Alright ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the FIRST EDITION OF AHSG of 2019 (and boy did we start early)
So it looks like we are going to have ourselves a hurricane (like an actual hurricane) in the gulf here in a few days and Houston is looking to be BTFO again. Should be noted the models have been pushing this badboy futher and further west with increasing intensity. Should be noted the waters are quite fucking hot (nearly 95ish degrees) and any hurricane would RAPIDLY INTENSIFY.
Meh. I'm not really feeling it. This season feels pretty quiet to me. I doubt the storm will form into a proper 'cane. This just feels like a quiet year, like 2013 or something. That's my intuition.
Wyatt Smith
t. stupid nigger
Ryder Turner
>quiet >july 8th user... if only you knew
Anywho, The waters are VERY SOUPY. So It would not shock me if the intensification of this storm was increased over the next few model runs.
Also the Euro is having this thing gusting at pretty insane winds for mearly a tropical storm. the further west it goes, the more time it spends over the gulf and intensifying.
>season Didn't it just start? And doesn't it peak in September?
Kayden Hall
been waiting for these comfy threads
Jordan Foster
WooHoo! Is this the first one of the season? I wasn't expecting any until the first hurricane appeared.
Same. I hoping someplace its the gulf so we can see the return of the Cajun Navy.
Brandon Smith
Ya it starts june first but really only kick off after the end of july so having a season like this is quite normal so having a storm form like this at this point in the season is quite exciting!
Jaxson Turner
I hope a hurricane doesn't follow me to Europe like Gordon did to my dad in 2007
Justin Perry
time to get a shower you disgusting spics
Isaac Foster
So the red is where I think the eye will eventually end up. They (the models) keep pushing the storm further and further west due to a intencipation of a stronger high in the center of the country so at this rate it would probably be pushed to go in the red area though the blue is where it could go. This is just for the eye, storm will still have effects outside my little zones.
Models begin to develop a robust maximum in 500mb vorticity around Wednesday AM, likely due to persistent convection near the center of this disturbance. There will be an inherent model error in the predictability of this disturbance until then.
Why? Models are currently too coarse to resolve important mesoscale features (i.e., convection) that fuel these tropical disturbances. Models rely on convective parameterization schemes to initiate convection. By introducing a convective parameterization, errors are introduced.
Cameron Flores
Kek you can see a smiley face in that image
Nicholas Sullivan
Looking at the demographics, I think is right. What's the hurricane name going to start with this time?
Riot threads used to be a lot of fun from '14 to '17. Nobody wants to riot anymore though.
prob wouldn't be a cat 5 but wouldn't be suprised if it pulled a Michael and strengthed to a cat 2 or... maybe even a 3 but that is not too likely, as it made landfall just with how hot the water and land are.
Gonna be a fake and gay cat 1, no niggers looting, no destruction, no fun
Hudson Rogers
Ave Maria
Is Barry for sure? What a normal non-threatening name. Sure will change when it hits though.
Stay tuned Texian.
Julian Rogers
HURRICANE BAZZA
Sebastian Campbell
some wind might bring a few trees down and shut your power off for a day or two and maybe some localized flooding but nothing too bad ATM but it might go over the DFW area with how trends are carrying this thing.
Alexander Turner
dont piss our people off or borders get redrawn, people go missing, and technology advances tenfold
Anglo buddy, not German. If you want to manifest destiny do it properly.
Checked.
Robert Thompson
T. Stupid nigger
But Seriously the fact we could have a cat 2 in the gulf in FUCKING EARLY JULY is exciting. Let us enjoy hurricanes, not like there is much else going on.
>cancun Just go ahead and drink the water user, nothing is going to happen to you besides being robbed by the locals.
Matthew Gonzalez
Of course. Up to 1965 America was the Dual King of Anglo-Saxondom along with Great Britain. But with the deculutralization of America following the great betrayal it's important not to get sucked into romanticizing NatSoc Germany over your own country and kin.
Nathaniel Kelly
Well the Icon 00Z update is coming out.
Should mention the Icon was the first model to show the storm forming and heading west, every other model followed it after 2 or so days.
Down at Surfside over the weekend. A hot ass bathtub.
Colton Stewart
>ID I don't trust you
Jack Cruz
Yeah is is hella early for hurricane activity.
Roll for huge Hurricane Season!
Asher Jones
>not like there is much else going on. there's the increased seismic activity in Cali because of the solar winds, but that only lasts one more day. if there's no new 6+ quake by the end of tomorrow, its over.
Benjamin Edwards
36 down to Lake Jackson hook a right that takes you left. Pass 3 Buckies one before the Steve Austin statue. Hook a left after the intracoastal bridge. Drive to it's free beach parking. Not at the water anymore cause niggers.
William Nguyen
I've been keeping up with that shit in Cali quite a bit but it's been a few days and the chances of anything happening are quite low now. Also it's due to faults.
Already did accidentally when brushing my teeth in Mexico City. I brought a steripen, but it's actually sadly not very useable because the required depth to water to activate.
thanks user, now I will never ever have to answer the nigger question "Hey whAT The StOrm NamE!?!" ever again.
Jeremiah Johnson
Oh fuck me >Humberto >Pablo These are I'm rooting for.
Michael Clark
>Fernand I hope it becomes a cat 5 and fucks up Miami and kills millions of Jews.
Caleb Jackson
You think it's gonna be bad this year? I'm right on the state line of Alabama/Miss near Mobile. We've been lucky for a while now.
