The Financial Panic of 2019?

This is your HAPPENING Jow Forums.
People have been warning about this for years, and nobody listened.
>by Martin Armstrong
>Posted Mar 28, 2019
>The distortion in the yield curve is building with tremendous force. There are vast bids for US 90-day T-Bills from around the world and no offers. The shortage in US government paper is now being reported to us from repo desks around the world. There is a MAJOR PANIC in to the dollar as emerging markets come under a financial crisis, in part, instigated by Turkey.

armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/emerging-markets/the-financial-panic-of-2019/

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Other urls found in this thread:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svalbard_Global_Seed_Vault
zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-30/why-russia-dumping-dollars-and-buying-gold-fastest-pace-decades
twitter.com/AnonBabble

>There is a major liquidity crisis brewing that could pop in May 2019.

It always starts small, then cascades.
>European Banks have loaded their portfolios with real estate loans thanks to quantitative easing and negative interest rates, and emerging market debt. Spanish banks are especially invested in Turkish debt where they hoped to get the highest yields expecting that the IMF would never let Turkey default.

>On top of this, banks have been lending to each other to also avoid parking money at the European Central Bank where they would be charged with a negative interest rate.

Anybody see how bad this could be?
>Currencies from South Africa’s rand to Brazil’s real are witnessing a spike in their expected volatility, signaling concern they may weaken the most along with the Turkish lira going into May. The price swings have evoked sudden deep-rooted fears that there may be an emerging market crash before the end of the year.

AHEM

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Trump will fix it.

to be fair, the inverted yield has to hold for 2-3 months for it to really mean anything. It can dip for a week and just wreck earnings, but if it holds... wew lad

if you are so confident go short the market and become a billionaire while us peasants all go broke

Trump sucks stock cock...

The stock markets in Zimbabwe and Venezuela went up, too, once those countries’ currency debasement caused hyperinflation to ravage their citizens’ purchasing power.

Trump must declare global debt jubilee 2020!

AHEM x2

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These. For the time being it's fear porn because orange man bad.

>yield curve
relevance to anything but make believe

>short the market
when the collapse happens, none of the shorts will be honored. everyone and everything will collapse.

nice cherry pick, faggot.
Looks like more globohomo kikery to me, something that has been the staple of Trump's presidency

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bond yields flipped like 2 months ago. keep up with the times, retard. it takes 6 months to a few years historically for the crash to happen.

>go short the market
No, supposedly this crisis will be in government bonds.
Not in the market or private sector.
So capital rushes out of bonds and into other assets, stocks and real estate.

You do realize there's a whole spectrum of "collapse" and it doesn't mean there's an automatic mad max scenario, right?

>Trump must declare global debt jubilee 2020!
This would be a real positive reset for the whole world.

>No, supposedly this crisis will be in government bonds.
that's not what the market is saying and that's not what the report is saying. Bond yields are dropping, because they are seen as the safest asset. Everyone is buying them.

>However, keep in mind that this Inverted Yield Curve is by no means reflecting a US recession. >This is a global financial panic unfolding on a grand scale. This is why we selected May for the WEC in Rome. This is far more than just politics.
>This is beginning to evolve into a serious liquidity crisis where we may yet see more countries try capital controls to save the day.

that is the next collapse

>because they are seen as the safest asset. Everyone is buying them.
That right there should tell you something.
Time will tell.
Either way, it's not a good thing.

People are fleeing bonds too. Getting into cash and money marketsnotice how the Dow has Ben teetering around 25k for months now. We are hanging off the edge of the Empire State Building. One finger left clinging on for dear life. And Mr. Skekelberg is looking down at you, getting ready to step on your hand

It's a possibility, but to think of it that way is similar to barging into a thread about precious metals and going spastic about how it's going to be worthless because you can't fire it out of your gun or eat it.

Delusional Kushner shill strikes again

oh look this myan-calendar/shimera/solar-eclipse thread again

only reason i'd hope this would happen is boomers own most of the bonds, and they deserve to starve to death

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Any President who says the Fed is the biggest threat to his presidency is on our side.

