>LATEST ON FLORENCE AS OF 11:00PM AST SEPTEMBER 6TH:
>CURRENT CATEGORY: VERY STRONG TROPICAL STORM, NEAR CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE
>Location: 25.1°N 49.8°W
>Moving: WNW at 7 mph
>Min pressure: 993 mb
>Max sustained: 70 mph
>Forecast to pass south of Bermuda, Turning towards the US East Coast. Could make landfall on the East Coast at Cat 3/4+ Strength
>Useful Links:
>nhc.noaa.gov
>prh.noaa.gov
>PREPARE:
>ready.gov
>Models:
>windy.com
>spaghettimodels.com
Bermuda is completely outside of the latest NHC Cone. The "Recurve" just ain't happening. UK Model (Blue one) might be right on the money here
I LOVE YOU HURRICANE-CHAN
Cat 3/4, potentially even cat 5 are not outside the realm of possibilities. Interests from South Carolina all the way up to NE need to closely monitor this system in the coming days
>GFS shows it spinning in the atlantic
it's literally nothing
>GFS
It's been utter shit these past couple years. Especially regarding Florence's track thus far. Initially, GFS had it spinning away all the way since it was at the Cabo Verde islands.
Euro Model and UK are far more reliable
Shit, posted the one from earlier today. This is the updated one, still pretty much the same tho
>Baltimore gets hit with a hurricane
looks like a lot of niggers are going to drown
Who is the dark green here?
>me hoping it hits NY
Even better is that it will likely make landfall at Cat 3/4 strength, with large Wind Swaths
that's TABD, I would generally ignore that model though, it's been pretty retarded thus far.
Pic related is CMC showing Florence Direct Landfall in NC. Even better is that it's lingering about like Harvey did in Houston
meanwhile in the pacific
My extrapolation of the current NHC Cone. If this verifies, we got a happening on our hands
All Floridians are hoping for it to hit us. We love us a good 'cane.
I hope that South Florida gets a big one which means that the spics get driven the fuck out
OFFICIAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON FLORENCE
It'll be another Gordon-tier tropical storm. Some light flooding and a poor sap or two who gets killed by a random tree, but otherwise irrelevant.
Came here to post this.
how do you know so much about this user? What sites do you use? Or software?
can a weatherfag tell me what should we be looking for in the reports, are there like keywords/phrases they use that would let us know that they're legit worried about a hurricane will be a bad one?
Latest UK model Run. Most accurate one during Irma, pretty damn accurate so far
Looks like y'all might get your wish if the UK model verifies
Dead wrong. Check the OP, that "M" Circle in the forecast means Cat 3+ strength, otherwise known as a Major Hurricane. Pic related as well
Also, to answer how I know all this, I've studied Hurricanes for years now, looking to get a degree in Atmospheric Science at the moment.
Generally, you wanna look for whenever they use terms like "impacts", "landfall potential", "intensification" and "damage". Right now there a great deal of uncertainty regarding Florence
Floridians and PRanons should closely monitor 92L, which will likely become Helene
Thanks.
That sounds fun. Good luck m8
ok ty bro
Fuckin' saved.
Summary of the past day:
>Florence weakened all the way from Cat 3 at the start of the day to a Strong Tropical Storm.
>However, reintensification is anticipated once Florence gets out of unfriendly territory and into warmer waters, and low wind shear.
>Some speculation even occurred that the storm might dissipate, but no, that will not occur.
>She's a gamer. The core is there. So you can't count the system out just because it is devoid of convection. If it survives it will reintensify
>A series of strong High Pressure systems to the north will continue to push Florence further south. Only question is how fast will the High Pressure move away? If it lingers, we have a big happening on our hands. If not, it'll likely curve out and be a fish storm.
Pretty good illustration of what I'm talking about regarding the High Pressure systems effect on Florence, courtesy of @DaDabBuh
Direct Landfall in Virginia Beach just Inside 7 days from now Via ECMF
Comfy af threads, thanks bro
Hoping for something to happen here in Charleston SC
www.Earth.nullschool.net
Stop spamming DT, he's a fucking clown. Doesn't know shit. WXRisk should be disregarded always.
That said, 00z GFS running, storm is out to sea. Actually spins around the middle of the Atlantic and continues to deepen rapidly. Down to 910mb at 240 hr
Brother is already thinking about sharting next tuesday if Va bch is in direct path!