Tick-Tock, time is running out Britfriends
No deal, or raw deal. Such a hard time noggin the joggin on that oke.
or else what?
Ha
le no deal that everyone who campaigned for Brexit wants
It's going down
I'm yelling timbeeeeeeer
I prefer the 3rd Reich over this bizarre multikulti 4th one, Krautwurst.
You aren't even in the EU you cheeky cunt. The multiculti in Norway is your own damn fault.
Hit or miss.
I guess they never miss.
no one that campaigned for brexit claimed no deal. they claimed the opposite in fact, that the EU would be desperate to forge a trade deal with the UK. that the WORLD world would, and I quote "line up to trade with the UK".
The UK will get a free trade deal with the EU once they actually leave
Germany will punish them, Spen need them and they need us so will be shit, but only barely worse than the Russians santions for us, I don't know for them really...
It took 10 years to work out a EU-Japan FTA, and both sides wanted it
Imagine how long it will take for a EU-Britain FTA where one side holds all the cards
The UK is a big market for German goods. Every call centre manager in the country wants to ride around in a BMW or Mercedes paid for via some finance agreement. And every paki drug dealer wants his Golf R.
Once the UK actually leaves the power balance will even up. Right now their government is focused on trying to essentially stay in the EU unofficially. Once they're out, they're starting fresh. Ss it stands the UK is already completely compliant with all EU standards due to being a member. Whereas a country like Japan isn't, so it should be quicker than EU-Japan.
Not who you responded to, but multi-culti in Norway is largely a success. There's been next to no real conflicts, and since we didn't go full OPEN THE BORDERS like UK, Germany and Sweden did it's been a lot more smooth. Extremism is almost non-existent.
We use the european army™ to bring back democracy to UK.
I want to know what the Queen thinks of all of this!
Why does Britania want to leave the EU but like to keep the benefits of being part of EU?
>Once the UK actually leaves the power balance will even up
You mean it will get worse?
No deal means that the average tariffs go from 0% currently to about 4% or whatever the EU external tarriff average is.
you are so delusional its insane
Loss of access to the common market means their entire financial institution, the largest portion of their economy by far will relocate to the EU to do business. it's already happening. if no-deal occurs expect about 800bn pounds in loses in the next 2 years from the finance market.
You have to be completely insane to not understand how deep in shit the UK is at the moment.
No, because right now they're trying to minimise the damage of leaving the EU's single market. Once they're out they're starting fresh, the EU can longer threaten to make them leave without market access when they're already out. And the UK can also start to negotiate with friendly countries around the globe.
The UK leaving the EU is the most overblown thing in the 21st Century. Such a minor event.
Gott strafe England
It's like saying you're not going to be worried of being shot after you've already been shot and it is a good thing
>And the UK can also start to negotiate with friendly countries around the globe
You mean fucked in the ass with unfair deals since they will need even the worst deal desperately?
>And the UK can also start to negotiate with friendly countries around the globe.
For example?
>The US
Will require agreeing to US anti-consumer regulations, the british will shit their pants over. Will take at least 10 years.
>China
Not possible
>Japan
A meme economy based on services.
>SA
They can't buy anglo products
I cant believe I'm arguing with an insane person but I am
Yes, I am sure British banks and all their capital based largely in the UK will leave Britain. London was a financial hub long before EU access and will be long after.
I thought UK would just try to cherrypick because most EU countries aren't to keen on fucking over their entire trade with the UK.
But they are absolutely dead set on damaging themselves as much as possible. May is such a terrible politician, wew lad. Just wew.
>take the Brexit deal or else
The EU still hasn't learned any lessons about the psychology of the British people, I see. Threatening us just makes us want to call your bluff. If he really wants to "help Theresa May" then he try to sooth anxieties about worst case scenarios (e.g. NI being permanently locked in a customs union with the EU), and if he can't do that (because any assurances would just be lies) then he should keep his mouth shut.
Obama tried his "remain, or else" speech during the referendum campaign, look how that went down. All he succeeded in doing was making people angry that Johnny Foreigner was trying to order us around.
