/smg/ - Stock Market General

9th edition

>where's the hedge fund?
A resident tripfag, obergruppenfuhrer (Comfy), requested that it be excluded until he gets the next version up and running. Will refund those involved. Stay tuned!

Popular brokers for stock trading:
Robinhood
>commission free and no minimum to open
robinhood.com

> How is it free?
Robinhood earns revenue by collecting interest on cash/securities and fees from their Robinhood Gold service

> It's been X days, why isn't my account verified yet?
Not being approved in 3 days seems to be the new norm. Nevertheless, call/email their support if you've been waiting more than that.

> When is it coming to my country?
The only "plans" are on an Australian and Chinese beta. Neither of which has gained much traction.

Interactive Brokers
>$1 commission per 100 shares. $10k minimum to open, $3k if 25 or under. Lowest margin interest. Free API access
interactivebrokers.com

TD Ameritade
>$6.95 commission per trade. No minimum to open. Fantastic data/charting through their free ThinkorSwim service
tdameritrade.com

Degiro (Cheap broker for Europeans)
degiro.eu

Free in depth charts:
tradingview.com

Premarket Movers:
nasdaq.com/extended-trading/premarket-mostactive.aspx

Earnings Report Calendar:
biz.yahoo.com/research/earncal/today.html

Biopharma Catalyst Calendar:
biopharmcatalyst.com/

Pump and Dump Advertising:
stocktwits.com

S&P 500 VIX Futures (For SVXY/UVXY, higher is better for UVXY, lower is better for SVXY)
investing.com/indices/us-spx-vix-futures

Basic rundown on Options:
youtube.com/watch?v=TBAQtjyqNHw
youtube.com/watch?v=SuTTzfa4ePE

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Other urls found in this thread:

bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/iea-says-opec-has-almost-cleared-oil-glut-but-faces-shale-danger
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

Morning lads

Any dutchfags on here? What do you guys use, i'm using my local bank but it seems limited.

Gonna get rich this week
GOLDEN BULL RUN LET'S GO

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BULL RUN LET'S GO BBY

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I have calls on AKS

Also on Disney because infinity war just opened. That might have been dumb though

DEGIRO here

Get out of stocks brainlets

try not being so poor that you have to put all your money in ponzi schemes

>He doesn't trade stocks with Bitcoin

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Good morning /smg/!

How was your weekend? Grats on anybody who got in on Sprint before the merger news.

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duh, I'm only trading options

I want fat green dildos all day.
Got 3 stocks sitting at -15%

I want fat green dildos on everything but the stocks I haven't bought yet

Comin' right up, pun intended.

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Morning all

I've been using Yahoo finance on mobile to sort of track stocks via notifications, is there a better alternative? I really don't like supporting yahoo but it seems to be the best tool out there

I think you can set notifications on Webull

Etrade app. Idk if you need an account but I think you can open them with $100, then take that out. Leave a penny in.
You can set alerts for tickers that will tell you when there is news, when there is a % change of a certain amount, when there is a price change of a certain amount, when it hits volume thresholds, and when it hits price targets.

t. lost all money on ponzi coins

Guess who returned to normal! Going to go long in the bonds, short oil and short the S&P, if there's enough time left over we can get drunk and eat chicken fingers!

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>short oil
nah

Long oil boy.

All about that free long bonds money

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To elaborate: the new crown prince of Saud is gonna try to run up the price of oil because he wants to take Aramco public

Since oil only got so cheap because of Saudi dumping in the first place, expect it to go up

this will also save Tesla, which I find pretty funny

Nope, S&P is doomed, TVIX merger news coming in the coming days. Oil is going to go back to $20 a barrel. Interest rates going back to 0.

Zero interest rates means inflation means S&P goes up, you idiot

How is he planning to run up the price? Wouldn’t limiting output hurt the companies more than any gain he’d get from a higher price?

He's offloading the company. Aramco IPO, either this year or early 2019. It's the largest corporation in the world, market cap estimated around $2T.

Whats everyone's opinion on WGP. Leaning heavy on buying a bunch of stocks of it.

10 minutes

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What are your thoughts on ATOS this morning /SMG/? I may trade this at open. 2.6 million share float looks very enticing.

Well my whole portfolio is fucking red. This is bullshit.

I can't seem to find the green theme setting, must've accidentally turned it to red

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They have done this many times before, with some effectiveness.

