/ahsg/ ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON GENERAL 2018: Hurricane Florence Thread #7

LATEST ON FLORENCE AS OF 11PM AST SEPT 9:
11:00 PM AST Sat Sep 8
Location: 24.6°N 55.2°W
Moving: W at 6 mph
Min pressure: 989 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph
RUNDOWN:
>Forecast to pass just north of the Bahamas, moving westward towards the US East Coast.
>Expected to rapidly reintensify into a Category 3/4 Major Hurricane by within the next 48 hours.
>Landfall on the East Coast Expected around Northern FL/SC/NC at Cat 4+ Strength, Max Sustained Winds up to 145 MPH+ by next Thursday Evening/Friday Morning.
>Blocking High pressure to the north will likely keep pushing Florence Westward
>Interests from Florida to Virgina should monitor closely
ADVISORIES:
>nhc.noaa.gov
>prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS:
>redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.html
>ready.gov/hurricanes
>nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ready.php
MODELS:
>GFS:
>tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl
>EURO:
>tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmf®ion=atl
>CMC:
>tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cmc®ion=atl
>windy.com/30.444/-88.429?27.800,-88.451,6
>spaghettimodels.com
>ventusky.com

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Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=yzcLYPEbhJM
tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=eus&pkg=z500a&runtime=2018090812
twitter.com/AnonBabble

youtube.com/watch?v=yzcLYPEbhJM

Include this guy's videos in the OPs.

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Press F to pay respects to the barrier islands of North Carolina.

Any day now

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NC gon be fucked

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When does the next euro model come out anons

Coastal NCFags are fucked
Piedmont NCFags are semi-fucked
Mountain NCFags are slightly-fucked


RIP to SCFags though

I hope that the hurricane goes beyond a cat 5

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>the absolute state of Carolina fags

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7 hours from now

She will

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Well damn

LATEST TRACKS AS OF 00Z SUNDAY

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That's oddly precise

Wilmington, NC here
10 minutes from the beach in either direction
Goodbye everyone ;:^(

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I fucking flattened the shit out of some poor frog crossing the road.
Charleston will withstand anything man or nature can throw at her.

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I think we have consensus, the Outer Banks are dead.

G-guys how fucked is my friend in South Carolina?

t. scared Yankee

Charleston, here. Should I expect to be evacuating?

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piedmont nc fag here. What should I do as prep?

F

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checked and now i'm concerned.

Stay
Wish you were best Carolinian

QUADS OMG

You mean north carolinian because I am. Just south of greensboro. Though it should be renamed blacksboro.

NEW ENSEMBLE + SPAGHETTI MODELS

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checked
He’s here

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Maybe I'll get back into my tripfag thing I had going last year and be super autistic with recon data

>Satan hates Carolina
wow. Amazing.
>north anything
>best

RTPfag here. We're looking pretty fucked. This area is not ready for it.

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I enjoyed it.

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Notice ow very few that make landfall show it even heading back out to sea? Very bad sign for biblical Flooding

Go visit Kansas, I hear it's nice this time of year.

Depends on WHERE in South Carolina. Also, if your friend is a Yankee, they should have stayed up North anyway.

This
Yankees and niggers can't swim
Hurricanes are to undesirables like aids to a fag

I'm going to be okay user thanks for caring

Well atm there's not too much happening so I may just go to sleep, I wished a hurricane would hit the gulf again, those are always fun to go through

Prepare for evac bro. If this thing hits the coast as a Cat 5 you don't want to be anywhere near that area.

Durham, Raleigh, or based chapel hill?

Yeah, I'm kind of at that point myself.

I'm sorry to say this but he's already dead.

Water and medical supplies on hand, food if you got it, but the clean water is the real ticket. Secure building out of any path of flood waters or storm surge. If they have given evacuation orders, and you can do so? You should. If not, shelter in place. Also the user who told you to get 10 gallons of gasoline is right as well. If you have a car, generator, or want to burn something down I guess. If not, forget that.

Isaac is probably bound for the Gulf after finishing off Puerto Rico.

12H 09/1200Z 24.5N 55.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 10/0000Z 24.8N 57.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 10/1200Z 25.2N 59.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 11/0000Z 25.8N 61.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 12/0000Z 27.5N 67.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
96H 13/0000Z 30.0N 73.5W 125 KT 145 MPH
120H 14/0000Z 33.8N 77.8W 115 KT 130 MPH

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Durham. Could quickly turn into planet of the apes if shit really falls apart.

Charlotte here, hope for the best.

90-100% certainty thay NC is taking it up the ass next week.

Neat.

Wednesday is gonna be fucking pandemonium. SC/NC anons need to make a decision by Monday on wether to evacuate or hunker down.

Though at 8AM EST, the EMCWF should update. the FV3 is currently rendering, HWRF should be rendering soon and HMON is finishing up, pic related

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With each Advisory, the chances get higher and higher.

This. Tuesday is going to be fucking chaos. Coastal anons need to decide Sunday whether to stay or go.

