/AHSG/ Atlantic Hurricane Season General - florida man edition

11:00 PM AST Wed Aug 28
Location: 19.7°N 66.0°W
Moving: NW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 986 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

>Current Rundown
So the shit is staggering due to dry wind but recent images have it recovering pretty quickly. The center is still quite orginized so it's ability to rapidly intensify is still there. We don't know where it'll hit. This storm is confusing and hard to forcast due to a high pressure up in NC which is going to determine where this storm hits. Ya good luck figureing where this bad boy is going to land in the next day or so.

>Models and Info
nhc.noaa.gov/#Dorian
tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
spaghettimodels.com/
wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2019/tropical-storm-Dorian?map=ensemble
ventusky.com/?p=28.9;-78.7;4&l=wind-10m&t=20190902/00
windy.com/?2019-08-31-15,27.195,-78.725,5
ndbc.noaa.gov/

>Sat Images and Feeds
rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16
tropicaltidbits.com/sat/

>Model Run Times (EST)
GFS
00z = 10:30pm
06z = 4:30am
12z = 10:30am
18z = 4:30pm
NAM
00z = 8:35pm
06z = 2:35am
12z = 8:35am
18z = 2:35pm
ICON
00z = 11:00pm
06z = 5:00am
12z = 11:00am
18z = 5:00pm
UKMET
00z = 2:00am
12z = 2:00pm
ECMWF (sooner if you go directly to their site)
00z = 3:20am
12z = 3:20pm

>Twitter Feeds
twitter.com/TropicalTidbits
twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic
twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski
twitter.com/RyanMaue
twitter.com/hurricanetrack
twitter.com/NWS

>Preparations and Safety
redcross.org/get-help/how-to-prepare-for-emergencies/types-of-emergencies/hurricane.html
ready.gov/hurricanes
weather.gov/safety/hurricane

>Previous Threads







Thread theme
>youtube.com/watch?v=JhulBGMA7G4

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Other urls found in this thread:

youtube.com/watch?v=JhulBGMA7G4
youtube.com/watch?v=ICng-KRxXJ8
youtube.com/watch?v=POSwzCFwUZ0
youtube.com/watch?v=_6FixacAXlo
youtube.com/watch?v=m4cgLL8JaVI
youtube.com/watch?v=p4itIBVhNbw&list=PLBhhAwwFyCzS_kBdEAYtt_hT9mCh-L6Mf&index=2
tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hmon®ion=05L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2019082818
youtube.com/watch?v=6smtAY8dXSI
twitter.com/AnonBabble

Thread theme
>youtube.com/watch?v=JhulBGMA7G4

Torontofag here. How fucked am I?

You're already dead

I need to go to bed. Fuck.

>Torontofag here. How fucked am I?
ride THE WAVE and forget your troubles
youtube.com/watch?v=ICng-KRxXJ8

Attached: WHITEclaw.png (200x500, 126K)

Me too, but sleeping gives me anxiety. What the hell?

I have to be up in 5.5 hours. I’m thinking it’s almost time. There’s no more runs until the morning, so I’m not going to miss anything.

Late night /AHSG/ browsing theme
>youtube.com/watch?v=POSwzCFwUZ0

Go crash, user. It'll be here waiting for you in the morning.

I kind of know what you mean. You avoid going to bed and stay up late as fuck for absolutely no reason?

space coast here and ready for another comfy hurricane

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yeah now is the time to sleep, plus the only model runs that really matter are the 00z and the 12z since the euro revolves around that. Though catching the 18z of the other models are cool too. I might go to sleep too and kinda rushed this thread so there would be a thread up before I went to sleep. Thank god I don't have top be up till noon tomorrow.

embrace the pre-storm mood

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Yeah. There's a sense that something will happen and I won't be there for it. I have to stay up for... some reason. I hate going to sleep, even though I love being asleep.

