Blue Wave incoming

My House prediction:

Dems will pick up for sure:
AZ-02, CA-49, CO-06, IA-01, KS-03, MI-11, MN-02, MN-03, NJ-11, PA-07, VA-10, NJ-02, PA-05, PA-06, PA-17, CA-10, CA-39, CA-45, FL-27, IL-06, and NJ-07

These races are toss ups, but Dems favored to win:
CA-25, CA-48, FL-26, IA-03, ME-02, NC-09, NJ-03, and NY-19

These races are toss ups, but Dems are underdogs in:
KS-02, KY-06, NY-22, PA-01, TX-07, TX-32, UT-04, VA-07, and WA-08

And Dems will have PA-14 and MN-08 flip red.

Keep in mind, these toss ups are basically 50/50s. Dems will lose some they're favored to win, and they will win some underdog races. Putting this all into an easy to understand perspective. After Dems win the first 21, take off 2, and their base gain is 19. Now to get to 23 they need to win 4 of the 17 toss ups, 8 of which they're already favored to win.

So I think Dems will win the House, and let's say the final score will be D+27, or 222D-213R.

As far as the Senate goes
>pic related

McCaskill could have lost, but it seems like Hawley has barely lifted a finger to actually campaign. GOP would retain Senate due to Pence's tiebreaker. The only real wild cards here are TX and TN, which could surprise us, but most likely not.

Attached: 2018senateprediction.png (827x631, 66K)

>senate

Good luck building the wall

>what are percentages

the election day 538 chart was 70/30, so that's a bit misleading. Plus, I think a lot of people fail to understand probability, or the effect that margin of error can drastically swing results. There was definitely also a lack of state polling in the final weeks, but national polling pretty much nailed it.

235 dem

53 rep

Only numbers that matter

Trump is a lame duck

Don’t try teaching Jow Forums

I am only here to laugh at them
No WALL JAJAJAJAJA

PA 14 may not flip
Poll released today showed dem lead by 1

Its obvious a blue wave is not going to happen. The Repubs will keep the senate. The only question is will they keep the house. Its starting to look more and more like they will.

I don't see the poll up on 538 yet, but I know they have PA-14 at 99% chance to go red.

>What's on the mind of the white liberals?
orange man bad

As opposed to "orange man is god-king! Orange god tell me he shit chocolate, so I dive my face in between his enormous ass cheeks and suck the shits out of him! I thank orange god for his gift!"

reminder that hillary had 98.1% chance of winning presidency, according to polls :^)

No, not according to "polls", according to some retarded forecast. Wasn't it HuffPo or NYT or something? National polls had the aggregate at low single digits. It NEVER should have been anything in the same universe as a 98% chance. They pulled that out of their asses.

the meme doesn't work in reverse as the media aren't pushing that narrative. try again, reddit

Fox isn't pushing that? Negro please

>Wasn't it HuffPo or NYT or something?
it was every single one of them

Betting agencies or how do you call these nerds, all predict 80% chance of a Red Senate.

lmao reddit

NJ-2 is not clear dem win. It’s been red for as long as I can remember. We voted for Trump. Just because Atlantic City is filled with nigs doesn’t mean they will actually vote. For this reason I’m out. Red tide

yeah no

And that's probably correct. Hell, so do I Did someone in another thread teach you to use the word "reddit" over and over, and it made an impression on you or something?

They actually don't, are you retarded? Every anchor still says they think trump is very flawed. During the work day, when men are out of the house, FOX is as libshit as CNN for the women watching.

>implying we watch the electric jew

...

nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/polls.html

>site owner Nate Silver

OH NONONONO

youtube.com/watch?v=gYi6Ibf3e0o

Executive Order then and the SCOTUS to back it up

Will there be live coverage on the election results tomorrow like with the presidential election? "Polls are closed in east coast, we can already project a winner in X. Y is too close to call with 55% of votes counted." Its pretty entertaining to watch.

Your larping interest in American politics is amusing

Decades of jewish conditioning.

>They actually don't, are you retarded? Every anchor still says they think trump is very flawed
Hannity, Ingram, Carlson, Pirro, Fox and Friends, Gutfield. Again, there's not enough negros to properly convey the nergro pleases that you deserve right now

>During the work day, when men are out of the house, FOX is as libshit as CNN for the women watching.
Shep Smith is the only potty trained, house broken, in-door adult in that entire building. He's the lone voice of sanity in a building of people shitting tire irons over starving, bedragged, poor, Honduran toddlers.

lol nope

We will have a better estimate on who will control the house but most likely not fully know who controls for a few days after. And I don’t believe the blue wave hype. Look at how the counties voted in the election, I expect similar results tomorrow

Eh, I disagree. He could literally do nothing else for the rest of his term and I would still be satisfied with him. I mean hell, he already got 2 supreme court justices in. Assuming those two dudes live another 30-40 years, that's a step in the right direction there alone. I feel people are too blackpilled here.

