/ahsg/ ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON GENERAL: New NHC Forecast

AS OF 5:00 PM AST/EST

>FLORENCE EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC...

>5:00 AST September 11
>Location: 26.7°N 65.3°W
>Min Pressure: 945 mb
>Moving: WNW @ 17 mph
>Max Sustained: 140 mph

There is the potential for Florence to stall or significantly reduce its forward speed as it nears the coast, which could prolong the effects of damaging winds, storm surge flooding and beach erosion. A stall or slow forward speed would also greatly enhance inland flooding of streams and rivers.

>States of emergency have been declared in North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia and Maryland in preparation for Florence's arrival.

Following an eye wall replacement cycle during Monday night and Tuesday morning, Florence began to grow in size and become better organized Tuesday afternoon. A jump in strength to a Category 5 hurricane is possible Tuesday night or Wednesday.

Another eye wall replacement cycle is possible before the hurricane reaches the coast to end the week.

If Florence comes ashore as a Category 3 or 4 hurricane, then damaging winds and power outages may extend inland more than 100 miles and northward along the coast by 200 miles or more.

>Models and Info
nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents
tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
windy.com
trackthetropics.com/florence/
spaghettimodels.com/
ventusky.com

>Preparations and Safety:
redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.html
ready.gov/hurricanes
weather.gov/safety/hurricane
accuweather.com
scemd.org

>Pastebin:
markdownshare.com/view/8f18b7e1-d0bf-4fcd-974a-added9b53e39

>Meteorologists/Storm Chasers:
twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski
twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu

>TWC Livestream
youtu.be/5EEbHh_jKTU

Attached: FC37AA76-AD7E-4B16-8F2D-1D2010F0D952.png (897x736, 84K)

Other urls found in this thread:

surfchex.com/web-cams/
youtube.com/watch?v=a-gJoO9A6so
youtube.com/watch?v=ZENO8e6IITA
youtube.com/watch?v=deG4NxkouGM
twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1039497912554856448
space.com/41790-4-powerful-storms-seen-from-space.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif
twitter.com/SFWRedditImages

Historical Info on Hurricanes in the Carolinas’, NC anons.

Attached: F8C27D29-34D1-49D6-BA24-1410D42B9890.png (590x683, 148K)

How to spot a carpetbagger:
>HEY GUYZ IM IN RALEIGH GROUND ZERO AMIRITE? (or Charlotte or Triad faggots)
>OY VEY I'M A HURRICANE VICTIM ITS LITERALLY ANUDDA SHOAH (posted 100+ miles inland).

Attached: D63FF4DE-D618-42F9-A7A5-92EF37B77FED.jpg (590x332, 39K)

god thread op i pray for safe ok

Attached: fuck you.png (796x396, 73K)

Nags Head Nigger checking in, got my Carolina Card so I can return, but I'm thinking about staying and pilfering the rentals. There's a distinct lack of homeowners in Southern Shores so I think I'll be fine and make out with a bunch of booze.

Attached: southernshores.jpg (1620x1080, 459K)

Attached: tropical storm force wind speed.png (1007x738, 170K)

am i ok here?

Attached: file.png (1254x838, 803K)

Attached: maybe.png (1254x838, 1.23M)

why are hurricanes such a meme? other than the puerto rican one every hurricane happening has been a fucking nothingburger

hurricanes are overrated as fuck, pussy ass rain oh poor hillbillites

>tfw in the 39-73 region

Attached: 1417967140450.jpg (619x406, 81K)

Cat 5 or nah?

Oy gevalt I just moved to Cary NC from Manhattan. This is like a second Shoah.

For Jeff

Gather 'round little ones
Let me tell you a tale
Of a man with a heart the size of a whale
Jeff was his name
The storm his game
No matter its strength or from whence it came
It was danger he sought
And danger he found
The danger that turned all his frowns upside down
The Lord made Men
And the Lord, He was pleased
But when He made Jeff, He fell to his knees
And He wept for He saw His work finally complete
For Jeff was not like other Men the Lord made
Jeff was the best
For Jeff never swayed
Come rain or come shine
Come wind, sleet, or hail
Jeff will be there
Without falter, without fail
So sleep tight, tonight
Sleep snug in your bed
And dream the sweet dreams that dance in your head
For somewhere out there
Jeff chases the storm
Chases the danger so you can sleep warm
And just as the storm
Men come and Men go
But Jeff is the rock through whom God's Grace we know

Attached: 1503720260735.jpg (500x625, 219K)

STOP MOVING TO NC FROM BLUE STRONGHOLDS. WE'RE FULL.