MAGA

no it's not that. it's that there will be no safe havens to protect your wealth if the next collapse is not stopped from happening. it will be a civilizational collapse unless the government does something very soon to control the economic correction that will and must take place.

You know, the problem with people like you is continuing to push the idea that one particular thing is inevitable and that nothing else is possible. It's such a rudimentary form of psychological warfare.

an economic correction is going to happen. it can either be painfully induced and controlled or it can be the end of civilization. the fed has no more options. it's over.

Why would you need to painfully induce it? Do you even have any suggestions as to what the fed should do? You know that the fed isn't the only venue for actions, right? You speak like one of those moron accelerationists.

Greater israel

t. brainlet

There will be no “collapse” the way some of these people think of it. It’s not going to be like the movie “Dawn of the Dead” or whatever where one day suddenly shit hits the fan and prices skyrocket and everyone begins to riot and the SS comes marching down the street to kill everyone. There will be no “happening”. It’s far more insidious than that. Read the poem “The Hollow Men” by TS ELiot and you’ll understand.

You’ll just notice that every day simple things will become a little more expensive. Everyone’s homes and apartments will start to get smaller. your work hours will get longer, but your pay will decrease. You’ll see family and friends less, and find that in time you care less about them. Every day you’ll find yourself lowering your standards for everything: work, food, relationships, etc. Job security will no longer exist as a concept. You’ll notice houses and apartments shrinking. People will start hanging on clothing longer and longer. Less people will get married, even less will have children. People will engross themselves in technological distractions and fantasy while never truly experiencing the real world.

Whatever dream people used to have about what their lives were going to be will become for them a distant memory. The only thing left for them will be the reality of their debt and their poverty. And every minute of every day they will be told: “You are stupid, ugly and weak, but together we are free, prosperous and safe.”

That is the collapse. The reduction of the American man into a feudal serf, incapable of feeling love or hate, incapable of seeing the pitiful nature of his situation for what it is or recognizing his own self worth.

mass immigration is the only solution to keep this ponzi pyramid bubble growing. We're fucked and once it pops we're stuck with shit absolutely everywhere and globally. Do people not see how the demographic of every first world country has changed vastly over the past 10 years.

The demographics will only serve as a amplifier to violence and hatred caused by the increase in extreme poverty.

2007 was never really resolved. They just pumped a bunch of money into the big banks so they could pretend to not be bankrupt and keep the real estate market from crashing even harder and blowing up more loans and leaking into commercial real estate.

It's a bomb waiting to go off one day, and any normal person has been waiting for a least a decent correction for years.

Everything stops working properly and your country becomes a brazilian hellhole.

t. brazilian

But people save money in a marriage

SELL SELL SELL
Mega SHTF scenario is coming this year. Another 7 years of pain ahead

Are you saying that the Yinon plan requires that the collapse by slow and managed or that they're ready to for a global economic blowout? You're not demonstrating a substantial chain of reasoning that relates to the realities of the world of finance.

Fuck that yanggang2020

lol you stole my phrases from the other night

the fed can't do anything more, quantitative easing can't be continued forever. an economic correction is always painful. it is up to the government to punish those responsible for the fraud and theft that has gotten us to this point, allow the market to correct itself in a healthy economic manner, and provide for the millions of people who will lose their jobs while the economy recovers. or they can continue to ignore and deny it and let everything destroy civilization when everyone tries to run for the exits at the same time.

Slide thread

sage

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Peter Schiff is always right.

>it will be a civilizational collapse
Like pic related cycle?
If so, it's still a few years off.
>this time line

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Your understanding of the situation seems to be pretty shallow, especially if you think that the government's only possible option is to rout the fraudsters. But I share your sentiment that a managed series of corrections is almost impossible to avoid if the objective is to avoid a chaotic global collapse.

Many economists defend the zombification of economies under a false social premise. The argument is the following: What is bad about following the example of Japan? It has low unemployment, its debt is cheap and the economy survives rather well. It is a social contract and debt does not matter.

