Where will computers be in 2030, in terms of performance and capability?
Where will computers be in 2030, in terms of performance and capability?
Nathaniel Ramirez
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Cooper Scott
They will be really powerful my dude!
John Ortiz
In your bloodstream
Alexander Jones
Looking back 11 years or to 2008, we were finally making decent processors
TomsHardware article from 2008 on the newest CPUs
tomshardware.com
The good Intel options then we're the 65nm processors
>Core 2 Duo E6600
>Core 2 Quad Q6600
and the new 45nm processors
>Core 2 Duo E8400
>Core 2 Quad Q9450
These were the typical good options in 2008. AMD wasn't doing so well then. 4GB RAM was typical.
Looking at benchmarks, Q6600 I remember being very popular and it has ~3000 on passmark, 1000 single thread. E8400 was a dual core, 2100 passmark with 1200 single thread...
So 2008~ it was typical to have
>E6600 - 1500/900
>Q6600 - 3,000/1,000
>E8400 - 2,100/1,200
>Q9450 - 3,700/1,100
These were all like $300 or less by 2008.
Now we have
>2700X - 17,000/2,200
>9700K -17,200/2,800
And 16GB RAM standard
so in 2030, 3x RAM and 5x CPU speed if things go as they have, so a $300 CPU in 2030 will go 85,000/14,000 and have probably 64GB RAM standard.
Brody Hughes
they'll be faster, but we still won't be doing anything in them that couldn't be accomplished in windows 95, except for some cool graphics technology that will be used for the newest iteration of a GTA V clone.
Sebastian Lopez
and for GPU, we had the 8800GTS, which has a score of 600-800 and I was like $300.
$300 now gets you a GTX 1070 with score of 11,000
or an RX 590 with score of 9,700.
so in 2030, your $300 GPU will be at about 140,000 passmark score.
so a good deskop in 2030 will have
>CPU scoring 85,000 MT 14,000 ST
>GPU scoring 140,000
>64GB RAM
and actually I messed up with the ST, it would only be a 2x of now, so more like 6,000 ST, still ridiculous.
Evan Wilson
2008 was a shit year, you should compare them with 2011 sandy bridge cpu's. theres no way a current i5 is 2x or 3x better than my 2500k.
Hudson Morris
The 9600k according to benchmarks a ~2x improvement over the 2500k overall but single thread is less.
Andrew Cox
Basically the same shit
Dominic Fisher
Computers won't exist in 2030... smartphones will have the computing power to do anything... only smartphones will exist...
Thomas Lewis
laptop cpus are even worse. the only thing improved is the gpu.
Henry Lopez
no
Joseph Collins
If Moore's law keeps being a thing and we dont blow ourselves to space
They'll probably be smaller than you can see and more powerful than you can imagine
Jayden Long
in our brains
or on VR
>in b4 VR computers
Lincoln Miller
Dont think that we will be able to even tell the difference between vr and irl
Daniel Lee
>>Core 2 Quad Q6600
Still going strong! This is plenty fast if you are not a gamer, or doing high res video editing.
Dylan Moore
Shit loads of reflections in games, to justify ray tracing.
Jaxon Cooper
High performance Laptops are a meme. They will always have heat dissipation and airflow problems. My old SFF Desktops suffered from this! Nothing will change until components can be made that run cold.
Josiah Wood
Mason Evans
We're reaching the limits of what silicon can do, and Moore's Law is slowing down precipitously. The biggest problem if I remember properly is heat generation, so I have a few guesses:
1) manufacturing processes start being geared more towards cheaper production than faster models
2) we start using carbon or some other stabler, more heat-resistant material as a semiconductor
3) we make up for loss in single-core speed and heat generation via a software paradigm shift towards parallelism
As far as actual performance, don't expect it to be that much better. In fact, with how bloated every program and OS and webapp gets, expect your actual user experience to get worse
Brayden Torres
>My old SFF Desktops suffered from this!
Ahhh... Now we understand where that angst is coming from.
You had a PC that had a problem so now every computer in the world has that problem.
Jacob White
He isn't wrong though. Laptops and SFF machines are generally born with barely-adequate cooling - and entropy demands it only gets worse as time goes on.