What iPhone and Android apps do you wish existed but don't because of (((political taboos)))? What about simply useful apps for Jow Forumslocks? Equity in a startup I worked for a few years ago paid off this year so I'm independently wealthy and have nothing better to do, and I was thinking about making some Jow Forums apps, or just useful apps in general.
Looking for some serious suggestions >pic unrelated but I saw it posted here over Christmas
He’s right. There’s only two possible outcomes. The second ball is either the other gold ball from box 1 or the silver ball from box 2. 50% chance of getting a gold ball.
Josiah Cooper
>There’s only two possible outcomes >that makes it 50% lol...
pretty solid idea, but I think recreating an actual decent navigation app which is actually comparable to the existing options probably isn't worth it just to add that singular feature
Chase Scott
Don't post a picture more interesting than the question
Charles Lewis
If you have one gold ball in your hand, it means that you're more likely to have picked the GG box.
So you have to weight the probabilities, not just assume it's 50 / 50.
The answer is 2/3.
Jaxon Edwards
50% obv
Blake Ramirez
The idea is that the result is skewed by meta-chances. The chance that you would grab a gold ball to start changes the following ball, because one box has two, therefor it is most likely you grabbed the box with two gold balls in it.
Jaxson Murphy
tfw I drove to see some relatives on Christmas but I didn't get into a car crash
thank fuck, that 50% chance of crashing is really scary!
Owen Sanders
FFS bruder, 2/3 is correct.
Chase Bell
>using racist math to oppress your fellow countrymen
Ayden Wood
That’s not even a remotely comparable situation.
Fair enough, I didn’t consider that.
Landon Bailey
>That’s not even a remotely comparable situation. >there are two outcomes therefore it must be 50% hurr durr
William Reyes
I am not even your brother I am slavic but i live in germany
two yellows are cancelled out by the two grays leaving a 50/50 chance of picking yellow or gray.
Samuel Long
Now dis nigga is thinkin'.
William Butler
The pic is only asking about the probability of the next pick. You already have a gold ball and there are only 2 choices.
Colton Torres
>and there are only 2 choices. there you go again
Ryder Bailey
Oversimplifying the problem leads to getting the wrong answer. It's 66%. For the app question, probably dating apps that let you select more filtering criteria like race, no kids, employment.
John Cooper
Just imagine if it was real life bro.
Once you got that first gold in your hand it means you're more likely to have picked the GG box.
Anthony Rogers
Wrong
When you pick from 2 boxes there is a 3/4 chance of pickung a gold ball
Given that you already picked the gold ball you are now faced with 1 box being potentially 1 of two previous boxes
1 previous box is 100% gold
1 previous box is 100% silver
1+1=2
You are picking 1 of those 2 boxes
1/2 potential boxes have a 100% chance of being gold therefore your box has a 50% chance of producing a gold ball on a second drawing
Either the GG box was ignored in the first pick or the GS box was ignored on the first pick
They cannot have both been picked.
No wonder the jews tricked king arther with Merlin the pedowizard, no wonder you sold out to banks first and no wonder we beat you with pitchforks.
>For the app question, probably dating apps that let you select more filtering criteria like race, no kids, employment Interesting idea, although there are already alternative dating apps, like Christians Mingle and such
The probability is 1 if the box was GG, else it is Zero, if box was GS. There are 2 boxes with G, and there are a total of 4 balls, 3 are G.
Having selected 1 G, AGGREGATE probability of getting another G is 2/3.
How do you not get this
Colton Martin
God you're stupid. What on earth is wrong with you? Where'd you study mathematics? Dumb fuck jabroni.
Carter Gomez
You cant switch boxes
You have 1 of 2 potential boxes you are picking from and you don't know which it is either it's got 1 silver ball or 1 gold ball left and you only have 1 ball to pick.
Eli Williams
2/3
Jeremiah Wright
>being a faggot phoneslave that cares about apps
No, fuck yourself, I like my Nokia from 2006
Gavin Murphy
If the box was not removed after the choice, there could be more possibilities
When you are forced to pick from the same box, there's only 1 ball left and it's either the leftover gold or the non-gold
Let me restate the question. You put your hand in the box and pick a gold ball. You can turn the gold ball in for half it's value and walk away, or pick the second ball, and if the second one is gold you get double the reward.
What do you do. Of course you pick another ball. 2/3 chance it's gold.
RETARDS
Josiah Diaz
>You have 1 of 2 potential boxes you are picking from and you don't know which it is either
It's more likely to be the GG box (because you already have 1 G in your hand). So you have to weight the probabilities.
P.S. You are as thick as shit and a disgrace to your family. Have a good day and go fuck yourself.
Feliz Navidad hombre.
Oliver Richardson
Your original choice affects your second choice. You wrong, nig.
The prob of picking box with G is not relevant. Having picked a box with G, the prob of picking another G is 2/3
There are 4 balls, G1, G2, G3 AND S1. prob of picking any of the G is 3/4 round 1. Having picked a G, prob pick another G is 2/3
James Jones
No wonder you got the wrong answer
Gabriel Rodriguez
I know you're only pretending to be retarded, but in my undergraduate stats program there were plenty of people who didn't understand that you can't retroactively apply transitive properties.
