What are your midterm election prediction? house senate?

initially i thought it would be a tight election with repubs keeping the majority. now there is now doubt dems will be BTFO

I hope the rest of the rust belt is pissed off too. Can you imagine the salt if Stabenow AND Tammy Baldwin both lost? That would be a huge blow.

Tell me if there's any hope for NJ ejecting Menendez please. I want that corrupt scumbag out of my state but I've kinda lost hope.

I'm voting Democrat because Trump only hires niggers and jews. You all deserve to be abused by democrats. I realize that now.

On election night 2016, I made nachos to watch the returns. (personally, I think that's why Trump won Michigan). I may have to do the same this year.

The dems are in serious trouble. They are starting to realize it, but they're still trying to paint a rosey picture in the hope that if they believe hard enough it will work.

I agree with others that there is a real chance that the dems will get BTFO. If that happens, it will be like the 2016 meltdown all over again.

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Bro, Menendez is vulnerable as hell. They're pouring a lot of resources in New Jersey, this shouldn't be happening but people don't like a guy who skated with a mistrial for massive corruption and fucking 13 year old Dominican hookers.

I have no info outside of Michigan. But other than the hunch I mention in , I think the blue wave is a dud.

I know it's bad for them because Rasmussen has the generic ballot tied, and for 2010 it was supposedly an R+1 election.

The people I've talked to here don't even seem to know about that shit though. Whenever I tell them they seem to change their minds about him, I just worry too many people are uninformed. I can hope though. Christie was governor once anyway, I guess there's hope for a red senator.

>republicans keep senate, gain 2 seats
>republicans keep house, lose 14 seats

100% republican except lyin Ted will lose bigly to the blue drip

How do I save posts?

They're trying to attack Hugin for being a Pharma Executive when like 1/3 of NJ works in the industry. That is desperation.

If Menendez wins, they'll have only done it by working their asses off and stuffing ballot boxes like they haven't had to in a long time.

>Michigan is turning red
Minnesota is turning red, Stauber is going to take it

It's funny because when I talked to my Dem contact, I could hear them making the same mistakes they made in 2016; and it's like they never learned a fucking thing.

1. They're talking about it being "the year of the woman", that a lot of women candidates are going to win. But they still think that the "women vote" is a solid block and not a lot of individuals. Some of them are still stupid enough the think that the Kavanaugh play will work to their advantage with women; and some still can't understand why women "sold out their own" with Hillary.

2. At least in Michigan, they are still relying WAY to much on their polling models. When my friend read me the internal polling report and started gloating (I'm a repub, so it's a friendly sort of competition), I replied... is this the same company that predicted that Hillary would win? -- which was answered with dead silence.

3. (at least in michigan) the crowd running the show are still the bean counter types who think that polls and models are everything; but have a complete lack of understanding of the people that make up polls. For example, I was trying to explain why most trump supporters stopped answering polls in 2016 and only answered in the voting booth, but they honestly don't understand what I'm talking about.

The bottom line... the dems in Michigan are still as deluded as they were in 2016, haven't learned from their mistakes, are still fighting a 1990's style campaign, and have no clue what is about to happen to them.

Cruz hasn't trailed O'Rourke in a single poll thus far though. NYT just finished a poll with Cruz up 8. No way Texas goes blue yet.

When the New York Times starts their article with "It was one of the most reliably democratic districts of the 20th century, now the democrats are just trying to hold on".... I suspect you may be on to something.

nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-mn08-3.html

There was a lot of focus today on FL-27 where Trump lost by 20 points and the GOP candidate is up by 2.

miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article219862165.html

This is turning into one of the more information packed threads on Jow Forums. FL-27 looks like the dems worst nightmare. If there is that much of a swing since 2016, no dem seat is safe. They must be shitting themselves across the country.

i wish PA could get a republican governor but it's just too corrupt

Lou Barletta sucks but im voting for him and wagner anyways`

Scott Wagner shit the bed by telling the state with the second largest elderly population he was going to tax their retirement income. Like....what the fuck dude how do you fuck up so badly like that so close to the election?

if true, what a dumbass

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not a shill just an epic doomer
always expect the worst Jow Forums

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Midterm Fight, Nacho Night
No Democrat wins tonight,
It wasn't coughing fits, or pants of shit,
They lost from bring cucks, faggots, dykes
To a fucking /pol Nacho Night

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Based and checked

You're a poet, but you don't know it. But your feet show it... they're long fellows.

Heller is up in recent polling for Nevada. I don't think Donnelly will win in Indiana. Tester may be harder to knock out but I don't know enough about Montana.

Pottery checked

>WV
>Tossup
That should be light blue at the very least, Manchin and Kavanuagh are really well liked over there and Manchin voted Yay on Kav so...

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I count 54-55 seats for Republicans

hopefully all the rural retards in the midwest decide to stop voting for their own pockets and instead think about the damage they're doing to the country.
the only reason why nevada is blue is because of minorities. it would be a solid red state, i've literally never met a democrat there who wasnt complete white trash like tana mongeau

Polling hasn't shown him breaking away from Morrisey yet, but he probably is the hardest incumbent to remove from a state that isn't a lost cause.

SENATE 54-46

HOUSE we lose unless there's a miracle

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>Republicans hold Congress
>increase Senate to 57
>add 4 House seats

Rollan for this.

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that old meme magic cauldron is bubbling boys!

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sweet lord, that's kek's music

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I think here in California we are going to see a lot of conservatives come out and vote. I don't think we are going to win any important positions, but many local republican positions will be secured.

t. San Diego master race.

Republicans gain in the Senate and don't lose the House. Democrats are putting too much hope on Trump hate. The "Trump modifier" objectively helps Republicans.

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It's not actually a miracle. 25 seats means Republicans lose every seat up to R+3 on the CPVI and gain nothing.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018#Election_ratings

Senate picks up 4 more R's to extend their majority
House adds 8 D's, but R's hold majority
Liberal tears ensue
Progressives stroke out
pottery

I never really remember how the dems only campaign on hating Donald Trump and basically anyone that doesn't like him won't vote for Republicans anyway.

We shouldn’t get cocky because than we get complacent. We should all make extra sure we vote red and it goes through how we want it.

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My prediction isn't important, I just want to meme in Cox as governor for commiefornia. Hopefully we get shit done and become a good state again.

>senate win guaranteed
>lose house unless left sabotages themselves again (about 50/50 chance)
>humiliating for the left in either case
>if republicans take the house most likely civil war by 2020, or trump re-elect at latest