Everything is wrong with this argument. Japan’s low unemployment has nothing to do with monetary and fiscal policy and everything to do with demographics and lack of immigration

>the fed has no more options. it's over.

Absolutely not. The fed can print and literally drop money from helicopters. They could loan money directly to small businesses. Everybody expected the world to end in 2008, but the fed actually did stabilize the global economy - at the cost of greatly exacerbating the rich vs. poor divide. There have been some zh articles that argue that the problems being felt in the rest of the world are driven in large part by the fed withdrawing the liquidity and trying to raise rates.

imho the US is in ok (but not great) shape right now. China and the EU and developing nations? Potentially fucked.

>parents are talking about moving so dad can run for political office
>meet with financial advisor
>got advised to hold off a while because the 7 year cycle will drop housing prices in the near future

Even the normies and the boomers know shit's going to go down boys. I hope it's 1930s levels of collapse.

>the idea that one particular thing is inevitable and that nothing else is possible.
There is a "Solution" says this guy Martin Armstrong, who predicted this coming storm back in the '80s.

>send industries/wealth to asia
>economy collapses every 5 years (planned by globalists)
>massive layoffs every 5 years
>import millions of shitskins to replace those natives layed off
>impoverished natives get health issues
>get bankrupt by medical bills
>go homeless
>get on chink heroin
>overdose
white genocide was never as easy as this

meanwhile trafficked poojeets/chinks are now the highest stolen income earners from the whites that perished under the globalist white genocide scheme

>especially if you think that the government's only possible option is to rout the fraudsters.
i provided three things the government should do, not one

I want to believe

>The fed can print and literally drop money from helicopters.
yeah they can do that, but then that's the end of the bond market and nobody will buy any more US treasuries

no, they did not. quit reading the cnbc headlines it's not good for you

Yeah, trump should run pur debt sky high and rebuild our infrastructure and updat eht military bring everyone home and then drop a big ol chapter 7 on the kike bankers

Ron Paul too, and Jow Forums.

I pray.

ok, just tell me, what should i buy then ? i've got about 1000€ extra i can afford to waste, it's not much but it can always be a nice bet
and no i am not shorting anything i don't want to be indebted if you're wrong

this is good for bitcoin

And that is when the big money is made isn't it?
At the bottom.

this has been happening for the last 15+ years

thanks just bought 10,000

The irony there is that while trump says the Fed is his "biggest threat" he means it in that they will raise interest rates and choke off growth. If you end the Fed and tie things to gold (making peter schiff and ron paul happy) you loose the ability to make easy money available on demand. And to be clear, Trump wants easy money.

Seattle
1998: avg rent $600 - avg salary $50k
2018: avg rent $2000 - avg salary $55k

from January 2000 to July 2006, starting with Bush NWO leader's Housing Bubble, home prices surged 900%

Avg price of house around 1998 before globalisation and free-trade went full swing
>$180k in NYC (boros)
>$150k in Bay Area
>$150k in LA
>$120k in DC
>$140k in Sydney
>$120k in Melbourne
>$140k in Toronto
>$190k in Vancouver
>£70k in London


Avg price of house after 2004 massive free-trade/open-borders
>$800k in NYC (boros)
>$1m in Bay Area
>$600k in LA
>$500k in DC
>$900k in Sydney
>$700k in Melbourne
>$600k in Toronto
>$1m in Vancouver
>£400k in London
---------------------------------------------------------
before free trade:
>domestic production of goods
>goods were affordable and of high quality
>lowest cost of living
>affordable housing (house costs only 2 times the annual salary)
>90% white

after free trade:
>homeless/opiod/suicide epidemic/white genocide
>unemployment
>highest cost of living
>unaffordable housing (10-20 times the annual salary)
>plummeting life expectance
>shit quality products that kill you
>millions of illegal shitskin locusts invading and killing whites

bullets, lighters, seeds and crypto

jesus

A bondpocalypse would usually result in a flight to quality, so the question is what's a more sure bet than the USD? Real assets is typically the answer to that, especially if there aren't any obviously better currencies out there.

