Based on the 2018 midterm votes, Nate Silver has predicted what the 2020 electoral vote will look like. Dems lose Ohio and maybe Florida but still win decisively:
>So here’s some slightly scary news for Trump: The 2018 map looked more like 2012 than 2016, with Democrats performing quite well in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the three states that essentially won Trump the election two years ago.
>States shaded in light blue were won by Democrats, but by fewer than 5 percentage points. So it’s noteworthy which states are not in light blue but are solid blue instead. Democrats won the popular vote in Michigan by 7 percentage points, in Wisconsin by 8 points, in Pennsylvania by 10 points, and in Minnesota by 11 points. In other parts of the country, they won Nevada and Colorado by 6 points each, New Hampshire by 12, Virginia by 15 and New Mexico by 19.
>change results adjusted to real time vote data >look i got it right! I laugh at you idiots who trust jews.
Nathaniel Brown
I'm glad that Nate Silver has a crystal ball and knows for certain who the Democratic nominee will be.
Aaron Kelly
What does he know? Hasn't he been off on many things lately?
Justin Green
45 never trumpers left the house. Incumbents have a 98% re election rate. Dems only took slightly more than half of the open seats. They were all close toss ups. Fuck of.
Michael Bell
>implying midterms are predictive of presidential elections
The party in the White House usually suffers losses in the midterms, but the incumbent president usually wins re-election. These are well-established trends.
Silver is a hack.
Alexander Parker
Read the article, dumbass.
Jayden Cox
No, fuck off, Nate.
Your predictions in 2016 were laughably bad. Why should anyone listen to you?
Landon Watson
>Nate Silver turning FL light blue to program people into quietly accepting the inevitable election steal that is about to happen by dems Wow, shocking.
Gavin Cruz
>inevitable election steal You mean like when Republicans stole the election with Bush v Gore?
Payback's a bitch.
Kayden Baker
Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will stay with Trump. Florida is lost forever now that felons can vote.
You do realize that Clinton = Gore = Bush = McCain = Romney = Obama, right? It doesnt matter which one of these corporate politicians win, it would have been business as usual. Finally a change ordained by the people comes and they will do everything to stop it.
>Clinton wins Bush Sr quietly fucks off >Bush Jr wins Clinton quietly fucks off >Obama wins Bush Jr quietly fucks off >Trump wins Both Clintons, Obama, even McCain, Romney, and Bush all try to fuck with him and his administration despite 200 years of precedence of quietly fucking off >Trumps a corporate tool Fuck off
>t-t-triggered Don't you have to be fucking off to some RGB prayer circle or something? Maybe donating a rib or two to your overlords
Kevin Watson
Trump has been a gift to wall street, to corporations, to Zionism. The sole thing which hasn't been business as usual is that he courts white nationalism more than the others.
Eli Davis
>unemployment down >wages up >cuck trade deals out >tax cuts for everyone >regulations out I would vote for him again and again just for fucking with China, which we single handedly dragged from 3rd world to 2nd biggest economy.
Logan Walker
I think the republicans will take Ohio and Florida and still lose. Fucking traitorous Virginians.
Once Texas flips it's all over for Republicans for forever.
Zachary Edwards
A taxcut on someone making 20k a year giving them a couple hundred bucks is worth a lot less than the lost revenue from the millionaires and billionaires.
Ryan Hernandez
>trump will lose the rust belt despite the fact that he won it in 2016 and his tariffs + SALT caps directly benefit the rust belt Very cool Nate
Charles Flores
Mean household income is $80,000. Plus increasing high paying jobs is better for the regular person than making a bunch of part time jobs at walmart and mcdonalds like obumer did.
Nathaniel Bennett
"Democrats are poised to pick up about 39 house seats, and the GOP is going to pick up 1-2 Senate seats.
This is literally exactly what Fivethirtyeight predicted.
>basic Presidential turnout on midterm turnout Based retard
Matthew Hernandez
>What does he know? Hasn't he been off on many things lately?
He nailed the 2018 midterms. He also gave Trump better odds against Hillary than anyone else.
Jacob Richardson
College educated whites went Trump... something the media and shills try to bury.
"Muh suburban retards" is a shill myth. Urban areas went Hillary ONLY due to their black and hispanic populations. The college educated vote demographics Hillary won was ONLY from blacks and hispanics. See pic related.
Hillary also only got 37% of the overall white vote.
37%
We are basically at a point now where it's white people vs everyone else (immigrants, blacks, jews, radicals etc.)
Just look at the demographics vs counties won.
It's time for any of that 37% out there to wake the fuck up as to what is really going on.
Time is short.
DEPORT ***ALL*** ILLEGALS
HAVE WHITE FAMILIES
BUILD THE WALL/SECURE THE BORDER
The country can easily be saved if we do just those 3 things.
>Wisconsin >Michigan >Pennsylvania Lmao they're making the same fucking mistakes
Hudson Campbell
god damn it. nevada has no right being liberal
Matthew Watson
So they don't even have a viable candidate and already they are 'winning'. Sure, that's not shilly at all.
Jonathan Ross
It favors the opposition party.
Noah Ward
>According to exit polls, 61 percent of non-college-educated white voters cast their ballots for Republicans while just 45 percent of college-educated white voters did so. Meanwhile 53 percent of college-educated white voters cast their votes for Democrats compared with 37 percent of those without a degree.
Trump is a known variable. When you've got things mostly battened down it's easier to predict. I wouldn't write of polls in the future. Just when someone comes from left field and their models no longer work.
Andrew Gonzalez
>they predicted Hillary had a 99% chance of winning >they predicted the blue wave Their predictions are worth less than doge coin.
Lincoln Hughes
>Nebraska not 200% red This destroys his argument.
Oliver Miller
I find Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania more likely to go red than Arizona. Trump appeals in the midwest more than the average Republican because he knows how to speak to the white working class voters. The average republican in this region is a cuck and doesnt talk about protectionist economics. Trump comes in and says shit that gets them out. And dont forget Trump won Iowa by almost 10 pts in 2016. 538 gave Donnelly Indiana's dem senator a 5 in 7 chance of retaining his seat. He lost by 7 or 8 points. They are no better source for 2020 than some dude in China
