Oof. Not looking good. I thought the blue wave wasn't real?

Yup. Polling got it wrong once. Not an argument. And praying it's wrong again isn't how math works my friend.

Remain will win the Brexit vote

Best we can do at this point is push them as far to the left as possible through November. Destroy the center.

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>Roy Moore can still win, polling is always wrong!
Top kek. You do realize citing rare examples of polling being off is not going to make the reality of things not happen, right? Most of the time, it is accurate. Banking on it being off is not a smart move.

the numbers look pretty good for the democrats, but i can't see these fuckers winning nearly as much as they should. they're busy campaigning on muh russia and muh treason when people are crippled by debt, unable to get healthcare coverage, and face a variety of other problems that deserve coverage.

Salvini will lose

You're a delusional dipshit. Most of the polls were consistently showing hillary winning throughtout the election. If they were skewing the polls all the time how can you think that they aren't skewing them this time?

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Hillary had a 98% chance to win the presidency too.

Good luck though.

If you had to pick the libs’ #1 weakness, it would have to be epistemological hubris. “I didn’t go to Harvard, but Harvard agrees with my political opinions, so basically I’m right about everything when I agree with the coastal elite consensus.”

Donald Trump revolutionized electoral math in 2016. If anyone you weren’t convinced was an idiot had placed his geographic bets so perfectly, you’d be a lot more worried about what he might have up his sleeve for November.

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Drumpf is finished

>polling never works~!
>except, you know, it almost always does
>but it failed in that one instance! that means polling never works and if I pretend hard enough, what I want will come true!
How do you even get this retarded? Polling was not discredited. It just so happens that the 1/3 happened instead the 2/3 once. Actual polling firms didn't give Clinton a 98% chance, just bozo news stations. They gave Clinton a 66% chance or so.

Yeah. Donald Trump upset her at the election. Expecting every poll to result in a miracle upset is genuinely retarded. It doesn't work like that. Remember? You guys tried that with Roy Moore, and denying polling didn't somehow elect him. Or anyone else you've been rooting for since the general election.

It's from the same retard's site. No way I'll believe that again.

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...

It happens alot with the right because you have your heads so far up your ass in just about every election across the globe you never see it comming.
>OH NO HOW COULD THE AFD GET SO MANY VOTES MUH POLLS

Gonna screencap this for the inevitable Democrat landslide in November. Thanks, senpai.

Yup, democrats are surely going to take control of the house. Why even bother voting? It's a sure thing libshits, you win. Just stay home and dont waste your time going to the election station

alright you win
blue wave is incoming for sure
no need for you to even vote, might as well stay home and take a nap

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>goy vay believe us this time.

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Sauce?

>WERE GONNA WIN IN OHIO REEEEE TRUMP BTFO

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Is this 538? He hasnt been right since he picked the Cubs to win the World Series

>OHNO NOT AGAIN HOW COULD THIS HAPPEN TO MEREEEEEEEEE

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The polls aren't wrong if they would be objective and if people would give honest answers.

As it stands they're bias and r ed publican supporters tend to keep their opinions to themselves more.

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the only odds that matter are the odds of democrats taking the house AND senate. thoes odds are 0% get ready for another celebration of a moral victory.

The corporate propaganda campaign is working still....

That's the screenshot predicting the State of California or Huffingtonpost or something. 538 gave 2:1 to Hillary and that's within the realm of possibilities.

...

Not gonna work this time :) We're aware of what happens when we stay home. We get Donald Trump. We'll be out in absolute force this time.

>GA-6 election
>GA R primary

Daily reminder that Hillary Clinton has a 99.9% chance of winning the presidential election. Sorry sweaty.

>More than usual in Atlanta blue
No. There’s nigger containment areas and then everywhere else goes red. Fuck off.
Also
>anywhere else but downtown Atlanta in our entire state going blue
No

Remember in 2016 when there was a 90% chance Hillary would win??

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Right now I think it will work the other way. Unless Democrats turn their crazy on more there will be a lot of Trump voter women who'll switch, but won't say it on a phone if their husband can hear it.

>If I deny polling, it will all turn out okay!!
Top kek. I'm just screenshotting all of the overconfident Jow Forumstards for the collage. November is going to be amazing.

why are you giving anyone adivce youve been wrong on every prediction for three years aside from 2 special elections
1 - the media slandered a pastor and veitnam vet as a pedofile for kissing a girl 35 years ago

2 - democrats ran a 30 yearold white special forces veteran whos aginst abortion grew up in the district and said hed vote aginst nancey polosi.

aside from thoes TWO instances you have lost EVERY contest for 3 fucking years, yet everyday you get paid 2c a post to remind people le drumpf is done.

why the fuck do you think youll be able to repeat that.

>t. the same retards that said hillary had a 99.98% chance of winning

keep dreaming.

So, as an outside observer.
Trump has;
(1) Brokered a peace of sorts with North Korea.
(2)enabled a strong economy with low unemployment.
(3) totally made the E.U & China his bitch in trade war.
Am I missing anything?
Tell me, what reasons do Americans have to desire to vote against the Republicans in Nov?

You have Donald Trump for two more years anyway, sunshine.

You all need to get out there and vote. Boomers are retarded and they started this thing of having opposing parties in control of Congress and the presidency so nothing gets done, Clinton, Bush, Obama, and tragically even perchance with Trump.

They think it makes them "woke" or open-minded or something, or it's just their petulant need for instant self-gratification.

As America becomes less and less Caucasian, the blue wave is inevitable.

Polling has been wrong more than right since at least 2015. Not gonna trust it lol.

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Funny how I’ve been registered to vote for 13 years and I’ve never been called or polled. They also heavily bias most of these low sample size phone polls by calling lots of california/jewyork people and don’t distribute throughout the us and swing states. Flawed methodology yields flawed and inconclusive polls.