Additionally, conventional wisdom is that if the bond market gets too soft, then the stock market will be a sacrificial lamb to send people back into bonds to prop them up, So I would caution against thinking the bond market is going to go to hell without warning.

Don't ask me.
I suck at stocks, but bought two rental houses at the bottom in 2008 that are working out well.
Save the cash for when the crash is happening, and near ending.

this kike fuck will no more kill the fed than he would his own kike grandchildren

>yeah they can do that, but then that's the end of the bond market and nobody will buy any more US treasuries

The fed would buy treasuries with printed dollars - just like Japan. Look, I'm not saying this is a good thing, but if the shit hits the fan, the people that print currency will be damn sure that liquidity does not dry up. The effect of the currency in the medium and longer term after that event is a secondary problem.

If you want to say that we should not allow a bunch of egg-heads to micromanage our economy like this I'd agree with you, but the boom bust cycles would increase in severity (and average growth rates would increase).

>from January 2000 to July 2006, starting with Bush NWO leader's Housing Bubble, home prices surged 900%
the West is transitioning towards a globalized housing system, to reach the state of housing in BRICS (Brazil, India, and China). This is the basis of creating and keeping housing bubbles.

Contrary to what us naive folks might assume, the really stupendous profits aren't made in luxury buildings--they're generated by tightly packed slums. Here's how it works. Let's say a middle-class flat of 600 square feet (7.5 square meters) goes for $1 per square foot. The slum's equivalent 600 sq. ft. has been cut up into numerous cubbyhole rooms, each housing many people who each pay a relatively high fee for the miserable lodging. The rent per square foot in the slum is thus $5/sq. ft.

According to Davis (and this book is heavily, even obsessively footnoted/sourced), densities in Third World slums are astronomical--18,000 residents per acre is not uncommon. That's four modest-sized 10,000 sq. ft. residential lots in the U.S. suburbs--4 houses that might house 8 people, total, not 18,000.

So slums are immensely profitable--much more profitable than permanent "middle-class" housing. And will you be surprised to learn that most of the property in these mega-city slums is concentrated in a few hands?

The net result of this great urban overcrowding/high-rents/profitability is indeed pernicious.

The Western housing market is in the process of slumification.

>free-trade/open-borders
it's the massive increase in credit emission and unrestrictive lending practices that is causing the increase in housing prices, not free trade and open borders (which should also be ended)

>However, keep in mind that this Inverted Yield Curve is by no means reflecting a US recession.
It's good to be American

When our entire industries went off to China (((they))) told us we'd be a 'smart goy' economy. We're just a bitch whore economy.

locusts swarming our real estate is how we get back some of the money we gave them to buy the things they make that we once made. It is called trade.

and once they've bought our estate we can buy it back for 1000 times as much.

real smart.

>we give them our houses, businesses, jobs, country, and land
>they give us heroin, fent, meth, phones and dragon dildos

What a trade!

Free trade is the reason we import half a million third worlders into our country every year, why we have housing bubbles, why our country is balls deep in debt, and why our industry and manufacturing sectors have collapsed making us completely reliant on foreign powers like the US and China to begin wtih. Why are you such brainlets when it comes to the economy?

the decoupling of housing and wages (always @ 2X median income) started in 2000

People have to remember this housing crunch started when china entered trade in 2000 and Bush flooded us with open border foreigners and made it easier for foreigners to buy property and at the same time they started letting boat people loose in the community

free trade is the most sacred cow, so libertarians intentionally ignore this fact and instead overhype fraction reserve banking as the cause of housing hyperinflation, which only started in 2000 and not before the entrance of China into WTO

1948 was the Jacobin and revolts across Europe and Mexican American war, 1932 Hitler rises and great depression annhililates America. Boy oh boy 2020 or 2021 should a very spicy year!

They also had the dot-com bubble blowing out to contend with. So that was another reason to roll it into the housing bubble.

This. If you're not buying them Cryptos, RIP
Buy Chainlink

Fucking CHECKED
I got all of those but seeds.

