How the fuck is this a "blue wave?" I seriously don't get why the burger media is already writing this off as a loss for the Republicans. Republican voters are more riled up than ever, Trump is incredibly popular. What gives?
How the fuck is this a "blue wave...
Carter Reed
Nicholas Martin
Denial is the first stage of dealing with grief. Red tsunami is coming.
Matthew Cooper
Carter Flores
Because according to Nate Silver everyone of those swing states is going to the Democrats.
Really though it is corporates who own the media pretending to be woke so they can sell products to people who pretend they hate capitalism.
Adam Carter
It's 2016 all over again. Fake polls and fake media that will get it completely wrong.
Noah Perry
When you control and regulate the money supply
When you own the banks
When you own the journalists
When you own entertainment media
When you own the voting machines
When you oversee those machines
When you own politicians
You tend to get confident.
I'm sure Trump won by a 70% to 30% margin in 2016, if not more. They were stealing the election, but some agency stopped the hacking in a few key states, completely derailing their plans.
Ayden Evans
Nate Silver's polls are more accurate when you use his "lite" setting. It removes all of his stupid input and expert analysis.
Charles Gonzalez
Generic ballot polls are not polls, they are statistical models which involve talking to people. They then weight these polls +10 D, under the assumption that Democratic turnout will be higher. They then declare a blue wave on this basis
Liam Ramirez
we may take a massachusettes senate seat.
and btw, if john can identify as jane and i can lose my job for not calling him a her; why can't warren identify as an injun? or for that matter a chink? race and gender being social constructs, it makes sense that i can be an abbo.
i'm going to be an abbo and inherit half of perth cuz you're a racist colonialist.
i'll be the smartest (and soberest) abbo on planet earth.
gibs me my gold mines.
Connor Barnes
Bingo! They try to demoralize republicans with these polls. If it wasn't for Kavanaugh and this illegal invasion, they would have had their way.
I'm expecting the GOP to keep the house by a very small margin and gain 4 seats in the senate.
Owen Cox
This. I even ordered the perfect libation to celebrate on the night of November 6 if things go well...
Aaron Perry
He won at least 70% of the White male vote, the only vote that counts.
Joshua Walker
the Ford accusation backfired massively on Dems
Bentley Hill
The official explanation by pollsters is that the model is based on "expected turnout".
However looking at polls from October 2016 and comparing them to november 2016 there was a 4% narrowing during that time. Given that Rasmussen was the most accurate poll of the 2016 cycle and the fact that Rasmussen's most recent polls show only a 1% lead for Democrats this race will probably tighten significantly as pollsters adjust their models for the last week of the election in order to avoid getting bad publicity (wouldn't want to have a D+11 poll when the actual end is D+1, people might start to question your accuracy!).
It's all smoke and mirrors.
The Senate polls give a better idea of how things are going, though many of those polls are also shit (Florida's polls in particular smack of tampering, Dems have given up on winning North Dakota, the lack of polls for places like Indiana and Montana and Missouri seems to indicate that Dems don't know what they should put out for those states despite those states being competitive).
Overall the picture painted seems to indicate mild Democrat gains on the West Coast/Northeast with Republicans gaining a few seats here and there as well. However Republicans also appear to be picking up momentum, if Democrats keep fucking up I wouldn't be surprised if Republicans are able to retain a 235 seat majority in the House despite Pennsylvania redistricting.
And of course the Democrats are fucked in the Senate- it's just a question of how fucked. 52 seats isn't such a large majority for Republicans, but they could potentially surge to 57 seats which puts them on the verge of a real landslide.
Overall the longterm results will definitely be the Republicans expanding their power further as their senate majority increases, and with it we'll see rapid confirmations and a greater likelihood of well balanced budgets getting passed.
Gavin Fisher
And they have trouble admitting it.
Logan Parker
They can't admit it, or they would be opening themselves up to questions about every scheme they have had a hand in since the 2016 election, which will tank any confidence left in the party. They've already lost a good chunk of their reasonable voter base, the only ones left are the unaware, the dumb, the malicious, amd those who's paycheck relies on being demrats.
Hunter Clark
> I seriously don't get why the burger media is already writing this off as a loss for the Republicans.
Because of this shit here.
Also the too many Rs in the toss up.
Carter Rivera
If you actually look through these lean democrat districts, half of them have not been polled at all, or were polled back in June-July, before the whole Kavanaugh shitshow boosted republican numbers.
Pollsters are in for a very rude awakening.
Zachary Perez
Exactly
Oliver Garcia
>polls of less than 100 people to represent an electorate which exceeds 80 million in regards to 435 different elections nationwide are good!
Nate is retarded
Jeremiah Ross
Reading articles on the subject a lot of libshits are still outright in "WOMEN'S RAGE OVER KAV WILL BE THE BLUE WAVE" mode. They haven't learned anything and they don't want to learn anything.