again, Clinton won the popular vote by 3 million.
Oh shit!
>Blue Wave
Blue Wave
>Blue Wave
Blue Wave
Good
bring on the acceleration
>you're actually insane if you think the dems would support such a move now.
They're even MORE likely to do it now.
Texas is only 41% white. Trump only won Texas by 9 points (Hillary won California by 30 points to compare).
Texas will be blue by 2024, 2028 at the latest.
Viva la raza.
Hillary beat Clinton because the DNC wanted her to win and suppressed the vote. Do a tiny bit of research, the DNC head was forced to resign over it.
>weren't incorrect
see
Where did they suppress the vote? Bernie couldn't get people who actually voted - that's why he dominated caucuses but got killed in the primaries. Black people wanted nothing to do with him. Same with women.
And about that - that was months before the actual election.
Trump didn't have some amazing turnout. He lost the popular vote by 3 million.
Trump got LESS votes than Romney in Wisconsin. Trump got LESS votes than Bush in Michigan in 2004.
Trump "won" because Democrats didn't turnout in some key areas, or went third party.
He won Michigan 47.5-47.3. By 0.2 points - it's not like he dominated.
Republicans are a dying breed in the USA, supported by boomers. They've won the popular vote just ONCE in the past 7 Presidential elections.
Do you play chess ?
Every now and then.
Do you win when you have more piece at the end of the game
Nope.
>surveyed 543 likely voters
Wow it's literally nothing
you now understand why Hillary lost and why muh 3 gorrilian votes matters as much as the shit I just took
Believing polls LOL
you might be right, however you are underestimating the siege mentality that whites are developing. if you think whites aren’t going to turn out you’re dead wrong. the midterms will maintain the status quo and trump will get anotger term. second generation latinos will drift towards the republicans and blacks will turn out less and less. the demographic landscape will force people groups to turtle up, and whites will turtle hard, and the republicans are the party that will have them.
Hey man, don't underestimate the Democrat's capability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. They did it by nominating Clinton in 2016 and they will do it again by pushing to Abolish ICE this November.
>Kavanaugh is a pick Bush would have made.
and there's literally already a negative story out about him splurging so hard on baseball tickets he was up to his neck in credit card debt a lot. All from white house disclosure shit and only like two days post nomination
heckuva job whoever was vetting this shit
Nope. Trump won the electoral college - Clinton won the people's votes.
The fact is, Republicans can only when with low turnout from Democrats. If Democrats show up, Republicans are done.
Republicans are the past - old white people. Democrats are the future.
3 MILLION more people supported Clinton than Trump. Democrats have won the popular vote past 6 out of 7 elections.
By the way, want me to start quoting what Trump said about the electoral college in 2012? If Trump would have won the popular vote but lost the electoral college, you guys would have declared civil war. Hypocrites.
See pic related.
>the siege mentality that whites are developing.
White women are abandoning the GOP in droves. Trump has been a disaster. He should have focused on populism day one - instead all he does is incite liberals on Twitter.
The fact is, Democrats have won the popular vote in 6 of the last 7 elections. The GOP base is dying - it only lives because of low Democrat turnout.
That 3 million you're talking about is primarily from California. It doesn't matter if you win 50% or 85% the net result is the same. Republicans are more spread out and won majority votes more often.
lol...everyone in this thread stop replying to this faggot
>The fact is, Democrats have won the popular vote in 6 of the last 7 elections. The GOP base is dying - it only lives because of low Democrat turnout.
You have it completely backwards, the fact that Democrats consistently lose while winning the popular vote proves that they only dominate on a regional basis, not a national basis. The fact that Clinton won the popular vote but Trump won the electoral college is a testament to how much a regional party the Democrats are.
The Democrats winning the popular vote twice in the past 16 years but losing is BULLSHIT and you know it (see pic related).
Trump got less votes in Wisconsin than Romney. Trump got less votes in Michigan than Clinton.
If Obama could have ran for a third term, he obliterates Trump. And 3 million more is still 3 million more.
Oops, meant to say "less votes in Michigan than Bush 2004."
>get more votes than the other party
>they're regional guise
fucking retard
also why are people such idiots arguing either side of this when the simple fact is Trump won by small wins in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin? He won them by about 1% or less and without them we'd be saying Madame President.
That's also going to be the main battlegrounds of 2020 barring other states shifting
#walkaway
who you trying to convince? if you want to convince people you're on the wrong site faggot.
