9/13/18 -- Phil Bredesen has hung in there, but his vote share has generally been stuck in the mid-40s while Marsha Blackburn has consolidated the vote since winning the Republican primary. Bredesen is very much in the game, but is probably still a bit of an underdog.
9/13/18 -- Over the summer, the developing conventional wisdom held that Kyrsten Sinema was emerging as the favorite for the race. But Martha McSally seems to have consolidated the Republican vote rather quickly after winning her primary election. Even though the national environment is unfavorable to Republicans, Arizona is still, at its core, a Republican-leaning state. This is a tight race, with both parties brushing up against the threshold they need to win..
9/13/18 -- Dean Heller is hanging in there, and Jacky Rosen has stumbled a few times as a candidate. But an incumbent senator trailing his opponent while taking in just 40 percent of the vote two months before Election Day is not in good shape.
9/25/2018 -- The latest Quinnipiac puts Cruz ahead by a comfortable 54-45 margin. If you look at the polling data as a whole, the polls with more undecideds tend to show a close race, while pollsters who push undecideds harder show a Cruz lead. This is consistent with a storyline suggesting that there are a large number of undecideds, perhaps intrigued by the Beto phenomeon, but who nevertheless lean Republicans. But in this chaotic environment, we should still consider the race a tossup overall.
9/13/18 -- This race has yet to really take shape, but Jon Tester seems to be holding his own against Matt Rosendale. Tester is a good fit for the state, culturally and to a lesser extent politically, so in the current environment he probably maintains the edge.
Jaxson Sanders
>another rape accusation against Kav. i think creepy porn lawyer blew that out of the water with his gang rape trains accusations
Carter Morris
>CNN playing clips now with narrative that """documents were withheld""" and that’s why Kavanaugh should be removed the kikes will move their goalposts until the very end
I look forward to smelling their rotting corpses on the wind
9/13/18 -- All parties involved seem to agree that Kevin Cramer has a slight lead here over incumbent Heidi Heitkamp. Even in a year where Democrats are expected to perform well, a race in a state where the president retains a positive net approval rating may be too big of a haul for them.
9/13/18 -- Joe Manchin remains in good shape, although polling showing him at 46 percent has to concern him some. The undecideds are undoubtedly Trump voters in this state, and could be difficult for him to win back.
9/13/18 -- This race is surprisingly close, though perhaps not given Robert Menendez’s ethical troubles. Nevertheless, the last time Menendez looked as though he might be in trouble, the national environment ended up saving him. And the last time a New Jersey senator looked like he was in trouble, the state Supreme Court saved him. Menendez is still very much the favorite over Bob Hugin. 9/13/18 -- This race has lived up to its billing as one of the closest in the country. Neither Josh Hawley nor Claire McCaskill has had a lead of more than four points in a single poll for the entire year, placing this race well within the margin of error. The undecided voters are likely Trump supporters, but it is hard to say which way they’ll go in this volatile election.
9/13/18 -- Rick Scott holds a narrow, but consistent, edge in the polling here. He’s also extremely well known, while Nelson has cut a lower profile in the Senate. This could be a pleasant surprise for Republicans, but Scott, currently below 50 percent of the vote, probably faces a stiffer task with undecided voters than does Nelson.
Ok lads seriously I'm a little concerned over this fbi bullshit considering tomorrow starts the SCOTUS docket, when they go back Mitch is gonna get flak from the faggot traitors if the investigation isn't closed by the time senate reconvenes
what the fuck is wray doing slowwalking, this should have been done yesterday.
>if Trump had gotten 60% of whites and 30% of non-whites in 2016 he would have gotten 52% of the vote >he got 57% of whites and 16% of non-whites >his approval among non-whites is currently around 30%, with 25% of non-whites saying they'll vote Republican in 2018
If things keep improving, Trump will get 62% of whites and 33% of minorities in 2020 for a 45 state sweep.
Thank you for these informative posts user. We need more men like you
Lucas Adams
This would be an FBI secretary. They still have them for procedural and record keeping reasons. I did jury duty with one who c0ouldn't get out of it exactly because of her public service role, but also couldn't be sat on a jury because during voir dire all a defense lawyer had to ask was "Do you work for the FBI?" and she was bounced for cause. It could be real. I'll remember to check back on this on Tuesday.
Why are people saying Trump is an idiot and a cuck for starting the investigation and not limiting it? What else could he have done, Flake and the other 2 Republicans hold the vote hostage.
