>New Datafolha TODAY at 19PM BRT. >OAntagonista: PT's strategists don't know how to fight against JB.
Latest poll: Ibope 10-04. JB 32% FH 23%.
Health check: JB was stabbed by a left-wing activist and has undergone two difficult surgeries to deal with internal damage. He's left the hospital during the weekend and is currently resting at his home.
-- BACKGROUND
Jair Bolsonaro is the front-runner in Brazil's presidential election. He is a conservative Catholic, pro-gun, a former army captain, and the only candidate with no corruption charges against him. He's looking to modernise the lethargic Brazilian economy with the aid of UChicago economist Paulo Guedes. He wants to align Brazil's foreign policy with Western nationalist governments against the influence of China and regional socialism (Venezuela and Cuba). He has a hard stance on crime and supports increasing the power of police forces and the army to tackle Brazil's drug and violence problems.
JB's antagonist in the presidential race is Fernando Haddad, a sociologist running for the left-wing Labour Party (PT) under the guidance of former president Lula, who is currently in prison after being convicted for bribery. PT has been the ruling party in Brazil for 16 years, but is facing high rejection in the polls after a police investigation uncovered the largest known corruption scheme in Brazilian history, which PT architected. PT's platform for Brazil openly discusses media control, judiciary control, and a new constitution. Historically PT has supported teaching gender theory in schools, gun control, and 'humanized' law enforcement. During PT's rule, violence and political corruption rose to record highs.
Any any Brazillian please help me out and tell me how much JB needs to win in order to win the First Round?
Gavin Perez
So is Doria. SP is doomed.
Gavin King
Threadly reminder that paulistas should vote Luiz Philipe to redpill congressman about the new constitution he is writing for Bolsonaro (because FHC and PT is already trying to push their own socialist fake-parliamentary constitution).
we need as many opportunists as possible to pass the reforms
Leo Fisher
Skaf is literally as corrupt as Temer
Jaxon Martin
Of course he, is you guys better not vote for him, he is involved in several corruption scandals and you have based Tavares to vote for.
Jaxson Carter
Hey
SPfags
Vote for that army guy who was attacked
Brayden Ross
Skaf and Doria are both shit, they're just being opportunistic
Dominic Barnes
O skaf me parece apenas o corrupto tipo Eduardo Cunha, a porra do Dória por outro lado abre as pernas pra agenda marxista, é anti-armamento, criou imposto pra netflix e spotify e passou lei que da segurança armada para ex-prefeitos (bom desarmamentista btw).
O foda é que a união PSL PRTB foi em cima da hora, ninguem teve tempo pra popularizar o Rodrigo Tavares, então me parece que é mais importante não deixar o Doriana vencer
Cameron Evans
I will keep shilling for Tavares even if he doesn't win. Don't vote for corrupt guys user.
Ian Baker
50% of valid votes
Jaxon Smith
>Don't vote for corrupt guys user. I'm not, but they'll be elected regardless, so better have them at our side because the opposition will strike hard when Bolsonaro is elected
Bentley Bell
50%+1 of valid votes In 2014 blank/null and abstention rates added up to about 29%, so even around 36-38% of total votes would be enough for a first round win and Bolso is pretty close to that.
Parker Adams
Hey brazil user, ive been getting really into Tropicalia and Bossa the last year or so, any recommendations? I am especially into the Album Transa and Gal Costa's fa-tal, also really into her album live in London with Gilberto.
>DON'T VOTE FOR EDUARDO PAES Naturally, I'm not even from RJ, kek. I'd honestly go with Romário if I lived there. Honest guy as far as I'm aware, legit knows what it means to be fucking poor in Brazil.
Christopher Fisher
Looking increasingly likely; FBI didn't find anything and the Democrats in red states are looking at being voted out if they don't vote for him
Angel Jackson
>tfw PT candidates in the south/souteast are all tanking HARD
Shameful that Bolsonaro/PSL hasn't supported him or anybody not from PSL and PRTB. I know a lot of PSC candidates who support him.
Asher Gonzalez
I know them! I found them because I got super obsessed with Gal costa's versions of the song "de um role" . Unironically learning Portuguese as a semi direct result lmao.
Jose Miller
I don't live there too but I noticed a lot of cariocas that will vote for him because of his party (DEM), the problem is that they don't know that Eduardo Paes is helping Haddad
Because usually DEM is more conservative than other parties and they do have a candidate with chance of winning the election, that's why. I understand them though, just look at their candidates.
Luke Gonzalez
Romário is a literal retard promising to repeat Brizola's policies
Justin Wilson
They're electing Dilma, they already fucked up one way or another.
Carson Parker
>Gal costa's versions of the song "de um role" She does some nice covers. Check out "Vou Recomeçar" by her. It's a cover from another popular singer Roberto Carlos (nowadays his public is mostly old women though, kek). Check out Elis Regina, too. She's a great singer from that time. Did some songs with Jobim.
My candidate tbqhwy. When asked about that he said he wouldn't retract his words. What a lad lmao
Gavin Gutierrez
>mineiros >not fucking up Bad news.
Gavin Powell
Bahia
Blake Collins
any decent candidates from sp lads?
