/ahsg/ ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON GENERAL 2018: Hurricane Florence Thread #2

Rundown so far:
>Florence
>Current Category: Tropical Storm
>Location: 24.8°N 52.5°W
>Moving: W at 8 mph
>Min pressure: 996 mb
>Max sustained: 65 mph

>Forecast to pass well south of Bermuda, Turning westward towards the US East Coast. Will rapidly reintensification into a Category 4 Major Hurricane by early next week. >Landfall on the East Coast around SC/NC/VA at Cat 3/4+ Strength.
>High pressure to the north will likely keep pushing Florence Westward
>Useful Links:
>nhc.noaa.gov
>prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
>PREPARE:
>redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.html
>ready.gov/hurricanes
>nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ready.php
>Models:
>windy.com/30.444/-88.429?27.800,-88.451,6
>spaghettimodels.com
>ventusky.com

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Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=k5UxIN3YsYc
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fran
youtube.com/watch?v=t_eFxBoKqk0
youtube.com/watch?v=NfUR9N_lZTI
youtube.com/watch?v=AKcXTzmw_2A
youtube.com/watch?v=t1TPMhxjzvc
youtube.com/watch?v=WaoNb1LnqLM
youtu.be/C9SiRNibD14
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hog_Island_(New_York)
i.imgur.com/UtXrUxS.gifv
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

Charlottefag here, we’ll be fine.

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think so lad? I live a little south of charlotte. Hoping for some wind and rain like last years hurricane.

>first for Irmachan.

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Eh if the Euro is right, you'll need some sort of watercraft to get around.

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You bastard.

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the ghosts of former slaves are going to get their revenge.

Agreed. At least I don't live in the middle of a forest.

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We’ll definitely get a little flooding but not enough to shut power off or evacuate.

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Florida fag here, make sure my other bros in other states are safe.

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O shit the souls of African slaves are coming for their revenge!

Fuck!

This is from the 12Z GFS but it shows a tropical system nearing New Orleans two weeks from today.

Let's meme this into finishing what Katrina started, lads!

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Damn, fucked up the OP image. Supposed to be this one

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9's theme
youtube.com/watch?v=k5UxIN3YsYc

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Daily reminder that Florence is taking a similar projection to Hurricane Fran. Do not underestimate the potential impact of this storm, even if you live further inland.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fran

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LATES 12Z EURO

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Good song.

Blessed to be born and raised in the best state in the country.

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Maybe, also when Florence hits name the thread /ahsg/ FLORENCE AND THE MACHINE

Poseidon is pissed I tell you

Godamn that chart.

HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS INFOGRAPHIC FOR THOSE WHO FLORENCE WILL BE THIR FIRST HURRICANE

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Hurricanes is what makes you strong lads. Everyone has a taste of Floridian inside them. Be strong.

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Hahahahaha. I remember that. Who said it?

Hurricanes doing gangbusters up in this ocean

Friendly reminder that
WE
WUZ
HURRICANEZ

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youtube.com/watch?v=t_eFxBoKqk0

youtube.com/watch?v=NfUR9N_lZTI

youtube.com/watch?v=AKcXTzmw_2A

youtube.com/watch?v=t1TPMhxjzvc

youtube.com/watch?v=WaoNb1LnqLM

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It's entirely possible. The attached chart shows the observed precip within the past 7 days down along the Gulf Coast due to Gordon. Plenty of 12"+ amounts.

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wow, this for real?

Why are hurricanes happenings you might ask? Well, Hurricanes bring massive winds, torrential rains, and insane storm surge to coastal, low lying areas. Pic related

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No, just nigs being retarded.

>Play Despacio one more fucking time, swear

Its as real as Wakanda.

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What i'm worried about is that shit crawling its way into Europe on the regular. Ever since Irma last year and the freak snow/summer this year the odds are spoopy 4 sure.

How do the Niggers explain Pacific Hurricanes then?

GFS is currently updating to 18z. Will post once full model run is out

I know its not real, I was saying did some black dude actually make that and believe it?

Here she comes boys

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>did some black dude actually make that and believe it?
Unironically yes. It originated straight from WOKE Twitter IIRC

It's gonna turn around and go to Portugal? Perhaps England, towards those who made it legal?

These nogs believe that some nig alien scientist named Yakub created white people thousands of years ago.

They're not called hurricanes, they're called typhoons.

