Bavaria election next month - why is Bavaria so cucked?

38 percent for those lying idiots of the CSU who still prop up Merkel. 14 percent open borders Green party! Only good news is that social democrats are falling apart at 12 percent.

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Only Saxony has a chance of uncucking itself.

In economical terms at least, that political left has only 29% combined. (Greens, SPD and the Left)
Bavaria is still based. FW is basically a more value-based conservative CSU. And at least the CSU has been active in federal politics to counter Merkels ideas. I wouldn't shit to much on Ankündigungshofer, he is at least partly responsible for the change in attitude of the populace, remember his "rule of the unlawful in refugee policy". I also like that Bavaria has it's own Border Police Force again, albeit it rather symbolic due to the cucked federal government.

looks bad but it could be worse.

My prognosis:
CSU:16%
Greens:

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For the non-Germans in this thread: Bavaria has been voting majority CSU first like a gorillion years

>I wouldn't shit to much on Ankündigungshofer, he is at least partly responsible for the change in attitude of the populace, remember his "rule of the unlawful in refugee policy".

Who is the bigger problem, the left who are open about their "refugees welcome" shit and their "no borders" idiocy... or the CSU which lies to the population about "border controls" when I can just cycle or walk across from Austria to Bavaria unchecked because there are only 3 streets checked out of hundreds of border crossing opportunities? Jesus Christ, during vacation we walked over to Austria and back to Germany on mountains, over bridges, over land, everywhere. No police or border checks anywhere. I even saw a couple of Syrians or Iraqis with suitcases walking straight over.

>My prognosis:
>CSU:AfD:>16%
17%? Doubt it, I think anywhere between 13 and 15%

>Greens:SPD:FDP:5%
Could be, I think anywhere between 4 and 7%, could be they aren't making it in the parliament

>Left:3%
About right

>Freie Waehler?

Those asstards might still get 7 to 8%

>CSU-Green-SPD
No, more likely CSU-Green only or CSU-FDP-Freie Waehler. Could even be a CSU-FDP-Greens shitshow.

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>Grüne 14%

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>AfD
>15%

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What kind of person sees the current state of the world, wakes up on election day and goes to vote for the Greens?

>why is Bavaria so cucked?

C*tholicism

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Educated urbanites like the author and migrants

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How do you explain Austria, fag?

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>vote for le conservative le Crhistian honeypot who promises protection and le values and puts up some completely ineffective and counterproductive PR stunts then hands over all votes to the Merkel regime without enforcing any compromises after the elections are over

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bavarian_nationalism

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Welcome to democracy, bigot. Here's your obligatory pin

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The reason catholics didn't vote for the national socialist party is mostly due to there being designated catholic politial parties at the time with the intent of working with the catholic minority's goals in mind.

Well at least they are improving somewhat. Last elections CSU had like 50%+
What I cannot understand is why would that many people vote for green? They are the leftiest lefties and openly support islamists and migration. I bet they are funded by those muslims too. Greens are literally islamist party and yet people vote for them.

>What I cannot understand is why would that many people vote for green? They are the leftiest lefties and openly support islamists and migration.

Welcome to nuBavaria.

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Alright faggot, let me explain.

CSU also has the option of Freie Wähler (mostly Bavarian boomer Party, has Chance of reaching 10%), but even if they reach 38%, which is unlikely because many people iin Franken, München and other parts of Bavaria, mostly urban, but also suburban, will not actually give their vote to CSU, either because they lied in the polls, reality looks somewhat different, Seehoffer shilled to much in Berlin, as the media got populistic against the CSU or simply because they know other parties have realistic chances, they'll fail.


This will mean, that whatever the CSU will do, will be delightfully negative for them, by the factors of public opinion and political power.

If they pick FW, they'll expose themselves as power-hungry and lazy centrists, then they'll either have to trigger all lefties, the media, parliament and even their coalition partner by picking AfD, which would start to heavily influence the CSU and push back FW.
This would lead to sharp conflict with Mutti and political self-sabotage.

They likely won't do this, but if they pick FDP, the Image of cetrist, apathic and slow-working home-politicians will be increased and they'll have to adapt to their right-wing economic policies, which contradicts with the "Soziale" in CSU.

Otherwise, they'll have to take SPD&Grüne as partners, which will disappoint and anger every Bavarian, especially the rural ones.
Both political and popular suivide, because from then on CSU will have to follow the left-leaning political path of mainstream-Merkel supporters and will loose ist regional appeal, if that doesn't happen they'll have to do everthing the Greens and SPD want.

If FDP doesn't make it into the Landtag and Linke give their votes to Grüne, they're fucked, because they now can't compensate SPD with FDP to make a balanced coalition that might be their only chance to save face.


AfD may be able to profit from Chemnitz and puh back Grüne.

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Bavarian bump.

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Jow Forums, when Bavaria will return, will you be ready?

Post some feels ITT.

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Bump für die Heimat.
Digits confirm.

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CSU are notorious fraudsters. They and the CDU have used the names of dead people to launder as party donations. But ofc nobody ever gave a fuck

>But ofc nobody ever gave a fuck
A lot of people gave very heavy fucks. Even to this day.
It is just that that fat fuck, Helmut, the pear, Kohl gave us all his word of honour that all is well and thatbthere is no need to know the names of the people involved.
Kohl and his akolytes were to powerful to be touched.
Germany needs militias roaming the streets and hanging traitorous politicians