White political dominance in the US and in key swing states such as Texas and Florida can be artificially prolonged past the point where Whites lose their numerical majority. This is being done through the census.
>President Trump's administration has followed through on that strategy with a proposal to add a question to the 2020 census asking about citizenship.
>If the question remains on the form, millions of households, particularly Hispanic and Asian-American, could skip the census, leading to an overrepresentation of white Americans during this once-a-decade count.
Households with at least one illegal are less likely to respond to the census, by race:
>While 7 percent of United States residents are themselves noncitizens, 14 percent live in households that include one or more noncitizens. The latter figure rises to 46 percent among all Hispanics and to 45 percent among Asian-Americans, compared with just 8 percent among blacks and 3 percent among whites.
Effect on White population in most likely scenario:
>Let’s assume that one in three people in Hispanic and Asian noncitizen households refuses to answer the census. If that’s the case, the Hispanic share of the United States population would drop by 2.1 percentage points (from 17.3 to 15.2 percent) and the total white population share would rise by 2.2 percentage points (from 62 to 64.2 percent).
Effect on swing states and districting:
>This imbalance would influence congressional reapportionment, hurting large, immigrant-heavy states. It will also shape how congressional and state legislative districts are drawn, favoring rural and small areas at the expense of large metropolitan areas, since noncitizen households are far more prevalent in the latter.
We have more time to get our shit together but this is a temporary stopgap measure.
link: nytimes.com