Essentially, the OPEC is so big, so big, that they can limit their output (and thus reducing their short term profits), to both increase the price of oil and get leverage from the countries in the world (to get them to do stuff like limiting renewables). Since they are that big, short term profits do not compromise their long term financials.
However this strategy isnt so effective anymore. Nowadays there are lots of replacements to oil (shale, biofuel, etc), which limits the effectiveness of this measure. Also, Russia isnt doing quite well, so they might need the money.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/iea-says-opec-has-almost-cleared-oil-glut-but-faces-shale-danger

Except OPEC is a conglomerate of sand niggers who will publicly agree to scale back production, but when they get back to their sand castles they realize, "Hey if they all produce less and increase the price we can pump more than we said we would and get a few extra shekels" , but the problem is they all do this trying to out jew each other and then supply ultimately increases and the price falls. Never trust a sand nigger.

im short oil right now down back towards the kijun, up 40% so far on leverage my entry price was 69.10, when am i going to fail if price is going to pump?

checkmate athiests

i have my stop loss set to guarantee myself 20% profit anyways

Made 400 of vale thursday and friday. Made 350 off ebio today. Are you guys even trying?

What happens to options ITM that expire? Is it best to sell them beforehand if you can't afford to exercise it? Do ITM options increase in value with time decay?

ÃÃÃÅÅÅÅÅÅÅÄÄÄÄÀÁÀÂÁÀÂĀÄÃÆÆÆÆÀAAAAAAAAHJHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAĀĀĀĀĀĀĀĀĀĀĀĀÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁÁHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
WHY IS IT MOVING!? WHY IS IT MOVING!?

Here, have a (you). You can take it back to Jow Forums, too.
The end of the OPEC oil glut was moved to 2019 I think so you wont see it reflected in todays futures most likely. Other stuff (like global demand and supply, and maybe the situation in Syria, will be more impactful.

Atossa Genetics is garbage. I don't think their Phase II for the new drug is going to be successful.

oh shit wait, I didn't see the news about testing in Sweden. That might actually be promising

>kept waiting for a good entry price for NRZ
>it just keeps rallying
>mfw
I sure fucked up on this one. So much for the comfy dividends.

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How

Sell! Quick!!!

Rushau

at this rate it probably WILL just rise forever. the more rates go up, the more bullish it looks in the longterm

you should be careful on short oil right now. israel just blew up a ammo dump outside hama in syria. looks like the targets were syrian, iranian, and lebanese (hezbollah)

>Sell! Quick!!!
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH

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so Jow Forums apple ER tomorrow interested to know what your plays are for it

I'm not Dutch but you should use Degiro. Not that many features very low prices.

Buy the dip

It pumping today so you missed good straddle prices, everyone expects them to do poorly. So i guess its priced in.

dump it.

So since my watches were shit at open, trying something new...

Investopedia has a sim game. Q2 competition. Picked up 20,000 shares of ANDX for the dividend. I want to see how profitable dividend hopping can be with a big sum of cash.

I've been holding calls for weeks. It's down far enough that I don't think it could get much more of a beating. Look at the P/E ratio -- it's not one of the overvalued tech stocks.
Even if they miss or fuck up somehow else, it's ripe to do a short squeeze or pop upwards like NFLX did

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My S&P shorts aren’t doing well..

IT'S STILL MOVING, /SMG/! WHY WON'T IT STOP MOVING!? SOMEBODY SHUT THE FUCKING MARKET OFF!
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHH

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I bet they'll be killing it soon enough.
Just keep shorting it. That way only one of us can be wrong.

Playing Snap instead. Way more upside.

Can confirm.
Already have 35% profit on my puts on them.
They're a fiery piece of shit desu

Who is this Gartman guy and why does zerohedge like to make fun of him so much? lol.

Apparently everything thing he says is the actual opposite. He is now bullish on the market...

god bless america. I'm so happy to be back in the states. As soon as i got back my sister wanted to know if i wanted to go to an Angels game, went right away, life is becoming great again here in the states

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AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHH
I THOUGHT THIS WOULD BE FUN, GUYS. WHY ISN'T THIS FUN!? SHOULD I SELL?

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Hey broski, BGFV earnings today right?

oil is about to take the fuck off again

No, tomorrow. Tomorrow AH

Got to see the Yankees kick some ass I see.

OPEC is getting super greedy again. What tickers or strategies are you using to play it?
Also, scream with me pls, senpai
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

>AKS beats earnings expectations by 800%
>AKS is down 6.7% and still dropping

fucking hell

I don't understand Apple. Did they think that selling the same phone every year for 20 years was going to be a viable profit strategy forever? They announced some stupid VR shit after its clear its yet another passing fad. They might as well start making iFidgets now.

As a Twins fan I'm glad you had fun watching baseball

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I knew this would happen so I sold my shares on Friday.

>Got to see the Yankees kick some ass I see.
yeah, i'm not really a baseball fan but i was going for the Angels, the crowd i was in was all going for yankees though and i'm supposed to be flying to new york to watch the yankees on june 28th (my sister is a fan)

Binckbank

>Did they think that selling the same phone every year for 20 years was going to be a viable profit strategy forever?
Well, that's MSFT's approach with OSs.
Also, you don't buy an iPhone. You rent it for a year or two before you rent the next model.
>t. Android fag

at least MSFT decided to branch out with Azure and more BI analytics. Apple just assumes people want a red version of the same old shit as if its some big announcement.

