Vietnam War 2.0?

Would a war with Venezuela result in another Vietnam War? Also, how likely are we to go to war with Venezuela?

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Unlikely
Very unlikely

Unlikely. Only reason our defense planners are seething about Venezuela is because it risks becoming a staging ground for vatnikistan, and the great yellow horde. Allowing such a thing to happen would be an unacceptable affront our security preferences.

At worst, expect nothing more than a tripwire force to be sent down there.

>Would a war with Venezuela result in another Vietnam War?
No. There isn't a will for massive resistance in the Venezuelan people, they just want their standard of living they had before socialism back. There also isn't a way to supply such an insurgency there.
>Also, how likely are we to go to war with Venezuela?
It seems that the gov's focus is on the middle east again, so moderately unlikely unless stuff starts happening there again.

Huh? Why's that? There seems to be a lot of reasons to invade or at least try to do regime change in that country. Also, they has the largest oil reserves in the world. Venezuela has even more oil than fucking Saudi Arabia.

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American intervention is very unlikely.
But I hope maduro tries something funny and my shithole goes to war with them.
Dying in a venezuelan jungle is a preferable alternative to suicide.

>Also, they has the largest oil reserves in the world. Venezuela has even more oil than fucking Saudi Arabia
The oil in Venezuela suffers from it's high sulfur content ("Sour" in industry terms). This means it requires specifically equipped refineries to process it (not found in Venezuela, until a few months ago their oil was still being shipped here) and it isn't economical to buy due to the cost in refining it, unless the price of oil is globally very high.

>Would a war with Venezuela result in another Vietnam War?
Considering Vietnam is thousands of miles away and has no economic interests in South America, I doubt it.

what made vietnam unique was it was surrounded by helpful allies and the north could not be invaded

Yup, Colombia and Brazil are both looking for the go ahead to kick VZ's shit in. Colombia, because they've had to deal with a well-funded commie insurrection in their borders for 2 or 3 decades, and Brazil due to a desire to establish itself as a more active player on the world stage.

Doesn't Venezuela have China, Russia, and Iran on their side?

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And they share a border with none of those countries. Way too far away to be able to assist. The only country that can help is Cuba

Unlikely to go to war with Venezuela unless the US gets support from most South American countries with the main one being Brazil. Venezuela will not turn into Vietnam because China/Russia won't be able to send aid and the US would likely get support by the people if we provide them food

China and Russia aren't superpowers anymore and are only able to provide regional aid. Not to mention Venezuela can be easily blockaded, China/Russia don't have any air bases to send in support. Russia sending 100 troops was only to piss of the US, not actually do anything significant militarily

The US already has some degree of support from both Colombia and Brazil (under Bolsonaro at least).

They're the countries that actually matter but it would look better on paper if the whole of South America supported a US invasion

Just imagine this was Venezuela: youtube.com/watch?v=axjU4f5L_As

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Uruguay and Bolivia will both be against it, but I imagine the rest won't care all that much so long as trade is disrupted.

Its obvious as hell all that footage was staged.

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There have definitely been claims that the filmers of the documentary staged various scenes for the sake of drama. It was filmed in the 60's in Africa by Italians, so I wouldn't be surprised.

Nobody other than the US is really set up to refine it, and the US is in the process of re-tooling all refineries to use shale oil, which is the lightest, sweetest (and cheapest to refine) crude ever recovered from a well.

And, in the process, the US is producing more shale gas than anybody knows what to do with--not deliberately, but as a *waste product* that comes up the well for "free". So, the US is also re-tooling most of the hydrocarbon processing plants to make everything from plastics to fertilizers using natural gas, with the oil being largely limited to fuels for the transportation sectors. And electrical production, while nuclear would still be a good long-term solution, is largely going to be taken over by gas turbines for the foreseeable future. In fact, there's so much shale gas flowing around that pipelines have been built to sell it TO Mexico... which is about to get the cheapest, most reliable electricity it's ever had as a nation.

Which means that pretty much nobody needs Venezuelan gunk, and if global oil supplies are disrupted, Venezuela will be the *last* choice of anybody on the planet, simply because it will cost so much to build or refit refineries capable of cracking it.

>Would a war with Venezuela result in another Vietnam War?
Is the reason to enter the war stopping Soviet influence from dominating east Asia? Are two large powers going to train and equip our enemies while also giving their own pilots to fight us? Are we going to make the mistake of using dumbass draftees to fight the war?

The UK will probably try to drag the US into this, or at least that's the impression that I get everytime I see that BBC journalist on the news.

Might I ask why?

Bolivia has an anti-imperialist socialist president. I’ll admit I’m being presumptuous about Uruguay, but they consistently been pretty anti-US meddling in South American affairs, so I just included them.

Unlike vietnamese, mestizos and mulatos are a race of slaves with no identity. They will not compromise to a fight to the death like the vietnamese did. They will just bend over at the first announcement of gibs