Christian Gonzalez
Probability was removed when it was stated that you already drew a gold. The boxes have been narrowed to two choices 1 has another gold, the other has a silver all previously needed chance/probablity has been removed by the question's stated situation. 50% chance its gold
Gavin Gray
You don't pick balls, you pick boxes THEN balls. Moreover, in the first box, there is no gold-gold. There is just gold. It's a singular chance of having picked gold. You could've picked the gold from 2 boxes. 100% chance for another gold from box 1. 0 % chance for another gold from box 2.
50%
Nicholas Phillips
>Given: First pick G There was a 1/3 chance you chose the box with only a silver ball left and a 2/3 you chose the box with only a gold ball left.
Only the probability of the second pick was asked. You would be right if it asked 'what is the probability of drawing Gold twice if you have a guaranteed Gold on the first try'
Liam Powell
Wrong. There is 1/2 chance you picked the gold-silver box. There is zero chance you picked the silver-silver box. Why? Because the ball is already picked, remember?
Angel Ward
You have to draw from the SAME box again. You've already got a gold ball so you've picked EITHER the GG or GS box. It's now a 50/50 chance which box you have. If you have the GS box - remaining ball is silver. If you have the GG box - remaining ball is gold.
Aaron Cox
This.
Nolan Taylor
Pure math states 2/3. Reality states 1/2.
Hence why it is called a paradox.
Austin Howard
2/3
Matthew Wood
No, Suomi, you're not understanding him. He means that before the choice there was a 1/3 chance of picking the double silver box, and a 2/3 chance of picking a box with a gold ball. You're on the same page.
Logan Gray
1/2 THERE ARE TWO REMAINING OPTIONS. ANYONE THAT SAYS OTHERWISE IS A SHILL.
Christian Long
You dumb fucks should all go out buying lottery tickets considering you have a 50% chance of winning.
This is literally your line of reasoning.
Easton Ramirez
Ah okay, thanks.
Adam Watson
Pure math is wrong. The story problem is actually: You have a box that 50% of the time has 2 gold balls.
Charles Sanchez
It literally isn't.
The whole point of this shit is to prove pure logic and math gets fucked when meeting reality sometimes.
>Given: 1 of 3 gold balls picked, 1 silver ball not picked 2/3 chance it came from the box with only gold left, 1/3 chance it came from the box with only silver left.
Bonus: You can't change boxes and the silver only box is just for show because it's removed from the equation given that you were told you didn't pick it.
Christian Sanders
Not the same problem.
Carter Walker
Canada and UK showing how it's done.
Happy Christmas and Joyeux Noel my Canadian hombre.
Chase Murphy
I'm aware math is wrong. That's the whole point of this paradox.
People seem to think that pure math can't be wrong. It can be.
It's like Schrodinger's Cat. Idiots claim it shows how things can exist in two states. The whole point was that the cat is either dead or alive not in between.
Ian Sullivan
Yup, proves my fucking point.
Jaxon Baker
The pure math isn't wrong, retard. If you carried out this experiment in real life the results would still be 2/3. Dumb fuck.
Literally, go and carry out this experiment now. The results will tend to 2/3.
Tyler Collins
But simplifying the answer in your own words was the purpose if the exercise on Jow Forums
Clearly you were not coming to Jow Forums just to argue about basic probability problems were you?
Sebastian Allen
A 50/50 chance. Any different, and you"re a retard!
You mean one of those "problems" that math nerds use as party tricks because they like to abuse numbers to make seemingly impossible results?
It can't possibly be 66% to get two gold balls because 66% of the time you picked the wrong box. So the only correct answer is 50% because the story problem really is stating you have two boxes, one that is right, one that is wrong, what are the odds of picking the right box.
So anyone saying it's a probably of 2/3 is just lying. I don't care if some formula says it can be that way, in reality IT IS NOT.
Landon Evans
But thenpoint of posting these on Jow Forums is to argue and find out who can win
You must provide the answer that can be understood
"There is a 2/3 the box you have is the one that only has a gold ball left and a 1/3 chance the box you have is the one that only has a silver ball left. Questions?"
Parker Ross
The exercise was not to be a fucking ignoramus.
Some of us passed, some didn't.
Matthew Jenkins
That's fucking impossible you god damn moron. It's always going to be picking the right box 33% of the time. Unless you're going to discard every person who picked the silver ball as their first ball. But thanks for showing how statistics can be fucking abused.
Anthony Morris
We arent talking about picking 2 gold balls
Were talking about picking 1 ball from an uncertain box that has probabilities concerning what color the ball inside is.
Easton Foster
I havent played one of these stupid Jow Forums math arguments in a long time
This problem can't be carried out in real life, since the problem begins at a point where you have already picked a gold ball. It begins at the round 2. In an experiment you would have to manually perform round 1. This would create the 2/3 answer, which would be wrong because the problem would no longer be the same it was in the OP.
Nicholas Hall
Except we know which boxes have what. So if you pick a gold ball, the silver box is discarded as if it were never there. Then there's just two possible boxes, one that has two gold balls, one that has one. It's all about the gold balls.
Blake Reyes
Yes, part of the experiment would be discarding the cases where the silver ball is picked first.
Because that's part of the fucking question.
You truly are a fucking moron.
Matthew Brooks
Run the experiment yourself, fucktard. Just don't forget to use all three boxes when you do.
Charles Sullivan
See Congrats on being another fucking retard.
Jaxson Walker
When you pick a box you have a 50% chance.
After drawing the first ball we now have more information, because you're more likely to draw a gold on the first draw from the box that has nothing but gold balls in it, so we can update our guess (probability) to be 2/3rds because of the new information.