>national polling
Kinda silly innit

CA-49 fag here. I'm pretty sure it'll go blue. Fucking dems just move from one good place to another, shitting it up as they go.

Carlsbad might even lose their libertarian mayor

Agreed, especially when the only thing that matters is the electoral college. Presidential elections should be all about state polling.

nytimes.com/2018/11/04/opinion/midterm-predictions-trumpism.html

Attached: 1540501347520.gif (420x230, 1.84M)

This and we still most likely have the senate Incase Ginsburg dies. God bless her soul

Wow it’s rare to see such a genuine bona fide true blue fucking faggot. Why haven’t you killed yourself yet?

NJ 2 is about to go the deepest of deep blues. That race isn't even a real contest right now. Van Drew has 20 points on the Republican right now.

>no argument
>lol faggot!

This just in, new polling shows a majority of Americans in all 435 districts plan to write in Jeb Bush.

Attached: xcom hit chance.jpg (750x837, 72K)

uhm they want healthcare?

Most whites that are older vote democrat because of muh union. I'm in Central IL and IL is probably the worst when it comes to labor unions. Firestone had a plant in my city, and it shut down because the union workers kept striking to get more and more shit. Firestone closed the plant as a result, saying the tires made there were faulty as an out.

These same union fucks say if we need to raise taxes to pay their pensions, then that's what they need to do. Then they go retire somewhere with low taxes.

There's also the Caterpillar union fucks. They're like animals. When they were picketing in the late 90s if you made eye contact going past them as a corporate guy they'd fucking run up to your car, yell at you and beat the damn car. They put tire spikes in the parking lot all the fucking time.

These union guys, if it wasn't for their union, they would vote republican. They hate faggots, trannies, are pro-gun, and ultimately very conservative, but they love their unions.

This was fun, see you on the other side!

>polls

You can't executive order something that needs a federal budget, if it were that easy it'd have been done now

GOP has nothing and is just sitting comfy while you cucks do their bidding

D*catur RAUS

Literally over sampling Dems like 2016, I can’t wait for Tuesday’s results. Some staticians are predicting their models with a 90% chance of Democrats taking the house. Ring a bell?

link on the same page
nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html
they exagerated the shit out of it before the election and corrected it right before so people would not think they're complete fucking retards, same thing happened here with little macron fag, they kept giving him outrageously high predictions and gradually lowered these as the vote drew closer, turned out his first turn score was lower than their final prediction and he only won because "muh nazis are going to get in power"

Yes, good ole Decatur. I don't live here and didn't go to school here, but I've worked here all my life. Small towns outside Decatur are good, or at least they used to be. They're just shadows of their former selves.

My mom is a braindead ex-hippie that cares more about enivornmentalism and abortion.

the real redpill is being a pro-environmental nazi

She's too far gone. I spin all her talking points about the 1% and the "Good Old Boy Network" by pointing out that it's not WASPs but Jews that predominantly make up those groups and she suddenly NAXALTs and says it's a coincidence and "maybe they earned their positions."

This post right here is exactly why I resent the left. You come in to situations you don't want to understand, absorb literally no nuance, and then place everything into labelled compartments to avoid discussion and debate.

Nah I meant in a general sense, boomers should be culled.

they dont follow politics so much and just listen to the (((news)))
all the white demcrats are know dont know a damn thing about politics or history or anything else, just let the TV tell them what to think

MI-11 here. No way the dems pick up this seat. We're a deep red suburban area with a 90%+ white population. Our home prices are 5x that of Detroit's and we have very few apartments for poor people to live in.

A lot of them are old hippies and bleeding heart millenials who will claim to be woke, but in reality have a horrible case of confirmation bias. The types that will call for open borders, but then complain about stagnant wages. Or demand higher taxes in the city then complain when the jobs leave.

BBC

It's finally time.

Attached: Screen_Shot_2017-08-17_at_3.57.59_PM[1].jpg (875x560, 105K)

read the thread dummy, has already been said by

Attached: IMG_20180827_002853.jpg (571x573, 32K)

Because there needs to be adults around to fix the mess you're going to make once you're done fucking things up.

Faggots, the first graph is a prediction for the house, the second is the prediction for the senate. Sorry if this has been pointed out earlier in the thread you fucking homos....

Spoiler: He's got nothing on Trump.

The bread and butter of the democrat party has always been promising free shit to lazy fucks.

Reality Check: He's waiting to see how the midterms turn out before deciding how high up the chain he goes.

Like less corporate taxes, and corporate personhood?

>Blue Wave incoming

Let me guess.. Next, you are going to tell us that Hillary has a 98.5% chance to win the election.

Attached: 1530916286524.jpg (724x976, 327K)