Attached: 1534891699628.gif (222x533, 128K)

Columbia user here. Not sure of I'm going to be hit or not

Attached: 1536601027760.png (1500x839, 371K)

I'm in Boone and I can 100% confirm I will receive full-force cat 5 destruction here. How dare you mock me.

Just flew over my house
Upstate south carolina

Attached: 2204F32A-A328-4CF0-A894-883FE5532600.jpg (4032x3024, 2.07M)

Why are all hurricanes named after such white inclusivity.
Just imagine how beautiful it would be if we could get these storms named after famous black people.
Hurricane Trayvon Martin, Mike Brown, Jamal, or LaMarkus

fucking looters already

Attached: 36.png (720x406, 304K)

>RVA just outside the zone
Thanks for the cover, Carolinafags. Your deaths won't be in vain.

Attached: 1427911433213.png (970x546, 650K)

Im driving to asheville on sunday, ill send photos of flooding, and report in

Attached: AAD709D8-57E2-4ADF-B46B-3CCFF633F1B5.gif (240x180, 1.42M)

i have made it to the hotel from my house, thanks for the help fellow anons on what to pack.

How fucked is your house?

Carolina user here, can confirm cobras are being moved from the coast

Attached: E72D2E44-E0C8-454A-AD9F-AB9A21979BB7.png (750x1334, 3.04M)

I find it kind of funny
I find it kind of sad...

Attached: B4FAE065-72E4-4F32-8B5C-4005229E98F2.jpg (600x600, 42K)

l00t l00t

Attached: Irma looters 2.webm (640x360, 2.94M)

Attached: Irma looters.webm (640x360, 2.93M)

Its not happening.

surfchex.com/web-cams/
20 different local webcams

> Frying Pan Shoals is 34 miles off the tip of North Carolina
>Made as navigation guide, now has webcams:
>Underwater Shark Cam
youtube.com/watch?v=a-gJoO9A6so
>Giant Tower
youtube.com/watch?v=ZENO8e6IITA
>Surface Platform
youtube.com/watch?v=deG4NxkouGM

Attached: FryingPan.png (743x632, 169K)

speed is 30 knots

Kek. Was this from harvey?
>these youths were filmed rescuing Jordan's from the local shoe store

>cobras

I'm in Raleigh for school and the plan was to ride out the storm back home west of Charlotte but it looks like I'm still fucked? will it at least be weaker by the time it gets to me?

Attached: 1527605146049.jpg (392x495, 62K)

beautiful user

Attached: clapping approve.jpg (504x548, 62K)

Trayvon and his ilk already did enough damage to these states, don't you think?

why would you make this

umm

Attached: whut.gif (1024x742, 1.9M)

Irma

This is quite amusing but I'd rather one come our way

Attached: Virgin Florida Resident vs Chad True Floridian.jpg (1024x416, 73K)

twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/1039497912554856448

Jeff is already on the scene you lazy fucks.

Sometimes I just wish I had a massive speaker stack on top of my house to blast hard rock and heavy metal during hurricanes

Attached: 5456435.jpg (225x224, 16K)

Fuck off nigger

Fayettenam vets, y'all ready for this?

She’s making a run at cat 5. Florence is thick as fuck too now. Her wind field is massive and she almost looks annular.

Getting additional dock lines tomorrow morning.

Wait what

>FUCK YO COAST NIGGA

Kek
>tfw no foreskin
Wrong, check these numerals

Attached: 1536610086921.webm (640x360, 720K)

does anyone else get a weird boner when jeff is getting ready to periscope?

Attached: 1475833336344.jpg (200x200, 5K)

fucking nice, I need to make time to watch the approach

>What is Irma

The looters stole a helicopter? Nice.