That just sounds like some Finno-Hyper War tier memeing.

You're half right. In the West Pacific they're Typhoons, but in the Central and East Pacific they're Still Hurricanes.

You can do the research but a lot of blacks still believe in African spiritual and supernatural beliefs. Witch doctors are still a thing too. Even in the states.

Only called typhoons if they're west of the International Date Line.

You still have hurricanes in the Pacific, just depends where in the Pacific.

Current Intensity models

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>black hurricanes
>kills a majority of black people

Sounds about right.

Irma was a big fat bitch.

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904 Jax here. Any models showing a track to northeast Florida? I wanna get BTFO & stock up on comfy Pubsubs.

I'm not familiar with user is talking about but not hard to believe when people like this are out there.

youtu.be/C9SiRNibD14

Unironically yes. UK Model

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GFS model shows
direct landfall at the
Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune.

Looks like Russia has teamed up
with Mother nature

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>Florida
Jax reporting in. Bring the pain, boys

digits for cat 5

Top kek. Maybe this time instead of /Blue Shed/ Jeff gets to sneak into a Military Base

Can confirm. I'm a bouncer at a beach bar and we stay open during hurricanes and people still come out.

Bringitonnigger.gif

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18Z GFS THROUGH 96 HOURS
948mb PRESSURE

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>OhMy.gif

I’m ready boys. Let this be the one. After last year’s Irma, I went and got a generator & modem/router battery so I could still shitpost. Ammo is always kickin.

I feel you there user. I remember Harvey last year

>tfw I literally just bought a house

Swear on my life if I get 'caned and my house gets rekt, I'm going to buy the biggest gas guzzling tuck I can find, do oil changes in grassy fields, leave my lights on all day, and pour chemicals down the drain. Going to war with mother nature if she takes my home.

Any PRs here? How's Puerto Rico doing one year after Maria?

Right on. Whenever it hits us, the beer is the one to always to go out instead of water in super markets.

18Z GFS 96 TO 144 HOURS
HERE WE GO, CRUNCH TIME

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Bye bye Outer Banks

Not Atlantic but GFS has a CAT 5+ w/ 200+mph winds Typhoon absolutely anally demolishing Taipei next week.

Rip taiwan.

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Wind speed probability plus Arrival times

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It's a shame Typhoons usually get retarded chink names

Florence starting to redevelop some convection tonight. Shallow but occurring. Core remains intact thus far.

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Take my strength Florence!

We're gonna need a T H I C C Florence meme soon

What are the bets on a new inlet being carved through one of the islands. Apparently Oregon Intel wasn't there 100 years ago until a storm created it.

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NEW STATEMENT ON FLORENCE FROM NHC

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It's happened before.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hog_Island_(New_York)

1893 New York Hurricane demolished the island, and by 1902 beach erosion had completely erased it.

Especially if this verifies

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Florida bro here.
Was in the eye last year
Hopefully it passes us this time.

Last year none of the predictions were correct.

>942mb landfall
Damn, that's right on the cusp of Cat 4

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We'll see, UKMET was the most accurate during Irma and it's showing similarly

Ocracoke is fucked because they only have ferrys to get out and its literally just above the water.

Also this puts the 100 or so wild horses in danger.

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my city is full of browns i hope i comes right for us

The Spaniards are coming back for their horses

kek

hear about them drowning almost daily why do they live in florida and dont learn to swim

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Eight forecast bump

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTIAGO...FOGO...AND BRAVA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 18.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 18.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 18.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.5N 19.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.9N 21.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.4N 24.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.9N 27.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N 33.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 18.0N 38.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 20.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 18.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Charleston reporting in. I live on king street and have a kayak. Will keep you bros updated next week.

>inb4 Jeff's periscope gets cut off by Cat 5

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bump

You Atlantic niggers haven't gotten BTFO in years so its about time.

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Truth is it'll be rather quiet until the 11PM Advisory is issued.

Hoping for more East Coast anons to check in with their preparation plans desu

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i.imgur.com/UtXrUxS.gifv
Due to filesize limitations I gotta link this rather than upload it, but this is the 8 day florence GFS outlook. Not looking good for any fellow Wilmingtonians. A lot can change in 8 days though, and hopefully this misses us a bit.

Today's 18Z HWRF showing 140 kt winds as it's nearing the Carolina coast.

Out-FUCKING-standing!

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