I think I am convincing you.
I am, aren't i?
>Republicans need to distance themselves as far from Trump as possible
Way too late for that, you can't just get off this ride at this point. GOP should be helping Trump succeed because if he fails GOP is fucked.
>since Trump
whats the count since Obama 08 then?
have to weigh it against your mega huge number of 40
Do you think we're going to see a mass suicide of Democrats when the get stomped in the midterms this year? The pathetic "blue wave" meme seems to be the last strand of hope they're clinging to. I'm concerned with what will happen to their mental states once that last hope of theirs shrivels up.
You got it backwards
You think winning the popular vote but still losing is somehow something to be proud off.
No, it's the result of a disorganized party that campaigns in the wrong places
>Democrats didn't turn out and many voted third party.
wonder why
Why is it so hard to comprehend that winning big in California doesn't meant shit for the rest of the country?
>get more votes than the other party
>they're regional guise
Yes you dumb faggot, what exactly don't you understand?
Large cities are REGIONS.
If a Democrat gets more votes but the majority of them are concentrated in a single region (aka.a city) that makes them a REGIONAL party.
Fucking shitlib moron.
>Nope. Trump won
direct quote
whoa, powerful!
>rhetoric analogy analogy specious argument ad hominim ad hominin.
In you go, to the November cringe folder. Prepare to get a lot of unwanted attention in November.
Fun fact: candidates are aware of the paramount need to win the electoral college. If Trump was retarded he would have applied his resources in California and New York to pick up that five percent to win the popular vote. He spent less than half the money per vote than hildawg to win the electoral college. But he's a businessman and applied his resources to win the only thing that matters - the electoral college. Was it hubris for hildawg to waste her resources on the popular vote? Or is she just confused?
You're certainlg convincing me to get out and vote on a election day to shut you anti-American faggots down, but I don't think that's your goal.
>He won them by about 1% or less
the polls said he would lose them by 10%
what is the OP again
And no one want's to be associated with the hyperbolic emotion spewing babies known as the democrat. Don't worry friend, the Democrats will find a way to lose midterms.
why is it so hard to comprehend that the election hinged solely on the midwest and will do so in 2020?
you're just as much a retard as the other guy babbling about muh popular vote either way
>large cities are regions
and? they also often decide a state you fucking moron, or have you not noticed the NY upstate/downstate split
for the record this entire regional party bullshit is dumb as hell when you consider both sides get healthy margins in their "losing areas"
something I could give a rats ass about? I only came here because it was the most relevant to post my Kavanaugh post
blue/red wave stuff is bullshit until august polling, and really october before we have any idea what shit will look like come election day
Drumpf BTFO! I-its all over MAGApedes...
> Blue Dog Democrat beats Neocon RINO
> this is bad
Fake and goy
Underrated post
Yeah Democrats picking up 40+ seats since Trump's loss = losing. LOL
>In you go, to the November cringe folder. Prepare to get a lot of unwanted attention in November.
Yeah, Roy Moore will surely win now.
>the only thing that matters - the electoral college
Popular vote matters because of mandates. We're seeing the GOP get absolutely TRASHED all over the country because Trump isn't popular.
The Democrats picked up a 20 point GOP seat in Pennsylvania FFS.
Daily reminder: there is no prize for winning a “popular vote.”
its nothing to do with Trump and everything to do with lazy conservative constituents, such as all the faggots posting on Jow Forums right now
How's the wall coming along? With no mandate, the GOP doesn't have to give into Trump.
The fact is, if Trump would've won the popular vote but lost the electoral college Trumpers would've rioted and you know it (pic related).
The AMERICAN PEOPLE choose Democrats. CORRUPT SYSTEMS choose Republicans. Why are you bragging about being in the minority?
>I don't like a rule so I'm just gonna ignore it
Trump probably still doesn't like the EC but he understands that the only way to win the presidency is through the EC. In the meantime, here's your (and Hillary's) participation trophy. Brock is really wasting his money on you
The GOP has never gotten over 63 million votes in an election. How does the GOP plan to win 2024, 2028, etc. etc. when the GOP has hit a roadblock?
You can only survive the corrupt system for so long. Plus, Trumpers flipped out when some Electors thought about defecting (like that guy from Texas). If the Electors would have voted against Trump would you have been OK with that?
Part of me wants the blue wave so the civil war starts sooner.