Attached: [CBM]_A_Certain_Magical_Index_-_10_-_Mikoto_Misaka_[1080p-FLAC]_[12FE9E9E]_00:19:42_06.jpg (1920x1080, 161K)

Hits SE NC, then makes a beeline for the GA & FL just for funsies

At this point you might have a better shot staying here.
We're going to get fucked but if Flo tracks south after stalling then Charlotte will get fucked harder than us.

Attached: 1510953120411.gif (540x460, 1.58M)

I was kind of hoping Florence would track up the coast and hit here in Jersey.
>live in coastal state
>hardly a hurricane
I need a saga.

Isn't that pretty unusual behavior though, to go back down south?

Yeah the steering currents are little to none at the coast so right before landfall she may stall out and swing around. Could be worse cus that means rain and wind and surge for 24+ hours.

for jeff

Attached: 1503718962203.png (500x625, 386K)

>t. HIDF

FUCK OFFFFF

Fellow Jerseyanon here.

I'm praying Florence takes a turn and obliterates this shithole.

6/10 didn't include /our guy/ in rhyme scheme

Don't think I've ever seen it before. Very strange.

Pressure is dropping. Cat 5 imminent

Very weird run. I think there was some bad data in the 12z run.

Prepare your anus.

space.com/41790-4-powerful-storms-seen-from-space.html?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

Attached: CaptureStorms.jpg (1651x1366, 328K)

RIP SC

>never seen that kind of behavior
user just...

Attached: ivannnn.png (1024x633, 384K)

Beaufort NC here, not leaving (:

Yeah I tied off until I ran out of cleats lol. All that remains is to see if I guesstimated the surge height correctly, and if I go back to find her drowned by her own lines, or drifting somewhere at the mouth of the Chesapeake with 6 cleat sized holes in her.
Stay safe dude, and the clanging rigging orchestra will be singing you to sleep on thursday, thats for sure.

Cat 2-3 landfall nothingburger.

Everyone in this thread below this line is just LARPing:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas here. We'll know by tomorrow or the next day if we're fucked. It's at 40-60% chance to form atm

cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif

Attached: 1536662352158.jpg (450x334, 41K)

Attached: moistflood.png (614x642, 95K)

FLO is a real freak apparently
she wants to ride that coast and get it DRENCHED

We fucked now bros

Attached: 59D13303-3AD1-4A8F-A0A4-72010548F263.png (760x570, 310K)

I spoke too soon, it actually comes back and hits Charleston dead on

just a little bit more north, you can do it florence!

>Charleston
they just can't catch a fucking break

Ivan was a freak, we all know that, but he was a gulf coaster.

Irma is a German name and she was zaftig.

THICC BAE

Attached: ISS_Sees_Florence_From_Space_(44550250702).png (1024x632, 914K)

>Texas here
haha

Who's ready for a week or looting shooting and purging

I told everyone she was going to miss us.

Attached: ussNorthCarolina.jpg (640x512, 72K)

how good of an idea is to ride it out on a boat or are you just gonna end up drifting a mile inland

Attached: logh trap.png (320x240, 133K)

Worst winds on this second landfall right into there

Attached: gfs_mslp_uv10m_charleston_22.png (1024x768, 304K)

want to know my secret user? I'm always larping.

Wow gfs agrees with euro wtf

RIP SC

I will definitely be posting video. Should be interesting.

Hope all is well with you and try to stay dry!

>...DANGEROUS FLORENCE EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM
SURGE AND RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC...

>the flooding from florence will compare to 2015
Why are we worried again?

Attached: hurricane meme.jpg (488x1076, 114K)

Attached: 6c6.gif (480x271, 3.42M)

What's so funny pardner?

Attached: 1536636635170.jpg (661x636, 49K)

Carolina user here. Can confirm you suck balls at aircraft identification.

Please be cat 5

>statesville might get 5.2 inches of rain

Attached: 1529635823302.gif (500x338, 464K)

Attached: palinnazigif.gif (397x307, 1.47M)

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

Attached: 1439349671843.gif (320x213, 616K)

I wish Cary could be nuked