Asher Long
Bahia, Ceará and Piauí for sure, both for reelection - like PCdoB in Maranhão and PSB in Pernambuco. PSB will also take ES,
Chase Parker
A guy told me that jews attacked bolsonaro on the internet and his supporters responded with memes making fun of jews is that true ?
Lincoln Diaz
Bolsonaro 17 Major Costa e Silva 27 Major Olímpio 177 Nulo Luiz Philippe 1720 Douglas Garcia Bispo 17064
Bolsonaro 17 Major Olimpio 177 - senador Major Mecca - deputado estadual Luiz Philippe Orleans Bragança - deputado federal Rodrigo Tavares (primeiro turno) Skaf segundo turno - governador.
Wyatt King
Yeah, I'm voting for him as well. He also supports gun ownership. The fucking mad lad.
Leo Gutierrez
plz don’t elect Dilma
Juan Cook
Camilo and ferreira gomes with their coronelismo gonna be making Ceara the public bathroom of PT, they will defecate the remainder of the garbage they couldn't pass on national scale here.
Kayden Peterson
I'm voting Wilson 'Snipe a Nigga' Witzel. Second round Romario.
John Collins
Don't forget to vote for Major Olímpio AND Jair Andreoni. This is especially important, because if you choose to vote for another one who's doing well in the polls (like Gabrili or Tripoli) then they might beat Olímpio, because they're tied in 2nd.
Look up PSL candidates on Bolsonaro’s site. PSL may end up losing deputies because they won’t have enough candidates getting 30k votes.
Christopher Ross
That's major Olímpio Voting for anyone else makes it harder for him to be elected, especially Mara gabrilli
Bentley Taylor
it's not possible, PSL must have a candidate
Jayden Anderson
>Rodrigo Tavares wtf he looks like Aécio
Gavin Jenkins
isn't Suplicy first tho
William Robinson
MOM?!!!! MOM MOM MOOOOM?!!??! MOOOOOOOOOOM?!!!!
Jonathan Johnson
yes but he is losing votes every poll according to parana pesquisas, mara gabrilli from psdb is getting closer and closer from removing him of the 1st place
Did not read it on catracalivre (The 50 year old boomer who told me might have did that tho) i did a quick search on the article now that you mentioned it tho.
Ethan Gomez
I don't know one single person here that is going to vote for him
Aiden Roberts
why do you keep spamming this for days now?
Connor Thomas
old habits die hard
Brayden Smith
Right, I mean besides Olimpio. And wouldn't nullifying my second vote raise Olimpio's chances anyway?
I don't even know. Guess they empathize with him being a big soft loser. Odds are he won't even survive the whole mandate in his current state.
Easton Robinson
How are things looking brazilbros? Give it to me straight
Daniel Wright
Retards vote for who they know and nothing else, compulsory voting was a mistake.
Justin Powell
Reminder that it's very important for us to elect Levy Fidélix in São Paulo, because Bolsonaro and Mourão need him to be Chamber President so they can approve their projects.
Voting for Levy would be a wasted vote. Prtb won't get enough to elect anyone
Jason Adams
Eu me arrependo de não ter servido as forças armadas. Hoje acho que teria sido uma boa experiência pra mim no longo prazo, apesar de todo o desconforto.
>tfw 30 year old teenager
Alexander Fisher
>Bolsonaro: 32% >Alckmin: 9% >Amoedo: 3% >Meirelles: 2% >Dias: 2% >Daciolo: 2% >Bolsonaro+Alckmin+Amoedo+Meirelles+Dias+Daciolo: 50% Meanwhile: >Haddad: 21% >Ciro: 11% >Marina: 4% >Haddad+Ciro+Marina: 36% Considering most people will do these shifts in an eventual 2nd round, there is simply NO WAY Haddad can win without a fraud.
Autism.
John Rivera
finally aerotrem
Benjamin Gomez
DO NOT VOTE FOR GABRILLI, YOU WONT KEEP SUPLICY OUT YOU'LL JUST RLECT THIS ANTI-BOLSONARO TUCANO HO AND SUPLICY
This. But we have to keep in mind that Ibope and Datafoice only get PT's numbers right. Remember what happened to Doria and Aécio? Both had 10% more than what the polls predicted.
Josiah Gutierrez
First round win possible but not extremely likely. Second round win very likely, PT is known for having a strong propaganda machine of reputation destruction but they don't know how to approach Bolsonaro at all, the latest ad they did was some weakass attempt at equating him to Hitler.
Cooper Kelly
Ele foi astuto. O Doria veio com um discurso bolsonarista no ultimo debate e Skaf imediatamente roubou o momento com esse apoio.
Samuel Wood
>was some weakass attempt at equating him to Hitler. That will probably get him direito de resposta using their airtime.
Alexander Kelly
PT always underperforms in elections compared to the polls, mostly because their voters aren't very engaged and have high abstention rates.
PRTB is coligated with PSL, you fucking retard. And Levy Fidelix got about half a million votes in the last election. He was in all the pro-Bolsonaro rallies and is extremely popular. You are crazy!
Kevin Ross
No it won't, the Two most voted candidates win, regardless of other's votes, unless you vote for someone who is competing directly against him you aren't helping him by not voting, vote for the 28 candidate.