The house will flip

the house will flip

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archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/text/https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/15/action-plan-for-pol//
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In before 98% chance Hillary would win meme.

Daily reminder it was like 2 states (PA, WI) with erroneous polling. Michigan had already been clocked in as dead heat.

Haven't we seen statistics that look like this before?

Yes a similar thing was done in 2010 a while back and it showed republicans accurately taking the house.

435 individual races is hard as fuck to predict on an individual level, but as you zoom out patterns emerge based on the natural limits each party has in each district.

Hey you! Yes, you.

Annoyed with the constant stream of these low effort shareblue shill threads? Want to send the people behind them a message?

Vote Republican in EVERY SINGLE ELECTION ON November 6. That's 50 days away.

Remember...Every. Single. One.

Get every single sane person you know in real life and on the internet to do the same. Make a list of all of them. Throw an election party on that day. Remember, November 6.

redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/15/action-plan-for-pol/

Find your polling site: usa.gov/election-office

2016 was Meme War I. 2018 is Meme War II.

Download these memes: mega.nz/#F!INdm1IBY!gejhO0u9PpBOZd2DfZwVxg

We are going to WIN this war like we won the last!

COPY AND PASTE THIS IN EVERY SLIDE THREAD TO KILL IT! Notice how they all DIE after you copy&paste this...

KYS

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Part of me hopes it happens. Trump does better when he has a clear enemy. That'll help in 2020. Of course jack would actually get done the next two years, so it's not worth it.

or maybe every single thread isn't shareblue, and the house is actually going to flip

every single poll, every single analyst is predicting the house to flip

Hey you! Yes, you.

Annoyed with the constant stream of these low effort shareblue shill threads? Want to send the people behind them a message?

Vote Republican in EVERY SINGLE ELECTION ON November 6. That's 50 days away.

Remember...Every. Single. One.

Get every single sane person you know in real life and on the internet to do the same. Make a list of all of them. Throw an election party on that day. Remember, November 6.

redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/15/action-plan-for-pol/

Find your polling site: usa.gov/election-office

2016 was Meme War I. 2018 is Meme War II.

Download these memes: mega.nz/#F!INdm1IBY!gejhO0u9PpBOZd2DfZwVxg

We are going to WIN this war like we won the last!

COPY AND PASTE THIS IN EVERY SLIDE THREAD TO KILL IT! Notice how they all DIE after you copy&paste this...

Old Nate Iron Ore up to his old paymaster games again?

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That dude lost all credibility in 2016.

His career is over.

Can democrats stop trumps trade war, if they win? And are they even planing to do so?

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look at the shills trying to keep this piece of shit thread alive.
Paid puppets, tisk tisk

archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/text/https://redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/15/action-plan-for-pol//
>212 results found.

Stop spamming.

Looks familiar.

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>i prefer the jew on left

>i think the jew on the right is more to my liking.

Fake news. I dislike Trump plenty. But Michigan, Pennsylvania are just turning red. Democrats are only turning only half of Arizona red. Socialism failed. We need to be liberal again. People may hate us liberals, but they hate us less than nationalists and socialists and whatever Hillary is supposed to be... quasi socialist? Socialist in denial?

Sitting Presidents party gains seats in the midterm election of his 1st term. Dating as far back as at least Reagan

Hey you! Yes, you.

Annoyed with the constant stream of these low effort shareblue shill threads? Want to send the people behind them a message?

Vote Republican in EVERY SINGLE ELECTION ON November 6. That's 50 days away.

Remember...Every. Single. One.

Get every single sane person you know in real life and on the internet to do the same. Make a list of all of them. Throw an election party on that day. Remember, November 6.

redstorm2018.wordpress.com/2018/08/15/action-plan-for-pol/

Find your polling site: usa.gov/election-office

2016 was Meme War I. 2018 is Meme War II.

Download these memes: mega.nz/#F!INdm1IBY!gejhO0u9PpBOZd2DfZwVxg

We are going to WIN this war like we won the last!

COPY AND PASTE THIS IN EVERY SLIDE THREAD TO KILL IT! Notice how they all DIE after you copy&paste this...

>538
A-a-a-anytime n-n-now!!!!111

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>data science meme

There are lies, damn lies, statistics, and the complete asspull fanfiction that is 538

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This is completely wrong. The polls were wrong in almost every state.
Some polls had Kentucky at +8 for Trump when in reality it was almost +30.
The weighting was so fucked up for almost every single state.
You are a glow in the dark nigger.

You need to get off of snorting bath salts.

>trump will never be president
>look at this poll I made
>look at it
>LOOK
>THE POLL
>Fucking nazis reeeeeee

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>2018
>polls

imagine if she was sucking your dick, but every time you were about to blow she would let off and use her huge horse teeth to chomp on your ballsac

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It is higly likely they take the house, no energy from Republicans... but at the end of the day it wouldnt matter much.