>I thought UK would just try to cherrypick because most EU countries aren't to keen on fucking over their entire trade with the UK.
Their strategy for the first year was to break EU unity by referring to national interests.
It failed beautifully thanks to the french negotiator.
Quite the few already have and many more are planning as much. Have you not seen the latest USB due diligence on the finance sector of London? It clearly spells out the catastrophic impact that loss of access to the common market will have.
>Imagine how long it will take for a EU-Britain FTA where one side holds all the cards
This is the most brainlet post I have read in a long time. Good job.
because brexit is going so well for us right now amirite.
Australia, Canada, NZ will give the UK hassle free deals as soon as they can. I can't remember if it was Australia or NZ who offered to lend them public consultants and civil servants to help them too.
The US will be a pain in the arse for sure.
China already has FTAs with us, I can't see why it would be impossible for the UK.
Japan is probably one of the least service based developed economies around. Along with Germany.
>bluff
There is no bluff. Your economy is going to suffer tremendously without access to the common market. This isn't even difficult to understand in laymen terms.
And drumpf said "accept all our demands or else" to canada and mexico about NAFTA, and they both folded.
>preparing a multi-billion trade deal between two non-exactly amicable countries will be fast and easy
Yeah Brexit negotiations were to be fast and easy too
The EU are doing absolutely nothing to stop us leaving you brainlet, we're the ones who voted to leave so they owe us nothing. We could easily walk away with no deal at any time but obviously that's a stupid idea.
This deal is never going through parliament anyway so it's going to be either no deal or some form of second referendum on the terms of leaving.
Not even the British are so arrogant as to go with a no-deal. It would be regarded as the single most ruinous financial decision any nation has made by democratic vote
It's really not, no matter how much you want it to.
>what are just-in-time manufacturing processes
>Not even the British are so arrogant as to go with a no-deal.
You would be surprised
>OUT MEANS OUT
>WILL OF THE PEOPLE
>THE BUS WOULDN'T LIE TO ME
Ok mate, not going to argue credentials with you but you're a joke.
There's simply no way your banking sector allows that. There will be an 11th hour save. I expect something like capitulation on EU regulations, surrender of Gibraltar, and a compromise on free-movement of peoples.
>the UK's entire economy revolves around JIT manufacturing
>Your economy is going to suffer tremendously without access to the common market.
And the EU will suffer tremendously when its economy shrinks by $3trillion a year and it loses a wealthy consumer-base of some 66,000,000 people, even more so in the event that they don't give us a deal which parliament can consent to.
No amount of Bulgarias can ever fill the hole we are going to leave in their protectionist racket. Either Germany is going to have to start forking out billions more cash each year, or your gibs are going to be seriously curtailed because successful countries are tired of flushing their money down the toilet to prop-up your failed economies. I can see why you're angry.
Their entire heavy manufacturing and aerospace industry absolutely does. Please stop posting on a topic you are so woefully ignorant of.
The EU will take a small hit. But you're comparing apples to apple trees here.
>we can do without financial services
>we can do without JIT manufacturing (10% of the GDP)
>we can do without trade
What's the plan exactly?
>capitulation on EU regulations, surrender of Gibraltar, and a compromise on free-movement of peoples.
Absolute fantasy land
Wir schaffen das.
Get really mad and call everyone a shitskin while ignoring objective reality. The UK flags are becoming strikingly American these days.
Again, I'm Swiss mate. Brexit was a huge net boon for our financial sector and I'm a big fan. Doesn't mean I'm going to deny the reality of the situation the UK finds it self in.
Loving watching the last days of the "United" Kingdom.
No one is saying do without. Certain industries will have to re-evaluate things. Circumstances change, life will go on and the UK will remain on average to be far more economically prosperous than most of Europe.
>Certain industries will have to re-evaluate things
You're saying like this is something they can do in a couple months and everything will be fine
Don't you understand how lengthy and costly it would be to restructure an entire business model that you've been using for decades?
This.
Will scotland finally become independent from the """united""" kingdom?
In 10 years which country do you think will have the larger economy? UK or Italy.