I used to work in polling. I think for phone polls we got

The left is made up of fringe lunatics throwing what is tantamount to the largest temper tantrum in history. Unfortunately, the left controls and consumes a disproportionate share of media.

The left will have no reason to vote against him, except nonsensical social standing points [NSSP] from shit like #Resist45 and #NotMyPresident.

They are all quite literally insane. My biggest fear is someday these lunatics will outnumber sane people and thus sanity will be defined by them.

The polls were right though, hillary did win

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feeling morally superior and cause celebrities said so.

People who have drunk the MSM crazy koolaid and think blumpf hates womyn, minorities, etc
The usual leftist shitlords here are going further and further left, and alienating centrists. But the diehard leftys are out in droves trying to convert others to their insanity
t guy who sees it daily

Illegals voting dummy!

Removal of older voter base registration?

yeah fuck drumpf. i hate that unemployment is at record lows and i make more money and the economy and stock market haven't stopped rising in two years.

Whites are minorities in Gwinnett. Blacks and browns are even in Forsyth now. Cobb voted for Hillary Clinton. Suburban Atlanta has been lost. Ironically the City of Atlanta is getting whiter but they're mostly white guilt leftists.

Open borders soon, Trumptards.

>most of the time
This isn't most times. This is a time in which the left has lost touch with reality and have shown time and again that they manipulate data hoping to retroactively wish the desired result into reality.

All the military and NSA has to do is un-rig a few counties and the right wins again. Next presidential election to be unrigged completely, and TRUMP WINS BIGLY.

>hay goys, digits say drumpf is finished! also, be sure to not trust Jow Forums

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Trump won according to the system. You can't just change the rules after the fact

They had this bitch winning north carolina, florida, ohio, and the entire rest belt all she got was some revanchistas in california and kikes in jew york.

this
who is running these polls, Jow Forums?
I cannot sanction this buffoonery.

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Yet despite all of that, suburban Atlanta only barely went blue for 2016 and if you look at the kemp v abrams race it seems there are enough of us around that outside influences can’t buy our electoral college votes. They tried with ossoff and failed.
I’m a displaced medium sized town Georgian living in suburban Atlanta for work. We’re out here too.

Polls in the US are pretty much trash, pollsters always have their thumb on the scales to account for assumptions they make about turnout and demographics and they often end up being wrong. You need to give every poll like a 7% margin or error

> (1) Brokered a peace of sorts with North Korea.

Retarded

> (2)enabled a strong economy with low unemployment.

The economy was good before, but that of course may help Trump

> totally made the E.U & China his bitch in trade war.

lolno. That is untrue and the talking point works only for the dumbest segment of low information voters

>those Great Plains states
Also, the upper Mississippi basin going blue is what was needed for hilldawg to win two years ago. It did not go blue.

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I like those odds

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Yeah, Putin won ‘under the system’ too so I guess there’s nothing to complain about.

>hurr fuck da polls

Chances look pretty accurate considering how elections have been going so far.

>Jow Forums is my safe space not yours!

Kill yourself newfag.

I don't see why.

Trump is an asshole, but everyone knew that when he was elected. Since then nothing has gone horribly wrong. In fact th I'll ng are going well, though you could argue in spite of him. So why upset the gods a risk having no rain this season?

The people who vote Republican will continue to do so until the current administration royally fucks something up.

...

Yes, but Tsunami's are red with blood of the innocents.

Literally all of those things are wrong.

You tell him! So far Glump has
1. Killed the economy
2. Trampled on marginalized groups
3. Surrendered our country to Russia
4. Raped several women
You glumpfkins time is numbered. Me and the EuroSoi know it's coming.

>Since then nothing has gone horribly wrong.

Only for a part of people. There are a lot of people for whom Trump's infantile idiocy is very fucking wrong.

Shhh first worlders are speaking. Shoo

A lot of people didn’t vote though.

Trump has zero mandate from the people for his radical agenda.
Give it up princess, daddies comin back to town

I think people can stomach Trump being an asshole so long as he displays strength and dominance.I don’t think they can stomach a dysfunctional administration that appears to be falling apart. People admire strength but a leaky White House indicates weakness.

I recqonise that gay font Nate Silver. So the opposite is pretty much going to happen.

Still smarter than you

remember when trump won with 99-1 odds against him?

yeah polls are good for massive scale popular vote, not for tiny districts or even some individual states. the kinds of polls that failed last year are the kinds used in congressional elections

Silver was pretty much the most accurate of the poll aggregators. He gave Trump like a 30% chance of winning, which seems pretty accurate considering how close some states were.

There is certainly the Trump 35%, who offer their wife or mother for Trump to fuck, but that's not enough to win the election and in 10 years time half of you niggers claim to never have supported him.

To be fair on Silver, he was wrong about the 2016 election like everyone else but he was less wrong, he gave Trump a significantly higher chance of winning than anyone else and wrote a number of pieces in the two weeks before the election indicating that the race might be narrowing, specifically in Florida and the rust belt.

It's about the trends. All of those areas were slamdunks for Republicans since the 80s. Now they're purple and turning blue. Where you came from is saving the state. As metro Atlanta gets bluer, the rest of the state other than a few places like Savannah and Columbus, is getting redder. Abrams has no chance of winning but that doesn't mean metro Atlanta isn't getting bluer by the day. Trends, derivatives, predictions, whatever you want to call it, it all points to blacks and browns in league with leftist whites taking over the suburbs. I'm in Cumming now but it's getting awfully brown with black bits here and there. Time to move to Dahlonega or Jasper.

All that poll shows is that a bunch of Trump supporters lied.

Nice

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