Its not like republicans are doing anything except for the judges.. they still havent appointed a ton of people.

Trump heavily over performed in WI, MI, PA, IN, IA, MO, and OH. He also did better than polling predicted in North Carolina. The polls were wrong, and still are, ya simp. If you look at the methodology and only choose good polls then the democratic lead is cut by over half.

you have that backwards

what the fuck user

What? The only presidents to gain seats in the mid-term of their first term in the past 100 years are George W. Bush and F.D.R. The only other time a president won the mid-terms was Bill Clinton, but that was in his 2nd term. He actually lost horrendously in his first mid-term, the republican revolution. Obama also lost bigly. I think republicans naturally do better in any mid-term, because of boomer chads who vote in every election. That makes it unlikely for the democrats to pull off those giant upsets like 2010 and 1994; although, they did do it in 2006.

People still treat Nate Rutherfordium as more reliable than The Onion?

I love articles like these. Smug liberals will stay home thinking they got this in the bag while energized republicans will come out in droves again.

Republicans are 8/10 for special elections and the two they lost were because of crazy sex scandals

Arguing about the accuracy of polls is a sign of the sportification of politics. It's like arguing baseball.

I will never get republitards main goal for the government.
They wanna dismantle it? Remove medicare, remove social security, remove the EPA, completely remove ANY regulations and just limit it so much so it's just what collecting taxes for the military and nothing else?
Do they still wanna just completely dismantle it entirely going full anarchist and just use every state as it's own government power? Thereby creating more governments across the US?

>TreeFiddyEight

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Someone should extend it to plummet to zero after the election

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DRUMPF SURGE!

You're 100% wrong on that.
President's party almost always loses seats.

Combine that with all the BS Trump has allowed, and lack of progress on agenda, and it looks like dems take house in 2018 and Trump is a lame duck for 2 years and loses in 2020.

Trump fucked up by wasting his first 2 years

>Trump hasn't fulfilled his promises
>Let's vote for someone who will dismantle what little he has done anyway

BLUE WAVE

Cant wait for Trump to be impeached

>republicans haven't done shit
Exactly.
I'm not voting in the midterms because what the fuck is the point?

Conservativism really is liberalism-lite. We barely try to conserve whatever we have left, and even when we are in power the left makes more progress than us.

HOW IN THE FUCK ARE WE LOSING TO THE LEFT WHEN WE HAVE CONGRESS AND WHITEHOUSE?

FUCK TRUMP
FUCK SESSIONS
FUCK MUELLER
FUCK ROSENSTEIN
FUCK Q

This shit again.

Dems will take house, but it won't mean shit because Reps will regain senate

>
>You're 100% wrong on that.
>President's party almost always loses seats.
>Combine that with all the BS Trump has allowed, and lack of progress on agenda, and it looks like dems take house in 2018 and Trump is a lame duck for 2 years and loses in 2020.
>Trump fucked up by wasting his first 2 years
Considering they were out to remove him from the start, he's lucky he got a pretty productive 2

But he will be a lame duck

hillary will win

Drumpf is going to get destroyed, every analysts predicts Hillary will win

no fucking retard
don't vote republican in the fucking midterms
they need to think they are winning

guys I think Hillary might have this

It's Over

>smug liberals will stay home
And so will pissed off conservatives because the GOP and Trump wasted 2 years.

Tax cuts which benefited the rich the most was the only legislative "victory" in 2 years of controlling everything.

Seriously fuck Trump for fucking up the DOJ and protecting Hillary, and fuck the GOP for blocking the MAGA agenda in Congress.

Bring on the blue wave

I want to tie her up, put an O-gag on her, and fuck her throat till I cum. When I finish cummining I just piss down her throat.

Drumpf is finished this November, it's #HerTurn

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>republicans want to remove everything?
Not everything, but look at your taxes and compare it to what you get in return for your taxes.

Government is also inefficient. Instead of the government spending $5k for a service and taxing us $6k, the private sector could provide that service for $4k and we pay $4k.

If workers only paid 1% in taxes we would be better off because we would have a lot more money left over after paying for the services we actually receive.

>Jow Forums is so mathematically and statistically illiterate they don't know what an outlier is

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_educational_attainment

fuck off, he is counter-spamming the shill spammers

OP has made 3 posts and his original one was 4 fucking words long, this is obvious bait/shilling, not serious discussion.

hi shareblue

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I should add that this is terrible reasoning behind this, and should point out that there is historical precedent for the house flipping...it just tends to flip against the person in the White house.

Nah, then Trump will pass universal healthcare, ala Medicare for all. Then he'll truly be the greatest President that ever was.

Reminder that Nate Bronze was wrong about 2016.
Reminder that the fake polls were 5-10% off in 2016.
Reminder that Nate Bronze's predictions are based on these wrong fake polls.

Reminder that Republicans will easily hold their majority in the House, and expand their majority in the Senate.