Nice way of moving the goalpost
If the UK kills half of its economy we are basically next on the list anyway kek
EU army to invade perfidious Albion when?
>we will see the dissolution of the "united" kingdom
Well if the UK is facing such a huge economic disaster, Italy should leapfrog them pretty easily in 10 years. In reality it's pretty overblown.
>Again, I'm Swiss mate
aren't you that person who's constantly posting about Britain and Brexit?
Oh it is possible yeah
I have some friends in Milan that are very happy with the situation. Frankfurt, Paris and Milan have only to gain from a collapsing London
nah, this was supposed to be the "easiest deal in human history"
Come back here 10 years to the day and we'll see who is right. I'd wager the UK is still ahead of Italy.
It's possible, but it's not the point of the discussion anyway
Even if the UK ceased to be a thing, you lot would still be whining about "anglos" on the internet all the time
crashing this country
with no survivors
das rite, we'll only stop when there's none of you at all left
Lmao all these bitter dickheads desperate for the UK to collapse. They'll be fine.
well, that's just because you're a bunch of wankers
Serious question, are brits starting to stock up on goods and meds and the like?
mayve they can strike up a trade agreement with based australia
import kangaroos or something idk
No one is bitter. And the only one desperate here is you. The rest of europe is just having a laugh
>implying you don't have anglo blood in your veins from Cromwell's army
I wouldn't call it bitterness, it's more like that feeling you get when you slow down while driving to look at the remains of a car crash
Come back in 10 years time to 4channel and I'll say look who was right
Is this what they tell people on European "news"?
No it won't. Can't you see that in the EU, Germany and the UK are main players? All the other economies (except maybe France) are nothing compared to them except pains in the ass for the big boys. We are shitting money out for what? The UK's financial sector is unrivaled and without the UK in the EU, Germany is by itself. Just draining its money away, giving money to shitty broken countries with one hand and with the other hand accepting that same money as payment for its goods and services. You don't need to know much about economics to know that won't turn out well.
Which is just a fancy way of saying that you're never, ever going to stop impotently whining about anglos on the internet. lmao
Nope.
What about you? Probably got M I C K E D by chad "criminals" who mogged the weak-chinned angloid runt down unda.
The banking sector has been preparing for a no deal since before the referendum m8, they have zero trust in the gov
>t. big bank boy
I am descendant from Cromwell himself, brother.
>You don't need to know much about economics to know that won't turn out well.
when you conclude your argument like that you should probably reconsider posting tee bee aitch
Ulster will only be the beginning.
False
>t. bigger bank boy (UBS)
also false
t. biggest bank boy of them all
>tfw will meet some brit frens in February
>it will probably be the last time they get to travel aboard
But I work for the strongest bank on earth. Even deutsche bank is a baby compared to us ;__; why germans always bully
>Scotland hypothetically leaves, ending the UK
>European continental autists and perpetually victimised Irishmen still keep bitterly raging about England, forever
>They continue to think their thoughts and say their sentences in English, forever
compared to that, losing a bit of gdp seems meaningless
you are a wallaby-looking runt scraped off the foaming scum of the streets of english port towns
the only human dna in you is ironically the abos
>Come back in 10 years time to 4channel and I'll say look who was right
Lmao why do you keep moving the goalpost? This is not between Italy and the UK
When Merkel runs your economy like she does now, maybe you should reconsider living in Germany. Unless you like financial ruin because of "helping" Greece and trying to compensate for your population with a huge number of migrants that just drain away at your economy and don't have the same work ethic.
Kek
I am the personal secretary of the Bogdanovs themselves.
I will chat to my UBS boys later, but I would be very surprised if UBS doesn't have a detailed plan for a no deal. You think you're just going to wait for March and watch all your clients leave?
i think that has to be the most illiterate post in the entire thread
good job
Check the latest due-diligence report we released two weeks ago vis a vis the British (London) financial sector in the event of a no-deal situation. It's grim. I made about 15.000CHF betting on Brexit so overall I'm very pleased with the UK right now.
Well shit, Paul, why didn't you just say so. Give the chief a good word from Herve.