>No, supposedly this crisis will be in government bonds
Not US treasury bonds. Foreign government debt probably will be one of the first things to start crashing.
>Not in the market or private sector
Corporate debt will go down hard
So capital rushes out of bonds and into other assets, stocks and real estate.
The opposite of this is true. Particularly with Treasury bonds.

>housing scam resulting in the 2007 bubble

the depressed economy (resulting from free trade sending indsutries overseas) was propped up by a housing bubble, which was created to house millions of illegals.

the govt and financial institutions provided a "bail out" to the people in the form of low interest rates and lax regulations. the lack of job opportunities in the depressed economy forced people to exploit new career incentives created by financial institutions and govt focused on real estate speculation. with everyone speculating in real estate through "free money", the bubble burst.

>transfer industries to 3rd world (Asia/Mexico)
>enter 'Rust Belt' era of severe stagnation and chronic unemployment known as the 'long downturn'
>import millions turd worlders
>financial crisis happens in Asia (late 90s)
>to delay crisis in US, globalists cut interest rates and pump money into Dot-Com bubble 1.0
>Tech bubble burst, to delay crisis, globalists cut interest rates and pump money into Housing bubble 1.0
>Import millions of poos, beaners, chinks to prop up housing bubble
>Housing bubble burst, to delay crisis, globalists cut interest rates and pump QE money into Housing bubble 2.0
>Import millions of poos, beaners, chinks to prop up housing bubble 2.0

as a result millions of whites homeless and genocided by opioids from china, while poos and chinks get all the h1b jobs to replace whites

>highest d ubs possible
checked
it's happening

Stop making the goyim know!

>and once they've bought our estate we can buy it back for 1000 times as much.
Unless there is a 2008 type real estate crash. In which case we'd buying for pennies on the dollar.

>believing crypto is worth anything without a working Internet and related computer infrastructure.

>no more options
It’s called the Reichsmark

Seeds don't always age well, so you'd want to put a little thought into whether or not they're meant to last. And if you don't have seeds, then you've probably never tried growing anything. It's not hard to get started, but managing even a smallish garden is a learning process and not something you should expect to get right at first.

If you're thinking about seeds, there's tons of other stuff to think about, and that's a big topic to research in and of itself. And don't go whole-hog into crypto. Its long term prospects are basically a big unknown, especially during a large economic or socioeconomic distortion. It's not a bad way to diversify in my opinion, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it.

at that point it won't matter what you invest in, brainlet; which is why i listed it last.

>The opposite of this is true.
Time will tell.
Market has been consolidating, going sideways.
Time will tell us if it breaks down, or up.

>seeds don't always age so well
they do if you store them in a freezer
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svalbard_Global_Seed_Vault

Hope you have a freezer that's going to be functioning during a situation where you have to rely on those seeds you bought.

Oh look a meme chart.
Thanks bought 100k in gold

2008 wasnt allowed to crash and correct. the globalists prevented a return to historic values. that would mean you could get a house in LA for $150k, like it was back in 2000.

They'll just have REITs, Chinese, and other foreigners buy the properties.

Wall Street landlords (REITs) are cronies of the Fed and are on track to monopolize the entire real estate market

Do you really think housing prices are going to fall once boomers start dying off?

The government will literally import 200 million Changs and Pajeets to keep prices high.

when the freezer goes, that's when you thaw the seeds and use them. are you being retarded on purpose?

True, I suppose in most cases you could either use the outside weather as a freezer or you'd be close enough to when you either start sprouting them indoors or plant them outdoors. I would still recommend putting your all of your plans to the test ahead of time if you're planning for things to get that bad.

i've literally planned all scenarios of the apocalypse for fun. ready for whatever may come.
t. INTP

Like I said, planning is one thing (and a good thing.) But if you don't test your plans then you ought not to have too much confidence that things will go as planned.

testing is a part of planning, is it not?

While your on the subject

zerohedge.com/news/2019-03-30/why-russia-dumping-dollars-and-buying-gold-fastest-pace-decades

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