Keep hearing there will be a recession type event coming up soon. Is this true? If so, why?
Keep hearing there will be a recession type event coming up soon. Is this true? If so, why?
Jeremiah Gray
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Caleb Anderson
its a lie pushed by commies
Joseph Jenkins
Its true the stock market is at an all time high and due for a recession. Healthy corrections happen on a 6 year interval.
Jack Martinez
No its just a bunch of TA faggots spouting the, "MUH TEST 3K AND 5K AGAIN" drivel. They're going to get liquidated and the ones with no balls just like to spout on Jow Forums like they know the market but don't have the balls to short because theyre scared dumb niggers.
Jaxon Gomez
What effects would this have on the job market?
Caleb Myers
Stonck market has a very prolonged unhealthy rise back by little more than artificial QE money. FANGS in particular have stupid valuations and terrible PE ratios. The shiller PE ratio which correctly acted as a warning of the tech bubble illustrates that the tock market is due for a MAJOR collection. Rising interest rates, the poor quality and wages of jobs that have been created, the debt bubbles in auto loans and student loans and once again housing price bubbles in places like California, Canada, Australia, the UK, Ireland.
Further at this juncture it is not possible to see how a bail out can occur as to have the same stimulus effect the degree of E would have to go exponential destroying several currencies. Therefore major financial names will cease to exist this time around an example will be deutsche bank. Italy, Spain etc are in an extremely bad economic position and will descend into turmoil as will several US states
Nathan Moore
>What effects would this have on the job market?
death of all capex spending related hiring, construction, IT etc layoffs of operations staff such as accountants and warehousing
Bentley Nelson
GDP up
record low unemployment
world peace being solved
economy = resources * psychology
I don't see a recession coming. Not right now anyway. I don't think Trump would let it happen
Juan Young
So being a farmer is pretty safe? People need to eat right?
Hudson Peterson
the FED is losing control
>1) check the yield "curve"
>2) even with it flat, FED is still getting more aggressive, 4 hikes this year
>3) noticed some subtle differences between FED, lenders, and pay raises
>4) also all the media telling everyone to BUY
>5) bonds have been more volatile than the major indexes
>6) after selling the rally for every single record ER beat, most volume has left the building and
>7) now its all in fucking china. check every single chinese company rn, as well as dimsum bonds. all bullish
yea im more than a little spooked
Blake Gutierrez
>So being a farmer is pretty safe? People need to eat right?
Farers incomes have been getting consistently assraped for two decades so its difficult to see how they could fall further
Lincoln Mitchell
Get heavy on Emerging Market Equity and Gold, just like the smart money.
Thomas Russell
Contractor here. Lots are selling for 200k and we can't excavate new ones fast enough. These are good times.
Connor Jenkins
Adam Morris
Heard that the housing market was going to crash this Winter
Evan Sanchez
Signs that the MEGA RECESSION is just around the corner
-Mature Fed hiking cycle
-Commodity rally
-Tech/Financials leading
-Flatter yield curve
-Tight labor market
-Rising inflation
-Peaking PMI
-Surging consumer/NFIB confidence
-Tight credit spreads/low VIX
-High corporate leverage
-Low vacancy
It's going to be like 2008 all over again but worse, why you ask? Because interest rates are still at ROCK BOTTOM, and government debt is fucked so they have no room for deficit spending to stimulate the economy. This means two things HYPERINFLATION, or DEFAULT.
Sebastian Rogers
The closer you are to a raw value source Food, Housing, Raw materials industry the better.
the 3 G's
Gold
Guns
Gas
are safe investment vehicles to hedge crash risk
Zachary Bailey
these are examples of retarded commies pushing lies
Lincoln Miller
>denying the business cycle
LMAO
And you accuse us of being communists
Kayden King
its math. Not goona make it user
Julian Jenkins
Good times create weak men.
Weak men create bad times.
Adam Rogers
>t. first year traders
Hunter Peterson
How about uranium? i herd it's good too.
Josiah Rivera
much like bear and bull micromarkets you have zoom out to see that the macromarkets share the same pattern of up and down
David Phillips
I fucking hope so. That's why we're all here.
Grayson Moore
The FED needs to be more aggressive with the yield curve flattening, they need to keep the gravy train running.
Leo Wood
i think that the fed does not have much input in how the market works. it is mostly whales who decide the worth of money
Hunter Sullivan
buy peng
Jack James
If this was a shitcoin would you go all in user ?
John Scott
economy = resources * psychology
Benjamin Parker
Sure, but it also follow market cycles , and we have built a boom bust debt based economy.
Credit deflation started in February, this is a dead cat bounce.
Samuel Edwards
>correction didn't even manage to go below RSI for a reasonable amount of time
Looks full on "return to normal" to me.
Jayden Long
I fear Trump is too good for the economy desu. Other NATO countries though, not so much.
Jace Rivera
Good times create weak memes.
Weak meme is weak.
Austin Allen
I'd like to take profits in a big way before the 2020 election campaigning starts to ramp up.
If enough people believe that the economy is unhealthy, whether is actually is or isn't its going down either way.
Did the weakness in Italian banks two weeks ago really mean anything for the US equity market? I doubt it, but enough people on CNBC were fear mongering over it for a few days and the markets sucked wind for those days.
Connor Adams
QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING HAS NEVER BEEN TRIED LIKE THIS BEFORE ALSO THERE WILL BE ADJUSTMENTS TO INTEREST RATES. PREPARE YOUR ANUSES ACCORDINGLY.
Easton Russell
buy peng
Jose Stewart
Hyperinflation is coming soon.
For Goodness sake, take 20% of your portfolio and prepare for such things. Most corporations are far too over-leveraged from years of low rates, what's the WACC been for most companies since 2010 anyways?
You think American companies can continue to provide returns based on the cost of equity for expansion? You think that PP&E book values are depreciating in an honest manner?
The used auto mkt is about to explode. You think that's healthy for the labor market?
Jason Mitchell
That would make the dollar stronger and probably effect the price of crypto negatively.
Lincoln Collins
I'm confused. Should I keep my money in fiat or crypto during these times?
Brody Miller
>fiat
i think assets like and gold would do best
-t goldbug
Daniel Peterson
my theory is that it should've already happened but the elites are keeping it propped up just long enough for AI and robots because they know there's no way the worlds economies can continue as is
Adam Hernandez
if you just want to minimize risk go 20% bonds, 15% stocks, 30% pm, 25% cash and 10% crypto.
no matter what happens, you will most likely lose a little bit, or gain just a little bit, but you deffinetly won't lose much (very low risk, low reward).
Owen Murphy
I hate how slow the stock markets go
I wish they would just get it over with like crypto has done, and let you know you're in a bear market responsibly
Wyatt Jenkins
>record low unemployment
>world peace being solved
we switched to fake unemployment numbers in the Bush era to make unemployment look lower, and theres a fucking proxy world war going on in Syria right now
Ian Cooper
These are not fake Bush-era numbers here
All around I see hiring signs and they can't get enough workers
It's not just that unemployment is lower, there is literally a job for every unemployed person in America if they wanted it
Also
>Syria
Literal who?
I haven't heard anything more about Syria since the strike back in 2017
Cameron Ross
Don't forget booze of any kind and entertainment - those have traditionally survived crahses