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>hurrican
>in toronto

youtube.com/watch?v=_6FixacAXlo

In case y'all had a couple of hours to kill with a comfy Andrew documentary.

i like this one better:
youtube.com/watch?v=m4cgLL8JaVI

I have spent the last 4 days downloading games to my newly built computer. I was getting all excited to play them this weekend. And now I am probably going to have to drive up North instead. Even if I stayed I won't have power to even play them. Fuck you Hurricane.

Get a generator.

Please curve up and nuke savannah and myrtle beach please

>white claw
>alcohol
I thought that was slang for those white monsters boomers drink.

Shes a big girl.

I know exactly what you mean. And it makes no fucking sense.

It is hard to run a PC and an AC at the same time. Plus the internet will be down as well. And I have spent enough time dealing with no power for weeks back in the mid 2000s to do it again.

Well Veridis Quo is super comfy and reminds me of riding around the coast at 3 am in the morning with nothing to do but experience the empty streets and beach breeze. I grew up in Fairhope so I spent a good amount of time on the gulf coast and it's just VERY nostalgic. Your song is a little too energized for this hour of night.

the blonde air force chick who does the ULA tv broadcast during rocket launches is waifu-tier and qt

take the /WAVEpill/ user
youtube.com/watch?v=ICng-KRxXJ8

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Been tracking these storms as a hobby for years.

Seeing some of these runs still gets my adrenaline pumping because the stakes are so high. It's perfectly natural.

Proud to say, I’ve never had a white claw in my life. The other day I saw a woman wearing a shirt that said “dog paws and white claws”. I instantly became furious and wanted to verbally berate her in public.

I think it has to do with having a chaotic and uncontrollable childhood where the only time I felt stable and away from my sources of chaos were when everyone else is asleep. Night is peaceful because there's nobody there to fuck it up, and it's mine, so I hoard it.

I have a suggestion, unless you're going to get flooded, STAY HOME AND BE A MAN! Florida men protect their property instead of running away because "Oh I'm scared of not having electricity for a week" You would of fucking killed yourself 70 years ago.

Serious talk, be a man, be a Florida Man!

Believe me. If I did not need to live in Florida I would be in Alaska right now.

pure WHITE user. heed its call.

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Alaska is the best state I’ve ever been to

And... Just like that we're back in action!

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pretty comfy storm activity right now in palm beach. starting to get a bad feeling about dorian

I got a bad feeling it'll come across some unexpected sheer and will hit Florida as a tropical depression

>0 carbs
What is it made out of then? Fake sugar?

Seaman

>I grew up in Fairhope so I spent a good amount of time on the gulf coast and it's just VERY nostalgic.
i go to Cocoa Beats to swim in the Otion
youtube.com/watch?v=p4itIBVhNbw&list=PLBhhAwwFyCzS_kBdEAYtt_hT9mCh-L6Mf&index=2

Here's another map for the euro

Attached: euro track.jpg (1964x1520, 405K)

Can't you just nuke it?

10/10 can relate

No. It makes it stronger. Then it becomes what’s known as a “supernovacane”

Nah. We need to hold on to them until we nuke Denmark to take control of Greenland.

>What is it made out of then? Fake sugar?
wat me worry?

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Okay, listen anons

WE DO NOT KNOW WHERE THIS STORM IS GOING. while there is a northern tilt, also keep this map in mind.

Attached: makes me think.png (768x801, 134K)

No Confederate. I know exactly where it is going. It is gunning for my computer. Blue line it is.

>a bunch of Floridians meet anonymously online at nearly 4am to celebrate the coming of a society-disrupting storm
>totally unrelated, they're reclusive night-owls that grew up in chaos
>no connection

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And here is intensity readings between 06z and 00z

I am an Alabamian I'll have you know!

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who 407?

I'm not sure if I should be jealous or pitying.

Forest City here.

What makes you think that?

WE SENT A MAN TO THE MOON, you should be jealous.

Launched from where? :^)

Who /954/ here?