I think overall supply is back under OPEC's control. The bigger problem is Saudi Arabia doesn't have the same level of influence on OPEC after fucking over every other OPEC nation by crashing the oil price in 2014 (which SA did to fuck over US production).

Now that supply is in control, OPEC will seek to push prices up. SA especially wants high prices before the Aramco IPO. The US has reserve capacity to compete with OPEC and push prices down, but due to low oil prices for the last 4 years, there hasn't really been infrastructure investment in domestic production.

I expect oil to rise through 2020 while OPEC fixes prices and the US plays catchup. In 2020, a gamechanging number of LNG export ports will come online in the US and we will actually be able to sell LNG worldwide. That plus infrastructure on the oil side catching up means I expect oil/natural gas prices to be pushed down after 2020 by new supply hitting the market.

Geopolitically if anything goes to shit in Syria/Iran/Venezuela expect prices to go up.

OPEC is doing what they always do. raising the price of oil in times of high demand. not sure who yet, but somebody is going to war

also i was just using USO

the worlds oil market is rigged, they only had a "surplus" to bk small oil companies that run a $50 barrel production cost. now that the small oil companies have either gone bk or are hanging on by a thread big oil companies wills start buying up their wells and bringing oil prices back up (cornering market) the markets are rigged i say. RIGGED!

makes it easier to predict though when theres conflict on the table though

>Geopolitically if anything goes to shit in Syria/Iran
i heard IDF literally just blew up a syrian, iranian and, hezbollah munitions dump.

OPEC is a cartel that sets prices, but that only works if everyone plays ball. The US doesn't play ball with OPEC, and has large enough reserves to compete with SA. This is why SA was threatened by the US back in 2014.

In 2014 most US based producers had a breakeven of approximately $75/bbl, which is pretty high. SA jacked up production (against the will of every other OPEC country) to crash prices and put US producers out of business. It worked pretty well. About 50% of US producers went under. Unfortunately for SA the rest leaned out production. Now breakeven extraction price ranges from $20-80/bbl, allowing US producers to scale production with prices in a way where every price increase brings more supply online.

SA overplayed their hand and pushed prices down too far. This had two consequences. Firstly SA is heading for insolvency. The Kingdom needs oil prices above $100/bbl to finance the country and the lifestyles of the royal family. The price dip they caused has lasted longer than they expected, and they are hurting for cash. This is a big motivator behind the Aramco IPO and SA trying to open up its markets.

The second consequence is no one in OPEC wanted to listen to SA after SA fucked them over with the price crash. Like everything happening in Venezuela right now is SA's fault. This is why it took 4 years to get supply back under control.

Finally OPEC has chilled out to the point where they can again control supply and push prices up, but it's only a matter of time before US producers get the investment they need to catch up.

wew good analysis user. I dont think anything game-breaking could happen in Syria/Vzla considering recent developments (dunno about Iran). I feel the biggest variable here will be the timing of Aramco's IPO.

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im telling you guys there was literally JUST an airstike in syria against iranian, syrian and lebanese targets. to my knowledge there was no US/NATO backing to it

I can't believe i sold fucking SSOF for LIGA a few weeks ago AARRRGGGHHHH

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Venezuela is deep in recession and doing things like not honoring bond commitments that make it hard to get international financing. Current production is at a 30 year low, and could go to zero if instability increases.

If the Syrian situation turns into an actual it'll impact production everywhere in the middle east.

Iran's a hot potato with Trump talking a bunch of shit about pulling out of the deal. If Iran gets hit with any additional sanctions that impact production, you'll see a spike in prices.

Almost back to low-40s. JUST.

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Time to buy?

>long bonds
>short oil

literally the worst move you could possibly make right now

Is anyone else still short bonds? Anyone???

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By game-breaking I mean anything that could affect the prices and not be priced in in current WTI futures. Venezuela's oil infrastructure is crumbling, it going down would not be a surprise to anyone at the moment (people are escaping the country in masses, they are literally starving). An escalation to civil war would, though, but I dont see it happening in the close future.
As for Syria, the war is practically over. Trump & Co are clearly not interested enough to get involved and risk escalating.
Not informed enough to say anything about Iran though.
Something similar happened earlier in the month. No big deal.

I got some puts, being JUST'd right now but I'm confident that'll change quite quickly

>Something similar happened earlier in the month. No big deal
geopolitically maybe.
but look what happened to oil last time that happened

im hedged. wish i had some more moolah to hedge better but it is what it is.

yeah idk about you but i got like half a year. i know were getting rate hikes before then