Does anyone here actually have a consistent reliable trading strategy to be profitable? I've spent forever trying and creating new strategies that I think will be good but whenever I create the script and backtest it on tradingview I'm usually better off just holding.
>I've spent forever trying and creating new strategies
>not taking literally anything from quantopian and applying it to crypto markets
kek
Ryan Morales
>better off just holding. You're misunderstanding what you're doing. The point of trading is to create a reliable revenue stream, not to beat the market.
Andrew Edwards
nope. not a one.
Andrew Ortiz
?
If you don't beat the market you are quite literally wasting time and money
Cameron Diaz
I usually do very well trading at sub-minute resolutions (I query data every 15 seconds), but it's an amount of stress I can barely handle, not worth it.
Parker Nguyen
No, you are valuing a revenue stream above that of hitting a moonshot. "I will trade 5% of the moonshot in return for a steady $1k per week" is a valid strategy.
Josiah Diaz
I keep up to $5000 worth of eth or btc on smaller exchanges. And I subscribe to a service that notifies me right before coins get listed on bittrex, binance, or bithumb. Once I get notification, I buy up the cheap coins and sell a bit later for 20-50% profit.
Alexander Watson
Sell after a series a green candles, wait, buy back cheaper. Not that hard desu
Zachary Gonzalez
I do pretty good day trading but every time I talk about it on here, people accuse me of LARPing. It's real though. Started with $2500 in September, hoping to break a million by 1/1/2019. We'll see. My strat would be hard to imitate though. I use a combination of bot and manual trading on about 20 exchanges just looking for patterns. The most obvious patterns are programmed into the bot but the harder ones, I trade by hand.
Sell put spreads on cyclical bottoms. Use it to buy leap put's priced lower ~1 year out to cover your ass. Then continue selling another 8 times before you extend or cash out.
Colton Howard
well if you would give some examples maybe people would believe you
Um, don't really care if people believe me since the money spends just as good either way and I've given examples of how I trade on here before and people just laugh and say it couldn't possibly work. Yeah okay.
Chase Howard
Do you just backtest or do you try to find actual causal factors rather than just observing patterns? I mean - when you have a 'strategy' can you actually trade where the flow is coming from? Can you explain the 'why' not just the 'how' it is happening?
Wyatt Phillips
do you trade on low volume exchanges for arbitrage opportunities? ive seen you post alot over the last few months, and have convinced me that you are telling the truth. besides, who would put that much effort into a larp?
Asher Hill
For the last two months I've had a consistent strategy and the gains have been exponential. I won't share it because it would obviously hurt my own profits but basically it involves arbitrage and DEXs and I win regardless if the market goes up or down, and in fact the more volatility the better. I don't make a lot of profit when the market moves horizontal like today but I am going to make moves as soon as the market breaks out of this accumulation channel.
Andrew Morgan
That's me. Got a shit load of email addresses haha. Gonna be some happy dudes next year. Just steady watching prices and making trades. I arbitrage but only by accident. Say I buy a coin on Livecoin or somewhere and it's going for a lot higher on Bittrex, and it's looking like the book is thin on the first exchange, I'll send it over. Other than that, I don't really look for anything like that. It happens quite a bit though since I'm on so many exchanges.
I don't understand how you are able to beat everyone else in arbitrage
Easton Kelly
>does anyone here actually have a consistent reliable trading strategy to be profitable? yes I do have one, nothing to humble brag about, so far x3 in BTC terms since Jan 1 2018
Kayden Hernandez
I think I win cuz I put so much work into reducing latency on my bot. I mean, when a price hits the right spot, somebody's gotta buy first, right? May as well be me. I keep a ton of historical data locally, I always use web sockets even when I have to reverse engineer them from the exchange's web site, etc. I can analyze a pattern and have a buy in pretty dang fast. Just a few milliseconds and I keep track of the order book so I know which exchanges I'm routinely first on and it's quite a few. About the only exchange I've found to be hopeless is Binance. Still haven't figured out how to consistently high frequency trade there and make money.
Thomas Thompson
Where did you teach yourself this? Any resources I can look into? Thanks user. I find this fascinating.
Blake Watson
yeah i do, took me 2 years of backtesting and programming though
Nathaniel Evans
Crypto and reliable is a non-starter at this point.
John Diaz
Yes op. Believe it or not I've made money by simply learning some basic ass TA, tracking the movement of big Daddy BTC at all times, and having patience.
Parker Richardson
funny enough, that's the only one that does it for me, others didn't
Asher Cruz
you started testing in 2016 but only invested in september? wasn't bitcoin cheaper in 2016? can you predict barts?
Hunter Gray
Buy a ton of safe assets and a couple of risky ones.
Ayden Peterson
i started crypto in 2013, started learning programming, took about a year, wrote first bots, started testing in 2015-2016, now it makes a profit. But i've missed so much money messing around with bots to be honest. Should've just held. Anywho i'm making up for these losses now last months
Brody Rogers
Well, first thing is learn a programming language. Pretty much any will do but I'd suggest Python as it's easy and popular. Then head over to github.com/ccxt/ccxt/wiki/Manual where you'll find the ccxt library manual. ccxt is an abstraction for a bunch of different exchange api's. Read through it and you'll see what's possible as far as getting prices, and setting orders. If you're interested in web sockets, use lomond for Python. If an exchange doesn't have a public websocket api, just use Chrome developer tools to get the endpoint and put it together yourself. If you want to visualize your data, use matplotlib (pic related), another Python library. Figure all that out and you'll be well on your way. That's nuts, man. I've tried and tried and for the life of me, I can't make a dime on Binance with hft. I still have hope though so I keep a few grand on there.
someone on a thread the other day posted this it works alright, maybe use it for confluence?
Brandon Martin
I think the problem is my strategy relies on very short time frames and being first on the order book. Binance just has too much volume so there's always somebody ahead of me. I have a couple of other strats that don't depend on the quick timing though. Maybe the old reliable, wait for dip and buy below previous support. That old gag seems to work. It's just so damn boring waiting around.
Cameron Sanders
I'm checking this dude's stuff out and the issue I have with this idea and others like it is you're betting against the market. I mean, the market has "discovered" the prices at his entry points so how could I reliably buy there and expect to get out at a profit more times than not. It looks like one of those ideas that works great in hindsight. My insight is buy when the price is low but not low because the market discovered the low price (if that makes sense). Buy when the rest of the market isn't paying attention or hasn't reacted yet.
Lucas Roberts
its been working fairly well for me, it does use close so it will buy at the end of the bar (start of the new one) which I guess is a fault.
I get what you mean though, I usually just use it as a "guide"