That looks ugly, is it going to blow through in a day or two?

Honestly, I'd go if I were you.

I'm not a pussy or a retard so no thanks

Reminds me of Moon Man curb stomping a nigger

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How will this affect DC/Maryland/NoVA?

I've done a cat 3 before. It's not the storm but the 2 weeks with no power that sucks ass.

I'm sorry friend but I lack the money and resources to evacuate.
You may submit an F :(

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Should I be making plans to evacuate to Tennessee? Or is Winston-Salem far enough?

Nigger, you're gonna get hit harder than Maria hit the Isle of Bean.
We can only hope that Galveston 2.0 scrubs what remains of the Seabeaners.

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Nah, if it hits NC it's going to be too far north to hit the gulf.

Honestly don't listen to the models atm, just know it's headed in your general direction and that there's a better chance it lingers around for a bit (either inland, on the coast, or off-shore) then it just blows through.

Expect to get some flooding (unless you live on the top of a hill or something)

Now it could simply blow through but with each passing day, it's looking more likely that it'll linger around for a week after landfall.

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ECMF will actually update in the coming hours for the 00Z model run

Steering currents will be weak so it could be moving pretty slowly by the time it hits landfall. Worst case scenario for the Carolinas p. much

youtube.com/watch?v=yzcLYPEbhJM

Especially since the worst part of summer has decided to stick around indefinitely. We still have highs in the 90s and the low hasn't gotten much below 70 in weeks.

NC going to get rekted right off the fucking map. I'm calling it now at least 40" of water

Not very accurate this far out, but definitely telling are Hurricane Force wind robabilities

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Oh shit they're doing it now.

I kinda assumed that since the time was done at 00Z (12:00 am Zulu) that it happened at either noon or midnight Zulu time.

KEK

Mainly the coast/slight piedmont, rest of nc will be perfect. we’ve been through worse.

Every Yank north of Delaware will be forced to take at least one displaced Negress and her kids into their homes until they can rebuild.

Yep. Its slow as fuck to come out tho so dont expect the full run to be out for another hour or so

I'm in Houston, it's about once every 5 years down here.
I need to clean out my garage, but it's still 95 and 100% humidity right now.
>North of the C&D Canal. Wilmington is cancer.

I don't think anyone is going to make it out of this shit dude

Please tell me Portsmouth VA is going to be okay.

What the fucking fuck is that model user?

eh GFS has min-2 min updates and they have 65 frames so I know the feel.

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>2 Landfalls
WAIT WHAT THE FUCK HOW

Is that CofC? If this thing turns north you might be OK but be ready to go.

I live at the outer banks and I’m going to livestream from the beach. Fuck some wind. Murica.

Well okay then It's generally headed to the mid-Atlantic coast and coastal Carolina.

Yeah, I've been trying to clean up my mother's yard so she can sell the house now that my stepfather's dead. Years of overgrown shrubbery and I'm out in this shit chopping it back with fucking hand tools.

52% Nigger population.
I'd say a good hurricane would only improve your shithole city.

No

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Blacks can't plan, which is the root of the problem. Yankees just think they're tough even though they don't know shit about hurricanes.

What did God mean by this?

>2nd landfall
>hanging around the region
It's Hurricane Harvey all over again. Thanks for keeping us /comfy/ Carolina fags. Maybe it might wash out those yankees, niggers, and spics, in that region who knows.

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The guy in this link actually explains it pretty well.I've already booked a hotel. Packing tomorrow and driving out Wednesday morning before sun rise.

Isn't it always planet of the apes? I was there a long time ago and fucking hated it.

>2018
>god

Wew lad

You guys seem to forget that hurricanes are a blessing in disguise, it will come through, destroy everything, then nogs and spics will migrate away during the rebuild.

Just stock up on
>water
>canned foods
>guns/ ammo
>ply wood (board up windows to protect from breaking in the storm and to protect from.. after...)

Someone post the katrina image and the fallout that followed

>2 LANDFALLZ?!!?!?
DAT.....JUSSS LIK 2 SCOOPZ!!!!!!!
DUNULD BUUUMMMMPPPPPPLFFFFFFF!!!!!!!!!

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>Yankees just think they're tough even though they don't know shit about hurricanes.
We know enough about hurricanes to know they don't hit Nashua, NH often enough to give a shit about.

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Well I mean he doesn't really explain the reason why it'll be pushed back, reintensify, and then be sent back into NC to fly up the east coast and fuck up the rest of the Atlantic coast. I mean it's a very FV3 particular topic

tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=eus&pkg=z500a&runtime=2018090812

wait are we back to being athiest neckbeards? I've not been around here for a while.

>ply wood (board up windows to protect from breaking in the storm and to protect from.. after...
Common Misconception, but thats the only thing you have wrong here. Boarding up windows ill not protect your windows, if anything, theyll just become potential projectiles. Rookie mistake

It is, and yeah, "maybe but be prepared" seems to be what everyone on campus is saying.