Vote.

>Nate Tin

Nope. They can't. He's completely operating off the executive actions and they can't override his veto on trade. They would need a veto proof majority which even these polls are not predicting will be likely.

Neoliberal globalist?

my favorite part about all of this is that the dems and libs dont even realize they are actually splitting their own votes thereby greatly decreasing their chances of votes as republican voters are voting straight red ticket for republicans thereby giving them more of the vote. Congrats you bunch of tards you are literally fucking yourselves and are too stupid to realize it. Thats why you should stop using that socialist math.

let me break that down for you guys that might be too ignorant to comprehend.
take the total vote count at 100%
now break that down into 3 categories.
Dems
libs
reps

reps get 50%
dems get 25%
libs get 25%

who wins?

ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!!!!

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Repubs hold the House
Take 4 more seats in the Senate
Avenatti is the Dem candidate in 2020 and loses 40 states

Screencap this

This, he overperformed by anywhere from 3 to 10 points in almost every single red state

>Michigan had already been clocked in as dead heat.
No it hadnt

Meant for

>mfw own a business
>yfw have this printed and framed on the wall with the caption "Never doubt your ability."

And they didn't just fuck up the generic ballot/presidential race polls, they botched multiple Senate races as well

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spoiler alert: hillary wins

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(((Feingold))) btfo

Ah yes that old meme, that myth that alt right canard, that fake news, that conspiracy, that thing that totally didn't happen

Just toss it into the memory hole, you Nazis

Nice trips but republishits are at least as bad as the demoshits when it comes to government spending. At least the dems are honest about it, and given the choice I'd rather waste that money on local niggers than Israel and its wars.

Polls were off by ~15% for this one. As long as everyone votes, Republicans will win, and Trump will be able to pass any legislation he wants. Vote!

why is a no name who has never even held the position making endorsements

I BELIEVE THAT SHE WILL WIN

All republicans want to do is ass kiss the wealthy and give them whatever they want in hopes that they will be rewarded and allowed into the wealthy people's club too.

EVERYTHING ELSE IS A LIE.

The GOP makes sense if you view it's words and actions against this backdrop. You're welcome for the red pill.

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How about this, let's be mature enough to take the L if the house flips, understand that it's not the end of the world, and that the GOP will retain the senate. But let's also not be blackpilled and apathetic, or pathetically in denial (muh polls are wrong!!!). Get your ass to the voting booth and bring all of your family members.

oops, was meant for

Actually Republicans believed pollsters and pulled funding for Johnson two weeks before the election
And he still BTFO'd that kike
He's a cuckservative but that was easily the most satisfying non-Trump related moment of election night 2016

love drumpfs hate

Democrats are the majority in this nation and they don't want to sit this election out.

So what you morons want is irrelevant.

Idc I'll be busy killing kikes and burning down synagogues

The majority don't vote and we've had enough of both parties you nigger.

>Democrats are the majority in this nation
The largest group of voters are independents. Here's your honorary Brock

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Voting is for slaves. I will hang tyrants in the streets.

Democrats are laying it on thick. To me, the "blue wave" is exaggerated and an attempt to suppress the GOP vote.

Cuckservatives like Karl Rove ain't helping.

GOP, MAGA nation has to vote or else MAGA is over.

Democrats will impeach simply because the Senate will be majority GOP and they'll want to deny Trump a second term and tarnish the GOP in some shit storm for 2 years that they hope will hurt the Senate

.DEMOCRATS HAVE TO BE STOPPED AT ALL COST!

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Hey, Shareblue! You guys are hilarious.

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Jews don't care if they're caught lying. This 538 kike has no shame just like any other.

> The more I argued with them the more I learned their dialectic. At first they calculated on the stupidity of their adversary.
Then, when they could find no other way out, they played stupid themselves. ...Whenever you attacked one of the
apostles, your hand closed around slimy matter which immediately separated and slipped through the fingers and the
next moment reconstituted itself. If you struck such an annihilating blow that, observed by the audience, he had no
choice but to agree with you, and thus you thought you had taken one step forward, the next day your amazement would
be great. The Jew knew nothing at all about yesterday and repeated his same old twaddle as though nothing had
happened; if you angrily challenged him on this, he could not remember a thing other than he had demonstrated the
correctness of his assertions on the previous day.

After the tech companies banned all conservatives from social media do they really think we won't riot and cut the fiber if the Dems do win? Do they think we won target local Dems all over the country? Do they think we won't attack the media and the tech companies? Do they think we won't cut the fiber? Do they think we will just go along with an illegitimate government? No niggers. We will slaughter all of you fucks in the streets. Bet on it. I hope the Blue Wave happens. I want to fucking kill you all.

>Voting is for slaves. I will hang tyrants in the streets.
You're a fucking retard LARPer like SJWs who think they're fighting fascism.

you should only have elections every 5 years