Noah Foster
Nestor is going straight up the Chesapeake
David Peterson
Ay I live over on Dauphin Island, might of ran into you. Also if the water temps stay up, then ya it can be quite bad (or exciting from my prespective)
i'd tell you to come take refuge in georgia but we get absolutely flooded by floridaniggers any time anything comes through
Blake Cooper
Nah, us Bama niggers really don't have a reason to run, most of us are above sea level and we can just go 5 miles inland to be safe.
Connor Clark
They don't come to Atlanta from what I've seen. Where do the Floridians flee to? Georgia has the barrier isles to protect us from the storms so we never get hit that hard.
Zachary Robinson
This. We need a dedicated based meteorological user.
i live in the middle of the state and any time something from florida comes through, all the shitty motels and regular hotels are completely packed our restaurants are usually damn near out of food within a few days
Zachary Peterson
God I love these threads. Was in NC for those two awesome canes. What's the forecast for the season? Is El nino still a thing? I'm a complete invalid when it comes to weather.
Benjamin Martinez
Ahem, been here since 2016 you niggers.
Alexander Campbell
Not happening, never happens, do not pass go do not collect gibsmedats
Ian Taylor
>here since 2016 Okay, I've been in the /AHSG/ since 2016. Even with the same trip fag because I'm a homosexual like that.
Asher Barnes
Dear user,
you are a nigger, the niggerist of all niggers, you wish to ruin our fun by being a little bitch nigger and doing your niggerish acts. Shall I declare that you are the the most niggerlicious nigger of all nigger which have ever existed on this planet. Go such on a big fat cock and die you jew loving nigger
I mean if the temps stay up, that is a big factor in hurricane development, means there's less factors to consider. I remember they officially predicted a "normal season" which is like 2-3 major hurricanes, 5-7 hurricanes, and some unimportant number of TS.
Nobody wants to spend time in the nigger central which is Atlanta.
Luke Ramirez
>Being in the middle of Georgia I'm so sorry user, I could only imagine the hell you live with.
Andrew Bell
>less than 100 KB/s internet >niggers anywhere whites are or were >spics all over the place >nearest walmart is a 40 minute drive >blistering 100% humidity + 100 degrees every day, usually even during the winter at least i dont have anyone breathing down my neck
Nathan Hall
On a scale of Geoff to Jeff what kind of /AHSG/ we looking at lads?
Isaac Campbell
For this badboy, probably a Geff
Hunter Moore
I'm not losing a car again god dammit, not like harvey. I'm staying home nice n comfy while downtown gets shit on.
Jayden Gutierrez
Digits and you're losing your car again
Charles Mitchell
Digits confirm you're losing that fucking car Kyle, right into the god damn ditch you go.
Nope fuck you both my apartment complex sits up high. As long as I don't leave I should b gud.
Jackson Gonzalez
>It happened again Ah shit you're losing your car AND YOUR APARTMENT! STOP BEFORE IT'S TOO LATE
Parker Lopez
>trips Fine you get to survive this one faggot, Pablo is still on the list though, pretty sure he's getting memed directly into a border state destroyer.
Matthew Miller
>max winds at 40 mph this isn't even projected to be a hurricane. keep it in your pants, Cletus.
Alexander Howard
refer to You nigger, YOU KNOW NOTHING! This thing wasn't even supposed to exist 2 days ago!
Carter Collins
Ahh, it's /comfy/ season. I actually need to stock up on supplies this week.
Dylan Stewart
looks like the confederacy educates its meteorologists about as well as its battlefield tacticians.
Josiah Flores
Lol fuck, earthquakes to the West, Hurricane going to hit the southeast. Say goodnight sweet prince.
Ayden Phillips
>stonewall rapes yanks for years til he gets killed by ((friendly fire))
Nolan Morales
>live in DFW >mfw we already had nearly unprecedented rainfall so far this year and everything is still full
New GFS is further south and stronger. Direct hit on Galveston Bay at 126 hours.
Andrew Lewis
989 millibars is pretty weak for a hurricane.
Levi Long
This one's only noteworthy because of where it's forming. As of right now it's not a big deal but who knows it's so close it could mega charge and blitz unsuspecting people.
Brody Williams
>ATTENTION PEOPLE OF Jow Forums >ITS GOING TO BE WINDY AND LOTS OF RAIN
/AHSG/ threads are max comfy! Glad to see them again for happening tracking! Last years were a great way to communicate with anons who are dumb enough to live in one of these god forsaken places. However, our boys in trouble produced great photos and recounted some great stories.
Well they probably will here in a day or so when the models push it to be more intense. The Icon already has it landing at 979 MB. just 24 hours ago the same model had it landing at 990 MB. The water there is SUPER HEATED so we got the juice to blow it up untill it makes landfall.
Jace Williams
Ya eventually Port St.Joe user will stumble in here and will probably have a good shitten.
Jaxson Ramirez
Show me a halfway-decent model that has this thing going above 70 mph winds. It looks so tightly constrained by Florida - no room to pick up steam.
Charles Richardson
How fucked am I if I am on the west side suburbs of Houston?
Benjamin Kelly
I was regular in them last year. I find the concept great, and more educational information is provided here than any local weather station. Quite honestly this is some of the best coverage of the hurricane season.
The Icon Refer to here for Euro The point isn't what models are saying in a single run now, it's about where models are trending to because models are normally wrong but are good at indicating what a storm might become with trends between different model runs.