Just look, I don't even wanna make a gif and post it here
>tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hmon®ion=05L&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2019082818

WHO BUILT IT THOUGH?

Wasn't a lot of the manufacturing done in Texas? And most astronauts come from Ohio.

sternobro ftw
youtube.com/watch?v=6smtAY8dXSI

>that id
OY VEY!

Stay comfy FL anons.

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Well everything was developed in Huntsville and we built and designed the rockets as well as making the computers in the rocket that guided it to where it needed to go.

goodnight /ahsg/

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I must sleep too as I am near my limits

the day I cover 06z model runs is the day the world ends, that or I did an all-nighter

AHSG OP guy here from yesterday's threads. Can bake if you need sleep bro.

My knowledge of the rocketry scene runs out about here.

Seems like it's time we all clock out. Guess I'll try and pack in my hate for going to sleep long enough to get some rest.

Goodnight, Anons.

Yes, PLEASE. Late night OP is a life saver.

Also something to note, the OP paste is like 1-2 lines away from being too long so any additional info should be put in a second post like thread theme and shit like that.

see you tomorrow frens

Sure thing.

Literally just woke up so I'm good. Any crazy developments?

Eh, nothing really besides this new "north hook " that the euro and icon are now embracing where it'll make landfall VERY FAR SOUTH then turn north and wreck the rest of the state. You can check the last thread to see what I'm talking about.

But we had some hampering going on earlier in the evening but it seems to have that cleared up and is now only dealing with some minor sheer. (Which is why it still looks kinda icky on IR)

palm beach county reporting in.
this is likely to disrupt my classic wow addiction

Thanks user. These threads usually die around this hour so I'll prob start fresh around 7am EST. Hopefully some new developments by then.

They level of petty these people have. And they say we're the hateful ones.

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The eye on this sucker is staying strong. It's amazing how vigilant this little storm is.

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Dorian must be nuked.

its already tomorrow. its already ready, already.

>Dorian must be nuked.
durian must be gooked.

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Do these retards realize how big hurricanes are? If they want Mar-a-Lago fucked up they want everything within hundreds of miles fucked up which includes a lot of lower income people.

fair enough

>They level of petty these people have. And they say we're the hateful ones.
WE DA BEST! hit em wit da blue lights.

i quit doing pot and i can't sleep now. send me your high energy.

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Is Dorian /ourstorm/?

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5 AM ADVISORY IS OUT

Biggest change is a slowdown in final approach and an upgrade to intensity.

Now calling for a 125mph Category 3 at landfall.

Remember, HWRF and Euro are showing a Category 4.

Attached: 084434_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png (897x736, 82K)

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 20.5N 66.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 21.9N 67.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 30/0600Z 23.7N 69.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 30/1800Z 25.1N 70.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 31/0600Z 26.0N 72.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 27.0N 76.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 27.5N 79.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
120H 03/0600Z 28.0N 81.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND

Noice

Ah yes, good children of God "do not do harm on others, unless they're conservatives in which case give them hell"

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That certainly would be an event

>either too damn hot or a fucking hurricane is coming
Florida sucks

A slow down is nice. Stretches that 3 day weekend into a 4 day weekend

>Remember, HWRF and Euro are showing a Category 4.
who is the most accurate ?

Nobody
Storms do whatever cause fuck you
This thing is gonna veer north and hit Jacksonville
Cap this

You forgot about winter where neither is true but it fills up with eurofag tourists and jew snowbirds

lol

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Alright, GFS 06z south trend again...

Attached: gfs_mslp_wind_seus_19.png (1024x742, 195K)

Ah yes, yet another good start to the /AHSG/ season. Hoping this one isn't another Matty. I want some action around here.

So when I mentioned earlier that the euro and Icon have this "drop south" this is what I'm talking about, the icon 06z REALLY has it.

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RIP Miami

Ah yes, fuck all those gay people in Orlando now as long as it kills drumpfies too.